Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jan 27, 2026
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Health Check

Major health insurers were sent into a frenzy Monday evening (1/26) after the Medicare Advantage Plan rates for 2026 were set.

Mega Cap Earnings Preview

Reviewing the technical picture of major stocks ahead of earnings including META, TSLA, MSFT, AAPL, MA, and V.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Jan 21, 2026

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Health Check

by David Clark

Major health insurers were sent into a frenzy Monday evening (1/26) after the Medicare Advantage Plan rates for 2026 were set at an average of 0.09% increase in payments to private insurance companies, while the expectation was for an increase was close to the 4% to 5% range. While the final rate announcement is scheduled for April 6th, 2026, shares of some of the major insurance companies moved notably south after Monday’s, which coincided with the announcement for earnings for at least one of those major insurance companies – UnitedHealth (UNH).

While earnings provided mixed results including a slight profit and soft guidance for UNH, much of the downside action can be attributed to the reaction from the underwhelming Medicare rate increase. Tuesday’s intraday action saw UNH drop nearly 20%, sending the chart into Os and returning to stock to a sell signal while violating multiple levels of support. Additionally, the market and peer relative strength charts have shifted back into Os after having been in Xs since August, which will cause the stock to drop to a 0 for 5’er. Tuesday’s downside action negates the technical improvement that had occurred for UNH, but it was not the only stock to see its technical picture deteriorate.

Along with UNH, CVS Health Corporation (CVS) and Humana (HUM) were among the major downside movers in reaction to the initial Medicare rate announcement. Prior to Tuesday’s action, CVS had improved to a 3 for 5’er and recently rallied to within one box of its 52-week high from October 2025. Tuesday’s downside drove the trend chart in Os and back to a sell signal by breaking a double bottom at $77 as shares fell to $71, violating the bullish support line in the process. The trendline violation, along with a reversal into Os on its market RS chart, will drop CVS down to a 1 for 5’er.

Humana (HUM) witnessed similar downside to UNH as it fell roughly 20% intraday, sending the chart of HUM into Os and returning the stock to a negative trend as shares fell to $208, matching the 2025 and multi-year chart low. Along with the shift into a negative trend, the peer RS chart appears it will move to an RS sell signal, which will drop the stock down to a 0 for 5’er.

While the three aforementioned names were the notable breakdowns among the major healthcare insurance companies, there were other, smaller cap insurers that witnessed downside and technical breakdowns. There are also a small number that maintained their technical picture despite Tuesday’s action, an example of which is Molina Healthcare (MOH). While the chart did reverse into Os down to $190 from the recent rally high at $200, MOH continues to maintain a buy signal and positive trend. The stock also maintains above notable support in the mid $180s and upper $170s.

Though the Medicare Advantage Plan rates aren’t finalized until April, investors have seen the technical pictures of those potentially impacted most already see changes and, in some cases, negate improvement that had occurred in the back-half of 2025. Those names maintaining recent technical improvements despite Tuesday’s action will be ones to monitor.

Mega Cap Earnings Preview

by Ian Saunders

Earnings season kicks into high gear this week, with over 100 companies from the S&P 500 Index set to report earnings. This includes many of the largest and most followed stocks in the index, such as four of the “Magnificent 7” names. While the Magnificent 7 has been anything but magnificent so far this year, most investors have high exposure to those stocks given their heavy weighting in most major market benchmarks. Other important stocks to report this week include Visa V and Mastercard MA. Even though these names are included in the financial sector, some would argue that these stocks show a truer perspective on the modern consumer as their credit cards represent over 77% of all credit card activity in the US (source: WalletHub). Today, we will review the current technical picture of these stocks, highlighting key support and resistance areas to monitory heading into each earnings report.

Magnificent 7 Names Reporting this Week:

Meta Platform Inc. (META) – Earnings Expected 1/28 PM – META has shown technical deterioration over the past few months, falling from a 5 to a 3 TA rating. The stock saw a sharp drop to kick off the year, moving to a sell signal before ultimately reversing back up into a column of Xs to initiate a shakeout pattern. The weight of the technical evidence is mixed; the long-term picture remains intact while the near-term picture has shown weakness. The shakeout pattern would be completed with a potential triple top pattern just one box higher at $680. Further resistance from there can be seen at $752, near the top of the current trading band. Initial support can be seen at $600 with further support at $584.

