Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Dec 23, 2025
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Daily Summary

Copper Conduction

Copper continues to recent rally and shows positive relative strength.

Most Popular Charts of 2025

There were a few surprises for the most popular charts of the year but the magnificent seven never seemed to lose its luster.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Dec 17, 2025

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Copper Conduction

by David Clark

Monday’s (12/22) action marked a notable upside day for the broader commodity space with gold (GC/) and silver (SI/) moving to all-time highs above $4400 and $69. Meanwhile, crude oil (CL/) rebounded off recent lows, reversing higher after moving above $58. Action in the early morning hours Tuesday  (12/23) saw gold and silver improve upon Monday’s highs with prices rallying above $4500 and $70. While geopolitical developments regarding Venezuela over the weekend brought the aforementioned price developments, Friday’s (12/19) action brought positive developments for another key commodity.

On the default point and figure chart for copper (HG/), Friday’s action led to a quadruple top break at $5.44 and a fifth consecutive buy signal since early October. This action follows a trend reversal back to positive earlier in December and a switch back to positive monthly momentum for the key economic industrial metal. Intraday action Tuesday has brought copper prices above $5.60, placing the metal at the top of the 10-week trading band and most overbought level since July this year. All-time chart highs from that time reside at $5.88, while near-term support has developed in the mid to upper $5.20 range.

Alongside the breakout Friday, the relative strength chart comparing copper to the S&P GSCI Commodity Index (SPGSCI) reversed back into Xs after the chart had been in Os since March of this year. While long-term relative strength has favored copper since April 2024, near-term relative strength now favors copper. Another example of copper and the broader industrial metals space recent relative improvement can be seen within NDW’s DALI Commodity Rankings, where the group has climbed from last (fourth) in early October to second behind precious metals. Given copper’s economic importance, this is a positive development in what has been an uncertain near-term economic period capping off 2025.

Those interested in potential exposure to copper could look to the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER), which has maintained a buy signal since late October. Action earlier this month brought about a second buy signal, while recent trading has brought the fund above $34 to challenge the bearish resistance line. From here, a move above $34.50 would flip the trend back to positive. CPER maintains an acceptable fund score of 4.72 due to the fund’s strong relative performance in the near-term against equities and its commodity peers, which is higher than the average score for a fund within the commodities (3.48) and materials (3.84) groups on the Asset Class Group Scores. The ETF’s all-time chart high from July resides at $36.50, while support can be found at $30.50 and $27.50.

Most Popular Charts of 2025

by Joseph Tuzzolo

As we near the close of 2025, there were plenty of interesting developments in the market this year. International equities look like they’ll close out the year at the top of our major market ETF rankings in terms of annual performance. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) and the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) will be the top two performing major market ETFs for the first time since 2006, presuming the rankings stay the same through the end of the year. Of course, it was a strong year for large cap domestic equities as well with the AI-related names building on their strong 2024 in 2025. On the commodities’ front, gold is having one of its best years ever with a nearly 70% gain and outpacing the S&P 500 by over 50%. While we remain in a US equity-dominated market, it has been a great year for those that wanted other options outside the core US. A fun way to see how our users have handled this shifting market landscape is by looking at the most clicked on charts for the year. One can usually guess the most visited charts but there are always some surprises about what does and doesn’t rank highly each year.

Expected: Mag Seven’s Reign Continues

This year’s most clicked on charts are littered with the Magnificent Seven with all seven falling in the top 20 most visited charts. Other individual stock names that were expectedly high up on the most visited charts were Palantir (PLTR), Broadcom (AVGO), and Oracle (ORCL). From an ETF standpoint, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) were the most visited charts this year with roughly an equal number of visitors. However, the chart for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) had more than both SPY and QQQ individually, so it’s only fair to give the edge to the S&P 500 as the most popular. With gold’s electric run this year, it’s also not a surprise to find it amongst the most popular charts this year.

