Guggenheim Funds (Tues.)
Published: Jul 03, 2018
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There are no changes to be made within either of the Dorsey Wright Invesco Models this week, as each of the current holdings continues to maintain positive relative strength within the respective universes. 

The second quarter of 2018 has come to an end and as is customary, we wanted to review how the Invesco line-up of funds performed, as well as recap how the Invesco Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO and the Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT fared over the second quarter of the year. In the image below, we have provided a snapshot of the Q2 2018 performance for the Invesco ETF lineup (excluding the BulletShares products). We have highlighted the Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT and its current holdings in teal, the Invesco Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO and its current holdings in purple, and the S&P 500 Index SPX benchmarks in gray.

Although there were a lot of negative headlines paired with market choppiness over the past three months, the second quarter proved to be an overall strong one for US equities. When all was said and done, the S&P 500 Index SPX posted a gain of 2.93% while the S&P Equal Dollar Weighted Index SPXEWI finished up 2.31%. The Invesco Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO finished the quarter flat with a gain of 0.59%. This model did not see any changes over the second quarter as each of the model holdings continued to maintain positive relative strength. The biggest contributor over the second quarter was the Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight EWMC which posted a gain of 5.49%. The Invesco China Technology CQQQ lagged the portfolio over Q2, posting a loss of -7.02%.

The Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT was down slightly with a loss of -0.82%. This model did not see any changes over the second quarter as each of the model holdings continued to maintain positive relative strength.  The best performing of the current holdings for Q2 was once again the Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF RYT which was up 4.72%. The Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF RGI dragged the portfolio, posting a loss of -4.00% over Q2. 

 

 

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the Invesco ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

 

Average Level: -23.13

The average Bullish Percent reading this week is 48.35% down 2.58% from the previous week

                       
                     
                     
                     
               
               
               
           
       
     
-100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->


Legend:

  • UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
  • lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
  • GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
  • RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.
  • Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

This section of the report categorizes all of the Invesco ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those Invesco ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those Invesco ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Small Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.4 EWSC Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 5.76
RZG Invesco S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 5.75
RZV InvescoS&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 4.70
WMCR Invesco Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 4.59
EWMC Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 4.40
RFV Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 3.45
Sector Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.3 RYE Invesco S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 5.62
RYT Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 5.55
RCD Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 4.41
RYF Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 4.23
TAO Invesco China Real Estate ETF 3.75
CUT Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF 3.68
RYH Invesco S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 3.56
RGI Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 3.46
RTM Invesco S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 3.35
TAN Invesco Solar ETF 2.64
RYU Invesco S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 2.63
EWRE Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF 2.60
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 2.23
CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index Fund 2.00
RHS Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 1.92
ENY Invesco Canadian Energy Income ETF 1.78
SEA Invesco Shipping ETF 0.17
Mid Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.3 RYJ Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 5.69
CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF 5.13
CZA Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap Core ETF 4.44
RFG Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 4.23
NFO Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF 4.09
CVY Invesco Zacks Multi-Asset Income ETF 2.61
GHII Invesco S&P High Income Infrastructure ETF 2.13
Large Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.3 RPG Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 5.63
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 4.96
DJD Invesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF 4.52
RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 3.55
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 3.38
DEF Invesco Defensive Equity ETF 2.69
Global Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.9 HAO Invesco China Small Cap ETF 3.69
YAO Invesco China All-Cap ETF 3.45
EEB Invesco BRIC ETF 3.32
CQQQ Invesco China Technology ETF 3.06
EWEM Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 2.54
HGI Invesco Zacks International Multi-Asset Income ETF 1.63
LVL Invesco S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 1.57
FRN Invesco Frontier Markets ETF 1.34
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.4 GSY Invesco Enhanced Short Duration ETF 2.78
GCE Claymore CEF GS Connect ETN 0.94

The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio. The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.


Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
RYT Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 14 14 5.55
RTM Invesco S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 12 7 3.35
TAO Invesco China Real Estate ETF 12 4 3.75
RYE Invesco S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 10 12 5.62
RGI Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 10 4 3.46
RYF Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 9 7 4.23
RCD Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 8 14 4.41
CUT Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF 8 8 3.68
CQQQ Invesco China Technology ETF 8 0 3.06
RYH Invesco S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 6 7 3.56
RHS Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 6 6 1.92
CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index Fund 6 4 2.00
RYU Invesco S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 3 10 2.63
TAN Invesco Solar ETF 3 2 2.64
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 2 11 2.23
ENY Invesco Canadian Energy Income ETF 2 9 1.78

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
RZG Invesco S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 21 23 5.75
RPG Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 21 22 5.63
YAO Invesco China All-Cap ETF 21 7 3.45
CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF 18 18 5.13
RFV Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 17 11 3.45
EEB Invesco BRIC ETF 17 5 3.32
CZA Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap Core ETF 16 14 4.44
RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 16 10 3.55
WMCR Invesco Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 15 20 4.59
EWMC Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 15 12 4.40
RYJ Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 14 20 5.69
RZV InvescoS&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 14 18 4.70
NFO Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF 13 18 4.09
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 13 15 4.96
HAO Invesco China Small Cap ETF 12 5 3.69
EWSC Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 11 21 5.76
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 11 15 3.38
DEF Invesco Defensive Equity ETF 11 9 2.69
RFG Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 9 15 4.23
GSY Invesco Enhanced Short Duration ETF 3 6 2.78
HGI Invesco Zacks International Multi-Asset Income ETF 3 4 1.63
FRN Invesco Frontier Markets ETF 3 1 1.34
EWEM Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 3 0 2.54
CVY Invesco Zacks Multi-Asset Income ETF 2 5 2.61
LVL Invesco S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 2 5 1.57

 

 

Weekly Update:

Invesco Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF CSD 20.000% 0.5840 09/26/2011
Invesco China Technology ETF CQQQ 20.000% 1.5520 02/08/2016
Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF EWMC 20.000% 1.1910 12/09/2013
Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF NFO 20.000% 1.4290 09/09/2008
Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF XLG 20.000% 1.7880 08/15/2016

* - Dates prior to 10/14/08, which is when the Invesco Special Opportunities Model ETF Portfolio became available in the Invesco Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF RYF 33.333% 1.5400 12/02/2016
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF RGI 33.333% 1.2200 12/02/2016
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF RYT 33.333% 0.7840 09/02/2016

* - Dates prior to 8/15/2017, which is when the Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model became available in the Invesco Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

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