Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Dec 11, 2025
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Biotech Shows Improvement on the Asset Class Group Scores Page

On the Asset Class Group Scores page, the biotechnology group currently holds fourth place overall and first among all sectors.

NDW Prospecting: Check-a-Month Portfolio

The check-a-month strategy involves buying a group of high-yielding, quarterly-dividend-paying stocks with dividend payment dates spread across the quarter so that the client receives a dividend check(s) each month.

Takeaways from Wednesday's Fed Meeting

FOMC members don't expect much easing of monetary policy in 2026.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Dec 10, 2025

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Last month, we highlighted healthcare’s improvement and noted that it has been the strongest performer in Q4 of 2025. Like most sectors, healthcare is broad and includes multiple sub-groups. Understanding these underlying components can reveal areas of strength and provide insight into which sub-sectors are driving performance.

The biotechnology sector consists of companies that merge biology, science, and technology to develop products that advance health. On the Asset Class Group Scores page—which ranks ETF groups by average fund score—the biotechnology group currently holds fourth place overall and first among all sectors. Since bottoming in May, its average score has surged to 5.04. This sharp rise underscores the group’s tendency to generate strong momentum over short periods. In the NDW Group Matrix, which ranks 40 sub-sectors by relative strength, the NDW Biomedics group sits sixth overall, further confirming the group’s strength. Note that “Biomedics” and “Biotechnology” have slightly different definitions and constituents.

For those interested in gaining exposure in the sector, you could consider the State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI). The fund maintains a strong fund score of 5.75, with a strong score direction of 4.92, demonstrating the strong improvement within the last six months. When looking at XBI on a 1-point scale, the fund sits on 10 consecutive buy signals after completing a double top break at $124. In early September, XBI reversed back into Xs against the market. The weekly OBOS indicates that the fund is in slightly overbought territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before considering. Initial support is at $118, with additional support at $114. Resistance can be seen at $125.

For those interested in stock-specific exposure, you could consider AbbVie Inc. (ABBV). Although ABBV pertains to the "Drugs" NDW Sector group, the business does exhibit some biotech qualities and the stock is a holding in XBI, thus serving as possible exposure into the sector. The 5 for 5’er shifted up from a 4 in May after moving back to a positive trend. The stock sits on 3 consecutive buy signals after breaking a spread triple top at $200 in August. Year-to-date, the stock is up over 25%, demonstrating its outperformance this year. Additionally, the stock offers an impressive yield of 3.10%. Long exposure can be made here. Initial support is at $212, with additional support at $190. Overhead resistance can be seen at $236 and $244.

 

As expected, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points yesterday, but the 10-year US Treasury Yield Index (TNX) also returned to a buy signal and a positive trend on its default chart, possibly signaling the beginning of an uptrend in long-term yields, which would be detrimental to core US bonds.  That’s why we thought today would be an opportune time to update the check-a-month strategy which can be a useful tool for supplementing portfolio yield via high dividend equities.

The check-a-month strategy involves buying a group of high-yielding, quarterly-dividend-paying stocks with dividend payment dates spread across the quarter so that the client receives a dividend check(s) each month.

When building a check-a-month portfolio, it is essential to select not only high-yielding stocks but also stocks with a healthy technical picture to better stack the odds of future outperformance in your favor. After all, your client won't be impressed with their 3% yield if the market value of their portfolio drops by 15%. Looking only at dividend yield, we found that there are 125 stocks in the S&P 500 with a dividend yield of 3% or higher. However, when we narrow our search using a technical overlay, we are left with 28 stocks. A list of all the criteria we inputted in the Security Screener tool is below:

S&P 500 Universe

Price = >$10

Trend = Positive

Technical Attributes = 3+ 

Dividend Yield > 3%

You will find all 28 names in the table below categorized into three groups based on their usual dividend payment schedule.

Early Quarter Dividend Payout (January, April, July, October)

Mid-Quarter Dividend Payout (February, May, August, November)

Late Quarter Dividend Payout (March, June, September, December)

As expected, the Fed reduced the target for the fed funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.5 – 3.75% on Wednesday. The more important outcome from the meeting may be the updated statement of economic projections (SEP) released following the meeting. The SEP shows FOMC expectations for interest rates and the economy over the next two years. The SEP released yesterday showed little change from September’s projections; members’ projections for the level of the federal funds rate were the same as in September. In fact, the only major change was a ½ percent increase to the median projection for 2026 GDP.