Unexpected: International Remains Unpopular and Healthcare Shakes Off Poor Relative Strength

As mentioned earlier, this has been the best relative year for international equities in nearly 20 years but neither EEM and EFA could crack the top 75 most visited charts finishing behind charts like Lockheed Martin (LMT) and the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). IBIT is down 5.58% year-to-date. UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and Eli Lilly (LLY) were popular charts this year. While LLY’s popularity makes a lot of sense as it is up nearly 40% this year, UNH is down roughly 35%. Admittedly, UNH is a very popular name and had a large news-driven decline but it being the 16th most visited chart is a bit surprising. UNH finished ahead of other stocks like Netflix (NFLX), Costco (COST), and J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM). As this year comes to an end we’ll see if precious metals and international equities can build on an exceptional 2025 while the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) tries to put together four consecutive years of at least 20% annual returns.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

3.61

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
                       
           
Buy signalgsg
Buy signalSPY
       
           
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signaliwm
       
           
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalijr
       
     
Sell signallqd
   
Buy signalXLG
Buy signalgcc
       
     
Buy signalshy
 
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalVOOG
Buy signaldia
       
     
Buy signalagg
Sell signalicf
Buy signalhyg
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalIJH
     
   
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalief
Sell signaldx/y
Sell signaluso
Buy signalefa
Buy signalrsp
Buy signalfxe
Buy signalGLD
   
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Machinery and Tools $263.48 mid 240s - ow 260s 316 208 5 for 5'er, top half of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip
BAC Bank of America Banks $55.88 49 - 54 67 44 4 for 5'er, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bullish catapult, 2.1% yield, Earn. 1/14
CME CME Group, Inc. Wall Street $273.20 260s - 270s 312 224 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $110.05 108 - 115 143 95 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield
GFI Gold Fields Limited (South Africa) ADR Precious Metals $47.02 40 - 44 58 35 4 for 5'er, top third of PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, good R-R, 1.8% yield
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance $166.96 mid 150s - hi 160s 206 134 4 TA rating, top 33% of INSU sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, yield > 2%, pos momentum, buy-on-pullback
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $127.50 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield
ABCB Ameris Bancorp Banks $77.63 70s 92 77 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread quintuple top, 1.1% yield
ORI Old Republic International Insurance $46.19 lo-mid 40s 76 384 4 TA rating, top 20% of insurance sector RS matrix, consec buy signals, recent RS buy, R-R > 4, Earn. 1/22
LAZ Lazard Inc. Wall Street $50.12 hi 40s - low 50s 69 41 5 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, buy on pullback, good R-R
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $292.55 hi 260s - low 280s 328 240 5 for 5'er, top half of LEIS sector matrix LT pos peer & mkt RS, quintuple top
HCA HCA Healthcare Inc. Healthcare $472.03 450s - lo 500s 588 384 5 TA rating, top 20% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT peer RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. Machinery and Tools $244.47 240s 320 196 5 for 5'er, top third of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, 1.3% yield
PII Polaris Inc. Leisure $68.65 mid-to-hi 60s 77 59 4 for 5'er, top 10% of LEIS sector matrix, bullish catapult, pos trend flip, 3.8% yield
THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation Healthcare $199.87 190 - mid 200s 286 170 5 TA rating, top 50% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback
AU AngloGold Ashanti Limited (South Africa) ADR Precious Metals $90.00 low-to-mid 80s 101 71 5 for 5'er, 4th of 30 in PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, 3% yield
FLS Flowserve Corporation Machinery and Tools $71.63 hi 60s - lo 70s 91 54 5 TA rating, top 10% of MACH sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback
BPOP Popular, Inc. Banks $126.32 120s 154 108 5 for 5'er, top third of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, 2.4% yield
BCO The Brink's Company Protection Safety Equipment $119.44 mid 110s - low 120s 152 104 5 for 5'er, top half of PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R>2.0
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A Internet $309.78 300 - hi 320s 428 268 5 TA rating, top of INET sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A ($314.24) R - Internet - GOOGL has a 5 for 5 TA rating and sits at the top of the internet sector RS matrix. The stock has been on an RS buy signal against the market since 2014 and has maintained a positive trend since May. We saw the stock retract from all-time highs this month before reversing back up into Xs this week. The weight of the long-term technical evidence remains decidedly positive and the near-term picture is showing consistent improvement. Exposure may be considered in the $300s to upper $320s. Our initial stop will be positioned at $268, which would violate multiple support levels. The bullish price objective of $428 will serve as our price objective, offering a reward-to-risk ratio north of 2-to-1.

