Guggenheim Funds (Tues.)
Published: Jun 05, 2018
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

On April 6, 2018, Guggenheim Investments closed the sale of its ETF business to Invesco, Ltd. The Guggenheim ETFs have been transitioned, or are in the process of being transitioned to become part of the Invesco fund family. Please visit invesco.com/powershares for information concerning the ETFs.


There are no changes to be made within either of the Dorsey Wright Invesco Models this week, as each of the current holdings continues to maintain positive relative strength within the respective universes.

Over the past year and a half, we’ve continued to see technology dominate the DALI US sector rankings, maintaining the #1 position over that period. Even with the volatility experienced earlier this year, this sector trend is still in play today. We can look at the chart of the Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF RYT for further confirmation. Notice that with Monday’s intraday action, shares of RYT moved higher to $162 and are now trading at levels last seen in March of this year. From here, a move to $164 would break through all overhead resistance and mark a new all-time high. Currently, RYT has a fund score of 5.54 with a positive score direction of 0.50 and is outscoring the average tech/comm fund (4.83), the average US fund (3.65) as well as the average US large-cap growth fund (4.33). RYT has been a holding in the Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT since September 2016. Since being added, RYT has posted a gain of 56.65% compared to the S&P 500 Index SPX, up just 26.00%. The GUGGEWSECT model itself is up 26.16% over the same time frame (through 6/4). Overall, demand is in control and the weight of the technical evidence is positive. At this time, RYT is 64% overbought, so those looking to initiate new positions may best be served to do so on a pullback to the mid $150s. The first sell signal from current levels would come with a move to $146, a triple bottom. 

 

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the Invesco ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

 

 

Average Level: 25.32

The average Bullish Percent reading this week is 51.28% up 0.21% from the previous week

                       
                     
                     
                   
                   
                   
                 
                 
                 
               
           
 
<--100 -100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->

 


Legend:

  • UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
  • lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
  • GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
  • RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.
  • Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

This section of the report categorizes all of the Invesco ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those Invesco ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those Invesco ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

 

Small Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.4 EWSC Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 5.79
RZG Invesco S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 5.70
RZV InvescoS&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 4.74
WMCR Invesco Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 4.61
EWMC Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 4.19
RFV PowerShare S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 3.26
Large Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 RPG Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 5.65
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 4.84
DJD Invesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF 4.66
RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 3.59
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 3.16
DEF Invesco Defensive Equity ETF 2.86
Mid Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 RYJ Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 5.63
CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF 5.19
CZA Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap Core ETF 4.82
RFG Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 4.37
NFO Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF 4.27
CVY Invesco Zacks Multi-Asset Income ETF 2.73
GHII Invesco S&P High Income Infrastructure ETF 2.06
Sector Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.4 TAO Invesco China Real Estate ETF 5.76
RYE Invesco S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 5.69
RYT Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 5.54
RYF Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 4.93
CUT Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF 4.61
RGI Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 4.17
RCD Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 4.11
RTM Invesco S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 2.98
TAN Invesco Solar ETF 2.97
RYH Invesco S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 2.73
CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index Fund 2.34
EWRE Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF 2.24
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 1.78
ENY Invesco Canadian Energy Income ETF 1.71
RYU Invesco S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 1.60
RHS Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 1.56
SEA Invesco Shipping ETF 0.67
Global Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.2 HAO Invesco China Small Cap ETF 5.82
YAO Invesco China All-Cap ETF 5.70
EEB Invesco BRIC ETF 4.55
CQQQ Invesco China Technology ETF 3.53
EWEM Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 2.96
HGI Invesco Zacks International Multi-Asset Income ETF 2.24
FRN Invesco Frontier Markets ETF 1.76
LVL Invesco S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 1.51
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.4 GSY Invesco Enhanced Short Duration ETF 2.39
GCE Claymore CEF GS Connect ETN 0.37

The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio. The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.


Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
TAO Invesco China Real Estate ETF 14 11 5.76
RYT Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 13 13 5.54
RTM Invesco S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 12 6 2.98
CQQQ Invesco China Technology ETF 12 1 3.53
RGI Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 10 5 4.17
RYE Invesco S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 9 15 5.69
RYF Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 9 8 4.93
CUT Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF 7 12 4.61
CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index Fund 7 5 2.34
TAN Invesco Solar ETF 7 2 2.97
RCD Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 6 7 4.11
RYH Invesco S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 5 6 2.73
RHS Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 5 2 1.56
ENY Invesco Canadian Energy Income ETF 2 14 1.71
RYU Invesco S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 1 8 1.60
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 0 2 1.78

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
YAO Invesco China All-Cap ETF 24 19 5.70
RPG Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 21 23 5.65
RZG Invesco S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 20 22 5.70
EEB Invesco BRIC ETF 20 10 4.55
CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF 17 16 5.19
HAO Invesco China Small Cap ETF 16 18 5.82
CZA Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap Core ETF 16 14 4.82
EWMC Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 15 11 4.19
RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 15 9 3.59
RYJ Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 14 18 5.63
NFO Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF 13 20 4.27
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 13 13 3.16
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 13 12 4.84
RFV PowerShare S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 13 9 3.26
WMCR Invesco Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 12 19 4.61
EWSC Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 11 15 5.79
RZV InvescoS&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 11 15 4.74
DEF Invesco Defensive Equity ETF 11 6 2.86
RFG Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 8 14 4.37
FRN Invesco Frontier Markets ETF 7 1 1.76
GSY Invesco Enhanced Short Duration ETF 3 5 2.39
HGI Invesco Zacks International Multi-Asset Income ETF 3 4 2.24
EWEM Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 3 4 2.96
LVL Invesco S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 2 3 1.51
CVY Invesco Zacks Multi-Asset Income ETF 2 1 2.73

 

 

Weekly Update:

Invesco Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF CSD 20.000% 0.5750 09/26/2011
Invesco China Technology ETF CQQQ 20.000% 1.4170 02/08/2016
Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF EWMC 20.000% 1.1090 12/09/2013
Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF NFO 20.000% 1.4060 09/09/2008
Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF XLG 20.000% 1.3740 08/15/2016

* - Dates prior to 10/14/08, which is when the Invesco Special Opportunities Model ETF Portfolio became available in the Invesco Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF RYF 33.333% 1.3360 12/02/2016
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF RGI 33.333% 1.1910 12/02/2016
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF RYT 33.333% 0.7240 09/02/2016

* - Dates prior to 8/15/2017, which is when the Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model became available in the Invesco Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

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