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) – Earnings Expected 1/28 PM – TSLA has been one of the few mega-cap names to show notable technical improvement in recent months. It ticked up to a 5 for 5 TA rating at the end of November when it pushed back to a positive trend. We did see a pullback after that sharp move higher, but the stock seems to be consolidating around the middle of its trading band ahead of earnings. Initial support is seen at $424 with further support seen at $396, the current location of the positive trend line, and $384. Overhead resistance may be seen at the all-time chart high of $496.

Microsoft Corportation (MSFT) – Earnings Expected 1/28 PM – MSFT has been one of the more resilient members of the Mag 7, but did get downgraded two weeks ago to a 4 for 5 TA rating. Still, this stock has maintained an RS buy signal against the market since 2015 and been in a positive trend since last April. The recent market action saw MSFT fall to a sell signal and drop another seven Os, negating the shakeout pattern set-up. The stock then reversed back into a column of Xs to be positioned directly in-line with the middle of its trading band ahead of earnings. Initial support can be seen at $440. Overhead resistance can be seen at the all-time chart highs of $552, seen last July and October.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) – Earnings expected 1/29 PM – While Apple has come under fire as a corporation for not fully embracing the AI wave, AAPL the stock has maintained a very consistent technical picture since pushing back to a positive trend last July. The stock has rattled off five consecutive buy signals and possess a 5 for 5 TA rating. Recent chart action saw AAPL reverse back up into a column of Xs at $260, just below the middle of its trading band. Initial support can be seen at $244 with further support seen at $228 and $212, the current location of the positive trend line. Overhead resistance may be seen initially at $288, the all-time highs reached last December.

Major Credit Cards:

Mastercard Incorporated Class A (MA) – Earnings Expected 1/29 AM – MA has seen some weakness over the past few weeks to currently be positioned at a spread triple bottom formation at $528. This is also testing the positive trend line that has been in place since December 2024. That puts the 3 for 5’er in danger of falling into weak attribute territory for the first time since January 2022. Further support past the current level can be seen at $488 and $472. Overhead resistance may be seen initially at $584 and at the all-time highs of $600.

Visa Inc. (V) – Earnings Expected 1/29 PM – Visa represents approximately twice the credit card users as Mastercard, representing over half of the credit cards in the US. The stock V has essentially been consolidating since the beginning of 2025. The stock peaked at $372 in June began to trend lower until December. The past several weeks have seen some back and forth action that recently led the stock to move back to a negative trend two weeks ago. The technical picture is mixed; the near-term picture has shown uncertainty while the long-term relative strength picture still remains intact. V is close to support at $320, with further support seen at $316 and $300. Overhead resistance may be seen initially at $356.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

43.42

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
                       
           
Buy signalshy
 
Buy signaldia
     
           
Sell signaltlt
 
Buy signalVOOV
     
           
Buy signalagg
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalhyg
     
           
Sell signalicf
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signalijr
 
Buy signalefa
Buy signalEEM
           
Sell signallqd
Buy signalSPY
Buy signaliwm
Buy signalrsp
Buy signalfxe
Buy signalgcc
   