The 3.4% projection for the Fed funds rate in 2026 implies roughly one 25 bps reduction to the fed funds rate next year from the current target. The upshot is that unless there is a significant change in employment or inflation there may not be much more easing over the short term. And, during his press conference following the meeting, Chair Powell made several comments implying that we could now be at or near the neutral rate.

Stocks initially reacted positively, as the S&P 500 finished the day up 0.7%, but opened Thursday down almost 1%. If the market was looking for further monetary easing as a catalyst to keep the risk-on momentum going, the latest projections could put a damper on sentiment.

That being said, there is potential cause for the market to discount Wednesday’s data – Powell’s term expires in May of next year, meaning that in roughly six months we will have a new Fed chair. President Trump has made no secret about his desire for lower interest rates and is likely to appoint a chair who will try to deliver additional rate cuts. So, while the projections from the current FOMC don’t imply much in the way of easing next year, things could look different with a new chair leading the committee next year.

At this point, there are no signs that US equities are weakening. In fact, as we’ve discussed over the last couple of weeks, participation has improved recently. But Wednesday’s SEP does introduce a new potential risk factor – that diminished prospects for further easing could dampen sentiment.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

13.14

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
             
Buy signaldvy
       
             
Buy signalVOOG
       
             
Buy signalXLG
       
             
Buy signalfxe
       
             
Buy signalONEQ
       
             
Buy signalQQQ
       
         
Buy signalshy
 
Buy signalSPY
       
         
Sell signallqd
 
Buy signalGLD
Buy signaliwm
     
       
Buy signalief
Sell signaldx/y
Buy signalhyg
Buy signalefa
Buy signalVOOV
     
       
Buy signalagg
Sell signalUSO
Buy signalgsg
Sell signalrsp
Buy signalijr
     
     
Sell signaltlt
Sell signalicf
Buy signalgcc
Buy signalEEM
Sell signaldia
Buy signalIJH
     
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Machinery and Tools $264.32 mid 240s - ow 260s 316 208 5 for 5'er, top half of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip
UBS UBS AG (Switzerland) ADR Banks $41.61 mid-hi 30s 65 30 5 TA rating, top 20% of BANK sector RS matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback, R-R > 3, yield > 2%
BAC Bank of America Banks $54.08 49 - 54 67 44 4 for 5'er, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bullish catapult, 2.1% yield
SHEL Shell PLC Sponsored ADR Oil $72.88 72 - hi 70s 87 65 4 TA rating, top 25% of OIL sector, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, yield > 3%
CME CME Group, Inc. Wall Street $266.33 260s - 270s 312 224 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $107.19 108 - 115 143 95 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield
GFI Gold Fields Limited (South Africa) ADR Precious Metals $43.04 40 - 44 58 35 4 for 5'er, top third of PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, good R-R, 1.8% yield
GVA Granite Construction Inc Building $111.26 hi 90s - mid 100s 157 87 5 for 5'er, top third of BUIL sector matrix, buy on pullback, R-R>3.0
GLDD Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation Building $13.67 11.50 - 12.50 17 10 5 for 5'er, top third of BUIL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread quad top, R-R>2.0
AMG Affiliated Managers Group Wall Street $279.60 hi 230s - lo 260s 298 198 5 TA rating, top of WALL sector matrix, consec buy signals, pos wkly mom, buy-on-pullback
SGI Somnigroup International Inc Household Goods $92.31 80s 125 69 5 for 5'er, top 10% of HOUS sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, good R-R
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance $162.62 mid 150s - hi 160s 206 134 4 TA rating, top 33% of INSU sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, yield > 2%, pos momentum, buy-on-pullback
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $130.50 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield
HSBC HSBC Holding PLC (United Kingdom) ADR Banks $74.08 mid-to-hi 60s 86 54 5 for 5'er, top 10% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, 3% yield
LOGI Logitech International S.A. Computers $120.62 mid 100s - hi 110s 167 87 5 TA rating, top 25% of COMP sector RS matrix, consec buy signals, R-R > 2, buy-on-pullback
ABCB Ameris Bancorp Banks $77.73 70s 92 77 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread quintuple top, 1.1% yield
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc Banks $58.46 low-to-mid 50s 65 44 5 for 5'er, top 20% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, triple top, 3.4% yield
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. Software $300.10 290s - 300s 388 248 5 for 5'er, top third of SOFT sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal
ORI Old Republic International Insurance $43.60 lo-mid 40s 76 384 4 TA rating, top 20% of insurance sector RS matrix, consec buy signals, recent RS buy, R-R > 4
C Citigroup, Inc. Banks $111.09 hi 90s - mid 100s 127 87 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, spread quintuple top, 2.3% yield
BKR Baker Hughes Company Oil Service $48.04 hi 40s-lo 50s 69 41 5 TA rating, top 50% of OILS sector matrix, consec buy signals, LT mkt and peer RS buy, breakout to MYH
DHI D.R. Horton, Inc. Building $155.27 150s - low 160s 222 128 4 for 5'er, top half of BUIL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip, R-R~2.0
LAZ Lazard Inc. Wall Street $50.46 hi 40s - low 50s 69 41 5 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, buy on pullback, good R-R
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $271.23 hi 260s - low 280s 328 240 5 for 5'er, top half of LEIS sector matrix LT pos peer & mkt RS, quintuple top
HCA HCA Healthcare Inc. Healthcare $468.73 450s - lo 500s 588 384 5 TA rating, top 20% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT peer RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
SYF Synchrony Financial Finance $84.55 mid 70s - low 80s 104 69 SYF moved into overbought territory. We will raise our stop to $69.

