Were You Aware ...?
Published: April 6, 2020
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Amid the seemingly ever-present gloom and doom, we note positive action on the charts for major large-cap equity indices today, each advancing past near-term resistance levels.

 

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Amid the seemingly ever-present gloom and doom, we note positive action on the charts for major large-cap equity indices today, as each advanced past near-term resistance levels. The S&P 500 SPX and the Nasdaq Composite NASD returned to buy signals on their default point and figure charts today, as the indexes gained 7.03% and 7.33%, respectively, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA climbed even higher with a daily gain of 7.73%, also returning its default chart to a buy signal.

As evident on the default charts for the major large-cap equity indices and many individual charts for that matter, increased levels of volatility can muddy the relationship between supply and demand at first glance with large daily price fluctuations; and due to such, reviewing charts on alternative scales can prove beneficial. For example, when reviewing SPX on a 50-point (long-term) chart we note today’s action resulting in a second consecutive buy signal and inevitable higher bottom. When reviewing SPX on a slightly more sensitive 25-point chart, we find the index returning to a buy signal with a triple top break at 2,650. Note how each of these scales suggested resistance in the 2,600 – 2,650 range, adding further significance to the move today. If looking at NASD on a 100-point chart we also see a notable level of resistance breached with a move to 7,900 today, returning the index to a buy signal, while the 200-point chart for the DJIA also broke a triple top at 22,600.

Remember that a scale is considered appropriate when signals lead to consecutive signals, and changes in the trend are indicative of longer-term movements in price. While the weight of the evidence still suggests a defensive posture toward equities in aggregate, the movement today is notable in that it indicates near-term strength/improvement across various scales.

 

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DISCLOSURE

This report is for Internal Use Only and not for distribution to the public. While we make every effort to be free of errors in this report, it contains data obtained from other sources. We believe these sources to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy. Investors who use options should read the Options Disclosure Document before making any particular investment decision. Officers or employees of this firm may now or in the future have a position in the stocks mentioned in this report. Dorsey, Wright is a Registered Investment Advisor with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. Copies of Form ADV Part II are available upon request.
Equity prices provided by Thomson-Reuters. Cross Rate prices provided by Tenfore Systems. Option prices provided by OPRA
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