Guggenheim Funds (Tues.)
Published: May 16, 2017
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There are no changes to be made within either of the Dorsey Wright Guggenheim Models this week, as each of the current holdings continue to maintain positive relative strength within their respective universes.

We have continued to see strength come from International Equities, which currently ranks #2 in DALI and is the most improved asset class year-to-date, up 65 buy signals. Among those countries that are driving this improvement is China, and we can see this on the chart of the Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF YAO. With yesterday’s market action, YAO rallied to $28.50, breaking through the bearish resistance line, flipping the overall trend back to positive for the first time since July 2015. This level also marks a new 52-week high for the fund. YAO has a strong fund score of 4.71 with an impressive score direction of 4.00, speaking to its recent improvement over the past six months. YAO is outscoring the average Non-US Equity fund (3.82), the average All China fund (4.07), as well as the average All Global & International fund (3.69). Weekly momentum just flipped positive, suggesting the potential for further upside from here. Additionally, YAO has a price target of $39, offering a reward to risk ratio north of 2 (assuming a stop of $23.50). Overall, the weight of the evidence is positive here. Okay to initiate new positions here if looking to garner or increase exposure to China. The first sign of trouble from here comes with a move to $23.50, a double bottom sell signal.

 

 

The performance numbers above a price return is not inclusive of dividends or all transaction costs. Past performance is not indicative of future results.  Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the Guggenheim ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

 

Average Level: 33.32

The average Bullish Percent reading this week is 57.58% down 0.71% from the previous week

                       
                   
               
             
             
         
         
       
-100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->


Legend:

  • UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
  • lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
  • GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
  • RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.

This section of the report categorizes all of the Guggenheim ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those Guggenheim ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those Guggenheim ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Small Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.1 RZG Guggenheim S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 5.39
EWSC Guggenheim S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 4.84
WMCR Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 4.49
EWMC Guggenheim S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 4.25
RFV Guggenheim S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 4.02
RZV Guggenheim S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 2.44
Large Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.6 RSP Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 4.89
DJD Guggenheim Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF 4.85
RPG Guggenheim S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 4.44
RPV Guggenheim S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 3.74
XLG Guggenheim S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 3.42
DEF Guggenheim Defensive Equity ETF 3.10
High Yield Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.3 BSJK Guggenheim BulletShares 2020 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 3.01
BSJN Guggenheim BulletShares 2023 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 2.90
BSJJ Guggenheim BulletShares 2019 High Yield Corporate Bond ET 2.88
BSJL Guggenheim BulletShares 2021 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 2.80
BSJM Guggenheim BulletShares 2022 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 2.79
BSJI Guggenheim BulletShares 2018 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 1.39
BSJH Guggenheim BulletShares 2017 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 0.50
BSJG Guggenheim BulletShares 2016 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 0.48
Mid Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.3 CZA Guggenheim Mid-Cap Core ETF 5.37
RYJ Guggenheim Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 5.18
GHII Guggenheim S&P High Income Infrastructure ETF 4.62
CSD Guggenheim S&P Spin-Off ETF 4.45
NFO Guggenheim Insider Sentiment ETF 3.50
RFG Guggenheim S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 3.24
CVY Guggenheim Multi-Asset Income ETF 2.94
Corporate Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.2 BSCM Guggenheim BulletShares 2022 Corporate Bond ETF 2.85
BSCG Guggenheim BulletShares 2016 Corporate Bond ETF 2.84
BSCN Guggenheim BulletShares 2023 Corporate Bond ETF 2.73
GTO Guggenheim Total Return Bond ETF 2.54
BSCL Guggenheim BulletShares 2021 Corporate Bond ETF 2.37
BSCO Guggenheim BulletShares 2024 Corporate Bond ETF 2.30
BSCP Guggenheim BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF 2.27
BSCK Guggenheim BulletShares 2020 Corporate Bond ETF 2.26
BSCJ Guggenheim BulletShares 2019 Corporate Bond ETF 2.18
BSCH Guggenheim BulletShares 2017 Corporate Bond ETF 2.07
BSCI Guggenheim BulletShares 2018 Corporate Bond ETF 1.91
Sector Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.1 RYT Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 5.67
TAO Guggenheim China Real Estate ETF 4.87
RYF Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 4.16
RGI Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 4.10
RTM Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 4.02
RCD Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 3.95
RYU Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 3.76
CGW Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index Fund 3.52
RHS Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 3.50
CUT Guggenheim MSCI Global Timber ETF 3.44
RYH Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 3.26
SEA Guggenheim Shipping ETF 2.10
EWRE Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF 2.09
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 1.57
RYE Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 1.43
TAN Guggenheim Solar ETF 0.97
ENY Guggenheim Canadian Energy Income ETF 0.49
Global Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.1 CQQQ Guggenheim China Technology ETF 4.86
YAO Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF 4.71
EWEM Guggenheim MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 4.14
EEB Guggenheim BRIC ETF 3.81
HGI Guggenheim International Multi-Asset Income ETF 3.39
FRN Guggenheim Frontier Markets ETF 3.14
LVL Guggenheim S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 2.85
HAO Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF 2.61
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.7 GCE Claymore CEF GS Connect ETN 2.75
GSY Guggenheim Enhanced Short Duration ETF 1.28