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

HCA HCA Healthcare Inc. ($481.27) R - Healthcare - HCA has a 5 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top quintile of the favored healthcare sector RS matrix. The stock has given four consecutive buy signals since August and broke out to new all-time highs last month. We have seen the stock maintain an RS buy signal against the market since 2012 and against its peers since early-2023, highlighting the long-term technical strength. The past few weeks saw HCA retract from that extended position, offering a more opportune entry point. Exposure may be considered in the $450s to low $500s. Our initial stop will be positioned at $384, which would violate multiple support levels. The bullish price objective of $588 will serve as our upside target.

 
520.00                                                 X       520.00
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496.00                                                 X C     496.00
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472.00                                             X   X O     472.00
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416.00                                     9   X O X           416.00
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384.00                     X O     X O X O X                   384.00
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372.00                     X 6 X   X     O X                   372.00
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348.00 X O           X   5           O X                 348.00
344.00 X O X     X O X           O X                 344.00
340.00 X O X O X X X O X           O X                 340.00
336.00 X O X O X O X O X O X           O X                 336.00
332.00 X O X O X O X O X O X           O                   332.00
328.00 X O X O X O O X O                                 328.00
324.00 X O X O     O X                                     324.00
320.00 X O         O X                                     320.00
316.00 X           O                                       316.00

 

 