Sell signaldx/y
 
Sell signalief
Buy signalXLG
Buy signalVOOG
Buy signaluso
Buy signalIJH
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalgsg
Buy signalGLD
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $128.58 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield, Earn 2/20
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $297.12 hi 260s - low 280s 328 240 5 for 5'er, top half of LEIS sector matrix LT pos peer & mkt RS, quintuple top, Earn. 2/11
BCO The Brink's Company Protection Safety Equipment $125.30 mid 110s - low 120s 152 104 5 for 5'er, top half of PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R>2.0, Earn. 2/25
CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. Real Estate $170.31 hi 150s - lo 170s 188 134 5 TA rating, top 10% of REAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/12
IMAX Imax Corporation Media $34.75 33 - hi 30s 53 26 5 TA rating, top 20% of Media sector matrix, LT pos trend, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/18
FIX Comfort Systems U.S.A. Building $1127.55 960 - mid 1100s 1376 864 5 TA rating, top 10% of BUIL sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/19
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Banks $88.05 mid 80s - low 90s 128 76 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0
JPM J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Banks $301.04 lo 300s - mid 320s 380 256 5 TA rating, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback
AER AerCap Holdings NV Aerospace Airline $143.65 mid 130 - mid 140 167 118 5/5'er since 4/25, LT pos. mkt and peer RS since '22, buy on pullback, Earn. 2/6
ETR Entergy Corporation Utilities/Electricity $94.97 low-to-mid 90s 107 86 5 for 5'er, top 20% of EUTI sector matrix, 2.7% yield Earn. 2/12
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. Retailing $60.80 61 - hi 60s 101 50 5 TA rating, top 10% of RETA sector matrix, LT RS buy, recent pos trend, consec buy signals, buy on pullback
BWA BorgWarner Inc. Autos and Parts $47.77 mid-to-hi 40s 83 40 4 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, multiple buy signals, R-R>4.0, 1.4% yield, Earn. 2/11
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Real Estate $357.21 340s - 350s 416 308 5 for 5'er, #2 of 121 in REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, Earn. 2/18
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp Banks $67.42 64 - lo 70s 90 54 5 TA rating, top half of BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Follow-Up Comments

Comment
There are currently no follow-up comments.

NDW Spotlight Stock

 

HWC Hancock Whitney Corp ($67.50) R - Banks - HWC has a 5 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top half of the favored banks sector RS matrix. The stock has maintained an RS buy signal against the market since 2020 and been in a positive trend since last November. The recent action saw HWC notch a new all-time high last week before retracting back toward the middle of its trading band. The technical picture remains decidedly positive, allowing this to serve as a buy-on-pullback opportunity. Exposure may be considered from $64 to the low $70s. Our initial stop will be positioned at $54, which would violate multiple support levels and move the stock to a negative trend. The bullish price objective of $90 will serve as our price target.

 

                                                  26        
71.00                                                 X       71.00
70.00                                                 X O     70.00
69.00                                                 X O     69.00
68.00                                                 X O     68.00
67.00                                             X   1 O     67.00
66.00                                             X O X       66.00
65.00                                           X O X       65.00
64.00                             X   X       X O       Mid 64.00
63.00                             X O X O X     X           63.00
62.00                   X   X   X O X O X O   C           62.00
61.00 X                 X O X O X A   O X O   X           61.00
60.00 X O               X O X O X     O X O X   X           60.00
59.00 X O               7 O X 8 X     O   O X O X         59.00
58.00   O       X       X O   O X       O B O X         58.00
57.00   O       X O     X     O         O X O X         57.00
56.00   O         X O X   X               O X O         Bot 56.00
55.00   3         X O X O X               O             55.00
54.00   O X       5 O X O X                               54.00
53.00   O X O     X 6   O                                   53.00
52.00   O X O     X                                         52.00
51.00   O X 4     X                                         51.00
50.00   O   O X   X                                         50.00
49.00       O X O X                                         49.00
48.00       O X O X                                         48.00
47.00       O X O X                                         47.00
46.00       O X O                                           46.00
45.00       O X                                             45.00
44.00       O                                               44.00
                                                  26        

 

 

