iShares (Thurs.)
Published: Aug 27, 2020
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There are changes to two iShares models this week. The iShares Tactical Model ISHRTACTICAL removed the iShares NASDAQ Biotech ETF IBB and added the iShares Silver Trust SLV. The iShares Sector Rotation Model also sold the iShares NASDAQ Biotech ETF IBB.

IBB was removed from ISHRTACTICAL because its rank in the model’s relative strength matrix fell below the threshold to remain a holding in the portfolio. In its place the model added SLV as it was the highest-ranking fund in the model matrix that was not already a holding in the portfolio. This is the eighth change to the model this year. SLV currently has a strong 5.10 fund score a positive 3.09 score direction. On its default chart, SLV has given four consecutive buy signals, most recently breaking a double top at $26. SLV has most recently found support at three levels between $21.50 and $24.

In addition to SLV, the model now has exposure to software, consumer services, oil & gas exploration, oil equipment & services, medical devices, home construction, and semiconductors. Year-to-date (through 8/26) ISHRTACTICAL is up 14.79% vs. the S&P 500 SPX which has gained 7.67%.

ISHRSECT utilizes a relative strength versus benchmark methodology which compares each of the funds in the model universe against the iShares Dow Jones US ETF IYY. Those funds showing near-term relative strength against the benchmark (i.e. are in a column of Xs) are included in the portfolio and are removed only when they show weakness relative to the benchmark. When an addition or deletion is made, the portfolio is rebalanced so each position is equally weighted. IBB was removed from the portfolio because it reversed down into a column of Os on its relative strength chart against IYY, demonstrating short-term relative weakness. Year-to-date, ISHRSECT has gained 9.83%.  The full model holdings can be seen below.

This section of the report categorizes select iShares Fixed Income and Currency ETPs by their respective fund groups. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Inflation Protection Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.8 TIP iShares Barclays US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities 5.19
STIP iShares Barclays 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF 3.85
Municipal Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.2 SUB iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF 4.51
NYF iShares New York Muni Bond ETF 3.42
MUB iShares National Municipal Bond ETF 2.61
CMF iShares California Municipal Bond ETF 2.51
Global Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.0 ISHG iShares S&P Citigroup 1-3 Year Intl. Treas. Bond ETF 5.22
IGOV iShares S&P Citigroup International Treasury Bond ETF 5.17
EMB iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 4.73
IPFF iShares S&P International Preferred Stock ETF 2.90
Corporate Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.0 LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF 4.14
FLOT iShares Floating Rate Note ETF 3.81
Agency Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.0 AGZ iShares Barclays Agency Bond ETF 3.77
Treasury Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.0 GBF iShares Barclays Government Credit Bond ETF 5.10
GVI iShares Barclays Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF 4.87
IEI iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF 3.91
TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF 3.80
SHV iShares Barclays Short Treasury Bond ETF 3.80
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Tres. Bond ETF 3.65
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF 3.48
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 3.03
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.0 IGIB iShares Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF 5.30
AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF 4.58
MBB iShares Barclays MBS Fixed-Rate Bond ETF 4.38
IGLB iShares Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF 4.13
USIG iShares Broad USD Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF 3.87
High Yield Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.0 HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 3.66
 

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time with an "average level" to give us a general picture of whether the iShare ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong market ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. 

Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell. The Distribution Curve below displays those ETFs with positive RS in uppercase letters and those ETFs with poor RS versus the market in lowercase letters. As well, those ETFs that are on a Point & Figure Buy signal appear in Green letters, while those on Sell signals can appear in Red letters. Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

 

Average Level

46.50

                       
                     
                     
                   
                   
                 
                 
                 
               
             
             
             
         
         
         
         
       
       
     
<--100 -100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->

 