AU AngloGold Ashanti Limited (South Africa) ADR ($85.88) - Precious Metals - AU returned to a buy signal Thursday when it broke a triple top at $86. The move adds to an already positive technical picture as AU is a 5 for 5'er that ranks fourth out of 30 names in the precious metals sector matrix. From here, the next level of resistance sits at $89. Meanwhile, support can be found at $79.
AXP American Express Company ($382.00) - Finance - AXP shares moved higher today to break a double top at $380 to mark its fifth consecutive buy signal and reach a new all-time high. This 5 for 5'er has been in a positive trend since November 2023 and on an RS buy signal versus the market since February 2022. AXP shares are trading above the mid-point of their ten-week trading band with a weekly overbought/oversold reading of 49%. From here, support is offered at $336.
CNR Core Natural Resources Inc. ($87.34) - Oil - CNR gave a second consecutive buy signal and returned to a positive trend Thursday when it broke a double top at $87. The outlook for the stock remains unfavorable, however, as even with the positive trend change CNR is a 2 for 5'er and ranks in the bottom half of the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of overhead resistance sits at $91.
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. ($129.62) - Retailing - DLTR broke a double top at $126 for a fifth buy signal as shares rallied to $130, marking a 52-week high. The stock is a 3 for 5'er that ranks maintained a positive trend since April and possesses positive near-term market and peer RS. This action places the stock in overbought territory above the top of the 10-week trading band, so those seeking exposure are best to look for consolidation in the $120 range along with normalization of the 10-week trading band before considering. Initial support lies at $118, while additional can be found in the $98 to $99 range.
ESAB ESAB Corporation ($116.58) - Machinery and Tools - ESAB moved back into a positive trend today and will shift back to a technically acceptable 3/5'er... but buyer beware the overall technical outlook is still quite bleak. Back and forth action leaves a range of resistance between $118 and $134. Continue to avoid until further technical improvement is seen.
EXPE Expedia Group Inc. ($281.25) - Leisure - EXPE broke a double top at $280 for a second buy signal and to mark a new all-time chart high. The stock has maintained a positive trend since May and shows positive near and long-term market and peer RS, making it a 5 for 5'er in TA rating. The stock also ranks 2nd (out of 58) within the Leisure sector matrix and within the top decile of the Top 500 Large Cap matrix. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback toward the middle of the 10-week trading band. Initial support on the default chart lies at $236, while additional can be found at $212.
FIVE Five Below Inc ($183.13) - Retailing - FIVE reversed into Xs and broke a double top at $182 for a fourth buy signal as shares rallied to $184, marking a 52-week high. The stock has maintained a positive trend since April of this year and shows positive near and long-term RS against the market and peer group, making it a 5 for 5'er in TA rating. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the upper $170s. Initial support lies at $174, while additional can be found at $160 and $150.
HAS Hasbro, Inc. ($83.89) - Leisure - HAS reversed into Xs and broke a double top at $84 for a third buy signal as shares rallied to $85, marking a new 52-week high. The stock has maintained a positive trend since April and shows positive near and long-term RS versus the market and peer group. HAS also ranks within the top third of the Leisure sector matrix and is accompanied by a yield of roughly 3.5%. Okay to consider here on the breakout. Initial support lies at $80, while additional may be found at $75 and $71.
IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. ($62.57) - Chemicals - IFF fell to a sell signal Thursday after unsuccessfully testing its bearish resistance line. The move adds to an already weak technical picture as IFF is a 1 for 5'er . From here, the next level of support sits at $62.
ORCL Oracle Corporation ($198.84) - Software - ORCL moved lower Thursday after the company's earnings release, breaking a double bottom at $196 before falling back into a negative trend with movement to $188. This drops the stock down to a 2 for 5 TA rating for the name ranked in the bottom quintile of the software sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is now weak and deteriorating. Further support may be seen at $186. Overhead resistance is seen initially at $224.
PSX Phillips 66 ($142.74) - Oil Service - PSX returned to a buy signal Thursday when it broke a spread triple top at $144. The move adds to modestly positive technical picture as PSX Is a 3 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the oil service sector matrix. From here, the next level of overhead resistance sits at $150. Meanwhile, support can be found at $132.
URBN Urban Outfitters, Inc. ($81.60) - Retailing - URBN broke a triple top at $80 for a second buy signal as shares rallied to $81, a new all-time chart high. The stock shifted back into a positive trend in the latter part of November while the market RS chart shifted back to Xs, increasing the stock up to a 4 for 5'er in TA rating. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the mid to upper $70s. Initial support lies at $74, while additional can be found at $64, the bullish support line.
URI United Rentals, Inc. ($836.35) - Machinery and Tools - Shares of URI broke a double top at $832 to move back to a buy signal. United Rentals has weakened in recent months, losing near-term relative strength versus both the market and its peer group, bringing URI down to a 3 for 5’er. Those with positions can continue to hold for now but should watch for further deterioration, such as movement below the bullish support line at $736. Initial support for the fund also lies at $784 and $776.

 

Daily Option Ideas for December 11, 2025

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Amazon.com Inc. - $229.65 AMZN2620C230 Buy the March 230.00 calls at 17.25 208.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Wells Fargo & Company ( WFC) Dec. 85.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 6.15 (CP: 8.15)
3M Company ( MMM) Mar. 165.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 10.30 (CP: 12.30)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Starbucks Corporation - $84.66 SBUX2620O80 Buy the March 80.00 puts at 3.85 90.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
Elevance Health Inc. ( ELV) Feb. 320.00 Puts Stopped at 352.00 (CP: 359.30)
American International Group, Inc. ( AIG) Feb. 77.50 Puts Stopped at 80.00 (CP: 82.92)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Amphenol Corporation $ 138.68 APH2620C140 Mar. 140.00 12.30 $ 63,970.15 30.75% 31.09% 7.78%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Tesla Inc. ( TSLA) - 451.45 Sell the February 450.00 Calls.
SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI) - 27.09 Sell the February 30.00 Calls.
APA Corp ( APA) - 26.32 Sell the March 27.50 Calls.
Modine Manufacturing Company ( MOD) - 162.66 Sell the January 160.00 Calls.
Tapestry Inc. ( TPR) - 117.73 Sell the February 120.00 Calls.
Estee Lauder Companies ( EL) - 107.28 Sell the March 105.00 Calls.
Vertiv Holdings LLC ( VRT) - 181.82 Sell the January 185.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
Barrick Mining Corporation ( B - 41.76 ) March 41.00 covered write.

 

Most Requested Symbols