There are no changes to any of the iShares models this week. While domestic equities remain at the top of the DALI asset class rankings, international equities have largely outpaced US equities this year. Year-to-date (through 11/26), the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) are up 25.47% and 29.70% on a price return basis, respectively, while the S&P 500 (SPX) is up a little under 16%. Investors looking for opportunities to add international exposure should keep an eye on the iShares MSCI Finland ETF (EFNL). After forming a double top at $46.50, EFNL broke a double bottom at $44.50 in last week’s trading, setting up a potential shakeout pattern on its chart. Those interested in adding exposure, can set an alert for a reversal into Xs on EFNL’s chart, which would be the action phase of the shakeout pattern; the pattern would be completed with a triple top break at $47.

EFNL currently has a near-perfect 5.89 fund score, which is 1.26 points better than the average for all non-US equity funds, and a positive 1.98 score direction. Prior to last week’s double bottom break, the fund had completed four consecutive buy signals. Year-to-date, EFNL has gained 40% on a price return basis; the fund also carries a 3.9% yield.  

This section of the report categorizes select iShares Fixed Income and Currency ETPs by their respective fund groups. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time with an "average level" to give us a general picture of whether the iShare ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong market ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. 

Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell. The Distribution Curve below displays those ETFs with positive RS in uppercase letters and those ETFs with poor RS versus the market in lowercase letters. As well, those ETFs that are on a Point & Figure Buy signal appear in Green letters, while those on Sell signals can appear in Red letters. Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

This section of the report categorizes select iShares ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Weekly Updates: No changes.