CNR Core Natural Resources Inc. ($96.91) - Oil - CNR fell to a sell signal Tuesday when it broke a triple bottom at $95. Tuesday's move adds to an already unfavorable technical picture as CNR is a 2 for 5'er. From here, the next level of support is CNR's bullish support line at $92.
CSGP CoStar Group Inc. ($65.98) - Real Estate - CSGP rose Tuesday to break a double top at $69, ending its streak of seven consecutive sell signals. However, the 0 for 5'er continues to trade in a negative trend while lacking relative strength, keeping it in firm sell territory for now. From here, initial resistance lies at $70 then $79, with the bearish resistance line at $80.
CVS CVS Health Corp. ($72.58) - Retailing - CVS broke a triple bottom at $77 to return to a sell signal as shares fell down to $71. This move violates the bullish support line, moving the stock into a negative trend, and the market RS chart appears it will reverse into Os, dropping the stock down to a 1 for 5'er. Support for the stock now lies at $70, while additional can be found in the lower $60s.
ELV Elevance Health Inc. ($325.71) - Healthcare - ELV moved lower to complete a double bottom break at $336, marking an intraday low below $324. The 1 for 5'er shifted down from a 2 with its latest move after reversing back into a negative trend. A sell can be considered here given the weight of the evidence and the normalization of the 10-week trading band. Initial resistance is at $380, with additional resistance $400.
GM General Motors ($87.03) - Autos and Parts - GM broke a double top at $86 to return to a buy signal as shares rallied to $87, marking a new chart high. GM is a 5 for 5'er that ranks within the top decile of the Autos and Parts sector matrix. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the lower $80s. Initial support lies at $78, while additional can be found in the upper $60s.
HCA HCA Healthcare Inc. ($508.34) - Healthcare - HCA reversed back into Xs, completing a double top at $496, marking its fifth consecutive buy signal and a new all-time intraday high above $520. The 5 for 5'er ranks in the top quartile of the healthcare sector matrix rank. Long exposure can be made here. Initial strong support is at $464, with additional support at $448.
SYY Sysco Corporation ($83.00) - Food Beverages/Soap - Shares of SYY rocketed higher on the back of earnings, breaking a double top at $80 for its second consecutive buy signal. The stock returned to a positive trend earlier this month, but it's still in sell territory as a 2 for 5'er, so it's only a name to watch for now. From here, initial resistance lies close by at $83.
UAL United Airlines Holdings Inc. ($104.60) - Aerospace Airline - UAL broke a double bottom at $106 for a second buy signal since the stock's near-term peak of $118. The stock continues to maintain a 4 technical attribute rating and ranks within the top half of the Aerospace Airline sector matrix. From here, prior resistance around the $100 range may be seen as near-term support, while the bullish support line resides at $94.
UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated ($281.41) - Healthcare - UNH reversed back into Os, completing a bullish reversal at $324 and marking an intraday low below $284. The 0 for 5'er lost 2 points with its latest move after reversing back into Os against both the market and its peers. The weekly OBOS indicates that the stock is in oversold territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before selling your position. Initial resistance can be seen at $356, with additional resistance at $380.
YELP Yelp Inc ($27.44) - Internet - YELP fell Tuesday to break a double bottom at $27, marking a third consecutive sell signal and a new multi-year low. This 0 for 5'er has shown consistent technical weakness and should be avoided. Further support may be seen at $26. Overhead resistance may be seen at $31. Note that earnings are expected on 2/12.

 

Daily Option Ideas for January 27, 2026

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
State Street Corporation - $127.62 O: 26E125.00D15 Buy the May 125.00 calls at 9.30 122.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Gilead Sciences, Inc. ( GILD) Mar. 125.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 14.45 (CP: 16.45)
Corning Incorporated ( GLW) Feb. 87.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 19.95 (CP: 21.95)
Walmart Inc. ( WMT) Mar. 115.00 Calls Stopped at 6.45 (CP: 6.00)
CVS Health Corp. ( CVS) May. 82.50 Calls Stopped at 74.00 (CP: 72.69)
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ( ADM) Mar. 62.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 4.40 (CP: 6.40)
Amazon.com Inc. ( AMZN) Apr. 240.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 17.00 (CP: 19.00)
Microsoft Corporation ( MSFT) Apr. 450.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 43.20 (CP: 45.20)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
General Mills, Inc. - $44.71 O: 26P45.00D17 Buy the April 45.00 puts at 2.30 50.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
NextEra Energy, Inc. ( NEE) Dec. 82.50 Puts Stopped at 88.00 (CP: 88.42)
Sysco Corporation ( SYY) Mar. 75.00 Puts Stopped at 82.00 (CP: 83.20)
CoStar Group Inc. ( CSGP) Mar. 65.00 Puts Stopped at 69.00 (CP: 66.57)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Dollar Tree, Inc. $ 125.40 O: 26C125.00D20 Mar. 125.00 6.40 $ 58,265.25 43.69% 30.84% 4.21%
Still Recommended
Name Action
On Semiconductor Corp. ( ON) - 61.13 Sell the March 60.00 Calls.
Dexcom Inc. ( DXCM) - 73.34 Sell the February 70.00 Calls.
Semtech Corporation ( SMTC) - 81.17 Sell the February 80.00 Calls.
Alphabet Inc. Class A ( GOOGL) - 333.26 Sell the May 335.00 Calls.
Carnival Corporation ( CCL) - 28.67 Sell the April 29.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
No Additions to This Section

 

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