This section of the report categorizes select iShares ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Large Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.9 IWY iShares Russell Top 200 Growth ETF 5.86
IVW iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF 5.76
OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF 5.71
IWL iShares Russell Top 200 ETF 4.67
IYY iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF 4.65
IWB iShares Russell 1000 ETF 4.53
IVV iShares S&P 500 Index 4.36
IWX iShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF 2.43
IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF 2.42
IVE iShares S&P 500 Value ETF 2.40
Small Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF 5.37
IJT iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Growth ETF 4.99
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF 3.12
IJR iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund 2.66
IJS iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETF 2.29
IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF 2.26
Global Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF 5.16
BKF iShares MSCI BRIC ETF 4.66
JPXN iShares JPX-Nikkei 400 ETF 3.01
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF 2.99
IEV iShares Europe ETF 2.83
EPP iShares MSCI Pacific ex-Japan Index Fund 2.53
ILF iShares S&P Latin America 40 ETF 0.79
Mid Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.4 IWP iShares Russell Midcap Growth ETF 5.53
IJK iShares S&P MidCap 400 Growth ETF 5.14
IWR iShares Russell Midcap ETF 4.36
IJH iShares S&P MidCap 400 Index Fund 3.09
IWS iShares Russell Midcap Value ETF 2.53
IJJ iShares S&P MidCap 400 Value ETF 2.16
Sector Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.3 ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF 5.90
IYW iShares U.S. Tech. ETF 5.86
SOXX iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF 5.73
IGV iShares North American Tech-Software ETF 5.72
IHI iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF 5.29
IYC iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF 5.24
IYK iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF 4.80
IYT iShares U.S. Transportation ETF 4.50
IYM iShares U.S. Basic Materials ETF 4.50
IHF iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF 4.26
IYJ iShares U.S. Industrial ETF 4.20
IBB iShares NASDAQ Biotech ETF 4.20
IYH iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF 4.15
IGN iShares North American Tech-Multimedia Networking ETF 3.71
IAI iShares U.S. Broker Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF 3.65
IAI iShares U.S. Broker Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF 3.65
IYF iShares U.S. Financial ETF 3.24
IHE iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF 3.20
IYZ iShares U.S. Telecom ETF 2.63
IDU iShares U.S. Utilities ETF 1.81
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF 1.81
IEZ iShares U.S. Oil Equip. & Svcs. ETF 1.52
IAK iShares U.S. Insurance ETF 1.13
IAT iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF 1.04
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF 0.84
IGE iShares North American Natural Resources ETF 0.78
IYE iShares U.S. Energy ETF 0.69
IEO iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF 0.49
 

Weekly Updates: The iShares Tactical Model ISHRTACTICAL removed the iShares NASDAQ Biotech ETF IBB and added the iShares Silver Trust SLV. The iShares Sector Rotation Model also sold the iShares NASDAQ Biotech ETF IBB

iShares Sector Rotation Model ISHRSECT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares North American Natural Resources ETF IGE 12.500% 6.3990 05/06/2020
iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF IGM 12.500% 0.3920 03/04/2009
iShares North American Tech-Software ETF IGV 12.500% 0.3830 11/07/2007
iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF IYC 12.500% 0.8150 04/28/2010
iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF IYH 12.500% 1.1400 04/22/2020
iShares U.S. Industrial ETF IYJ 12.500% 1.2230 02/09/2011
iShares U.S. Tech. ETF IYW 12.500% 0.6240 03/04/2009
iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF SOXX 12.500% 1.0070 06/18/2014
 

iShares Tactical Model ISHRTACTICAL

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares North American Tech-Software ETF IGV 12.500% 0.3830 01/27/2016
iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF IYC 12.500% 0.8150 04/29/2010
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF IEO 12.500% 3.2770 06/10/2020
iShares U.S. Oil Equip. & Svcs. ETF IEZ 12.500% 4.3040 05/27/2020
iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF IHI 12.500% 0.2810 01/20/2016
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF ITB 12.500% 0.4210 05/20/2020
iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF SOXX 12.500% 1.0070 08/28/2019
iShares Silver Trust SLV 12.500% 0.0000 08/26/2020

iShares International Model ISHRINTL

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF EWL 20.000% 1.4790 03/11/2020
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF EWN 20.000% 0.9120 03/04/2020
iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF EWT 20.000% 2.2600 12/04/2019
iShares MSCI New Zealand ETF ENZL 20.000% 2.6135 05/22/2019
iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF IYY 20.000% 1.4600 08/29/2018

iShares Fixed Income Model ISHRFIXED

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF IGLB 20.000% 3.4240 07/22/2020
iShares International High Yield Bond ETF HYXU 20.000% 1.1560 07/29/2020
IShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF EMHY 20.000% 5.7900 05/27/2020
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF LQD 20.000% 2.9160 07/01/2020
iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF PFF 20.000% 5.4681 04/15/2020

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