Guggenheim Funds (Tues.)
Published: Jun 12, 2018
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

On April 6, 2018, Guggenheim Investments closed the sale of its ETF business to Invesco, Ltd. The Guggenheim ETFs have been transitioned, or are in the process of being transitioned to become part of the Invesco fund family. Please visit invesco.com for information concerning the ETFs.


There are no changes to be made within either of the Dorsey Wright Invesco Models this week, as each of the current holdings continues to maintain positive relative strength within the respective universes.

We continue to see growth dominate the asset class group scores page, as each growth style box has an average group score above 4.34 and resides in the strong “blue zone.” In addition, we’ve seen small, mid, and large cap growth size and style boxes make their way up into the top four positions in the DALI US Size & Style rankings. It is clear that growth continues to maintain leadership over value, no matter what the market capitalization category. One of the ETF strategies offered within our ETF Models page examines the relative strength relationship between pure value, pure growth, and cash. Specifically, the Value/Growth Portfolio RPVRPG uses the Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF RPV as a proxy for value and the Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF RPG as a proxy for growth. When the relative strength chart comparing the two is in a column of Xs, it tells us that value is in favor and RPV is owned within the strategy. On the other hand, if the RS chart reverses down into a column of Os, RPG is held. The only exception would be if RPV or RPG (whichever is in favor) is showing weak RS when compared to cash MNYMKT. In such a case, the model moves 100% to cash. A little over a year ago on May 30th, 2017, we witnessed the relative strength chart (pictured below) reverse down into a column of Os, suggesting superior RS for RPG. As a result, the RPG has been held within this strategy ever since. In March of this year, the RS calculation continued to decrease, resulting in the completion of an RS sell signal, confirming growth’s strength versus value on a long-term basis. So far this year, RPG has outperformed RPV by more than 9% and on a one-year rolling basis, the RPVRPG strategy is up 24.48% compared to the S&P 500 Index SPX, up 14.40% over the same time frame (through 6/11). You can follow this Value/Growth Portfolio under the Models page using the tracking symbol RPVRPG and set email alerts for future shifts in relative strength.

The performance numbers above are price returns and do not include dividends or all transaction costs.  Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.  The relative strength strategy is not a guarantee. There may be times when all investments within the investable universe are out of favor or depreciate in value.  

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the Invesco ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

 

Average Level: 38.55

The average Bullish Percent reading this week is 53.74% up 2.45% from the previous week

                       
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                   
                 
               
         
       
     
-100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->


Legend:

  • UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
  • lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
  • GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
  • RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.
  • Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

This section of the report categorizes all of the Invesco ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those Invesco ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those Invesco ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Small Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.4 EWSC Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 5.75
RZG Invesco S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 5.72
RZV InvescoS&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 4.78
WMCR Invesco Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 4.36
EWMC Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 4.31
RFV Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 3.62
Large Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 RPG Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 5.63
DJD Invesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF 5.03
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 5.00
RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 3.84
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 3.08
DEF Invesco Defensive Equity ETF 2.92
Mid Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 RYJ Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 5.64
CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF 5.33
CZA Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap Core ETF 4.85
RFG Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 4.43
NFO Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF 4.01
CVY Invesco Zacks Multi-Asset Income ETF 2.79
GHII Invesco S&P High Income Infrastructure ETF 2.04
Sector Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 TAO Invesco China Real Estate ETF 5.72
RYE Invesco S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 5.67
RYT Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 5.52
RYF Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 4.95
CUT Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF 4.57
RCD Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 4.52
RGI Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 4.37
RTM Invesco S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 3.57
RYH Invesco S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 3.11
TAN Invesco Solar ETF 2.70
EWRE Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF 2.47
CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index Fund 2.08
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 2.02
ENY Invesco Canadian Energy Income ETF 1.82
RHS Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 1.74
RYU Invesco S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 1.38
SEA Invesco Shipping ETF 0.48
Global Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.2 HAO Invesco China Small Cap ETF 5.78
YAO Invesco China All-Cap ETF 5.60
EEB Invesco BRIC ETF 4.27
CQQQ Invesco China Technology ETF 3.70
EWEM Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 3.01
HGI Invesco Zacks International Multi-Asset Income ETF 2.18
FRN Invesco Frontier Markets ETF 1.78
LVL Invesco S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 1.56
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.4 GSY Invesco Enhanced Short Duration ETF 2.35
GCE Claymore CEF GS Connect ETN 1.24

The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio. The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.


Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
TAO Invesco China Real Estate ETF 15 11 5.72
RYT Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF 13 13 5.52
RTM Invesco S&P Equal Weight Materials ETF 12 7 3.57
CQQQ Invesco China Technology ETF 12 3 3.70
RGI Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF 10 6 4.37
RYE Invesco S&P Equal Weight Energy ETF 9 15 5.67
RYF Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF 9 8 4.95
CUT Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF 8 12 4.57
RCD Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF 6 9 4.52
RYH Invesco S&P Equal Weight Health Care ETF 6 6 3.11
CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index Fund 6 5 2.08
RHS Invesco S&P Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF 5 1 1.74
TAN Invesco Solar ETF 4 0 2.70
ENY Invesco Canadian Energy Income ETF 2 14 1.82
RYU Invesco S&P Equal Weight Utilities ETF 1 5 1.38
WREI Wilshire US REIT ETF 1 4 2.02

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
YAO Invesco China All-Cap ETF 24 19 5.60
RPG Invesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF 21 23 5.63
RZG Invesco S&P Smallcap 600 Pure Growth ETF 20 23 5.72
EEB Invesco BRIC ETF 19 9 4.27
CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF 17 17 5.33
HAO Invesco China Small Cap ETF 16 18 5.78
CZA Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap Core ETF 16 14 4.85
RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF 16 9 3.84
EWMC Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF 15 10 4.31
RFV Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Value ETF 15 10 3.62
RYJ Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF 14 18 5.64
NFO Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF 13 18 4.01
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF 13 13 3.08
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF 13 12 5.00
WMCR Invesco Wilshire Micro-Cap ETF 12 19 4.36
RZV InvescoS&P Smallcap 600 Pure Value ETF 11 17 4.78
EWSC Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Equal Weight ETF 11 15 5.75
DEF Invesco Defensive Equity ETF 11 6 2.92
RFG Invesco S&P Midcap 400 Pure Growth ETF 8 14 4.43
FRN Invesco Frontier Markets ETF 5 1 1.78
HGI Invesco Zacks International Multi-Asset Income ETF 3 4 2.18
GSY Invesco Enhanced Short Duration ETF 3 4 2.35
EWEM Invesco MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weight ETF 3 4 3.01
LVL Invesco S&P Global Dividend Opportunities Index ETF 2 3 1.56
CVY Invesco Zacks Multi-Asset Income ETF 2 1 2.79

 

 

Weekly Update:

Invesco Special Opportunities Model GUGGSO

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF CSD 20.000% 0.5650 09/26/2011
Invesco China Technology ETF CQQQ 20.000% 1.3960 02/08/2016
Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight ETF EWMC 20.000% 1.0850 12/09/2013
Invesco Insider Sentiment ETF NFO 20.000% 1.3950 09/09/2008
Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF XLG 20.000% 1.7660 08/15/2016

* - Dates prior to 10/14/08, which is when the Invesco Special Opportunities Model ETF Portfolio became available in the Invesco Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model GUGGEWSECT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Financials ETF RYF 33.333% 1.3180 12/02/2016
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Industrials ETF RGI 33.333% 1.1680 12/02/2016
Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF RYT 33.333% 0.7170 09/02/2016

* - Dates prior to 8/15/2017, which is when the Invesco Dynamic Equal Weight Sector Model became available in the Invesco Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

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