The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio. The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.


Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
RYT Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 14 13 5.67
RGI Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 13 9 4.10
CQQQ Guggenheim China Technology ETF 12 15 4.86
RYF Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 12 9 4.16
TAO Guggenheim China Real Estate ETF 10 14 4.87
RTM Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 10 8 4.02
RCD Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 9 5 3.95
RYH Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 6 11 3.26
RYE Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 6 1 1.43
ENY Guggenheim Canadian Energy Income ETF 6 0 0.49
CGW Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index Fund 5 10 3.52
CUT Guggenheim MSCI Global Timber ETF 5 8 3.44
RHS Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 5 4 3.50
RYU Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 4 6 3.76
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 3 3 1.57
TAN Guggenheim Solar ETF 0 3 0.97

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
RPG Guggenheim S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 22 9 4.44
RPV Guggenheim S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 21 13 3.74
RZG Guggenheim S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 19 17 5.39
CZA Guggenheim Mid-Cap Core ETF 18 18 5.37
CSD Guggenheim S&P Spin-Off ETF 18 9 4.45
RZV Guggenheim S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 18 1 2.44
EWMC Guggenheim S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 17 14 4.25
RYJ Guggenheim Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 17 14 5.18
RSP Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 17 13 4.89
RFV Guggenheim S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 16 15 4.02
XLG Guggenheim S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 15 13 3.42
DEF Guggenheim Defensive Equity ETF 14 8 3.10
NFO Guggenheim Insider Sentiment ETF 13 12 3.50
EEB Guggenheim BRIC ETF 12 18 3.81
WMCR Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 12 14 4.49
EWSC Guggenheim S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 12 6 4.84
RFG Guggenheim S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 9 4 3.24
EWEM Guggenheim MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 7 17 4.14
YAO Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF 6 20 4.71
HGI Guggenheim International Multi-Asset Income ETF 5 10 3.39
LVL Guggenheim S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 5 8 2.85
GSY Guggenheim Enhanced Short Duration ETF 5 1 1.28
CVY Guggenheim Multi-Asset Income ETF 4 4 2.94
FRN Guggenheim Frontier Markets ETF 2 22 3.14
HAO Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF 0 16 2.61

 

 

Weekly Update:

Guggenheim Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Date Added
Guggenheim S&P Spin-Off ETF CSD 20.000% 09/26/2011
Guggenheim China Technology ETF CQQQ 20.000% 02/08/2016
Guggenheim S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF EWMC 20.000% 12/09/2013
Guggenheim Insider Sentiment ETF NFO 20.000% 09/09/2008
Guggenheim S&P 500 Top 50 ETF XLG 20.000% 08/15/2016

* - Dates prior to 10/14/08, which is when the Guggenheim Special Opportunities Model ETF Portfolio became available in the Guggenheim Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

Guggenheim Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGSECT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Date Added
Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF RCD 25.000% 04/22/2009
Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF RYT 25.000% 11/23/2015
Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF RYU 25.000% 02/08/2016
Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF EWRE 25.000% 08/31/2015

* - Dates prior to 7/8/2014, which is when the Guggenheim Equal Weight Sector Model became available in the Guggenheim Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

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