 
328.00                                                 X       328.00
324.00                                                 X O     324.00
320.00                                                 X O     320.00
316.00                                                 X C     316.00
312.00                                                 X O     312.00
308.00                                                 X O     308.00
304.00                                                 X O     304.00
300.00                                                 X O     300.00
296.00                                                 X       296.00
292.00                                         X   X   X       292.00
288.00                                     X   X O X O X     Mid 288.00
284.00                                     X O X O X O X       284.00
280.00                                     X O X O X O         280.00
276.00                                     X B   O X           276.00
272.00                                     X     O             272.00
268.00                                     X                   268.00
264.00                                     X                   264.00
260.00                                     X                   260.00
256.00                                 X   X                   256.00
252.00                                 X O X                   252.00
248.00                                 X O X                   248.00
244.00                                 X O X                 Bot 244.00
240.00                                 X O X                   240.00
236.00                                 X A                     236.00
232.00                                 X                       232.00
228.00                                 X                       228.00
224.00                                 X                       224.00
220.00                                 X                       220.00
216.00                                 9                       216.00
212.00                                 X                       212.00
208.00                                 X                       208.00
204.00                                 X                       204.00
200.00                                 X                       200.00
198.00                                 X                       198.00
196.00                             X   X                       196.00
194.00                             X O X                       194.00
192.00                             X O X                       192.00
190.00                             X 8 X                       190.00
188.00                             X O                         188.00
186.00                             X                         186.00
184.00                           X                         184.00
182.00                           X                         182.00
180.00                   X   X   X                         180.00
178.00                   X O X O X                         178.00
176.00           X       X O X O X                         176.00
174.00           X O X   X O X 7                           174.00
172.00             X O X O X O X                             172.00
170.00             X O X O X O X                             170.00
168.00             X O   O X O X                             168.00
166.00     X       X     6   O X                             166.00
164.00     X O X   X         O X                             164.00
162.00     X O 5 O X         O                               162.00
160.00 X   X O X O X                                         160.00
158.00 X O X O X O X                                         158.00
156.00 X O X O   O X                                         156.00
154.00 X O X     O X                                         154.00
152.00 X O X     O X                                         152.00
150.00   O X     O X                                         150.00
148.00   O       O                                           148.00

 

 

HEI Heico Corporation ($339.23) - Aerospace Airline - HEI sits just one box away from breaking a spread quadruple top on its default chart with price action at or above $340. The move would mark the most recent negative trend break as a head fake and push the stock back to a perfect 5/5'er. Those looking to add should feel comfortable doing so on a breakout back to highs. Set an alert using the bell icon to take advantage of relevant movement.
ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($603.71) - Retailing - ULTA broke a double top at $616 for a second buy signal and to mark a new all-time chart high. The stock is a 4 for 5'er that maintains positive long and near-term market RS and positive near-term peer RS, while ranking within the top quintile of the Retailing sector matrix. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to $592 on the chart. Initial support lies at $576, while additional can be found in the upper $400 range.

 

Daily Option Ideas for December 23, 2025

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Philip Morris International Inc. - $162.20 O: 26C160.00D20 Buy the March 160.00 calls at 9.50 146.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Bank of America ( BAC) Jan. 52.50 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 2.00 (CP: 4.00)
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. ( JPM) Feb. 320.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 13.40 (CP: 15.40)
Bank of America ( BAC) Mar. 52.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 3.05 (CP: 5.05)
Johnson Controls International PLC ( JCI) Feb. 115.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 7.10 (CP: 9.10)
Citigroup, Inc. ( C) Mar. 100.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 19.05 (CP: 21.05)
Cardinal Health, Inc. ( CAH) Mar. 195.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 16.90 (CP: 18.90)
Alphabet Inc. Class A ( GOOGL) Mar. 300.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 28.10 (CP: 30.10)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Uber Technologies, Inc. - $80.59 O: 26O80.00D20 Buy the March 80.00 puts at 4.95 87.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
Novo Nordisk A/S (Denmark) ADR ( NVO) Mar. 50.00 Puts Stopped at 51.00 (CP: 51.22)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
APA Corp $ 24.41 O: 26C25.00D20 Mar. 25.00 1.63 $ 11,505.05 31.84% 24.98% 5.63%
Still Recommended
Name Action
SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI) - 27.35 Sell the February 30.00 Calls.
Amphenol Corporation ( APH) - 135.14 Sell the March 140.00 Calls.
Las Vegas Sands Corp. ( LVS) - 66.91 Sell the February 67.50 Calls.
Wayfair Inc. ( W) - 103.64 Sell the January 100.00 Calls.
Micron Technology, Inc. ( MU) - 276.59 Sell the March 260.00 Calls.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ( HPE) - 24.70 Sell the February 25.00 Calls.
Fortinet Inc. ( FTNT) - 81.74 Sell the March 85.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
Tapestry Inc. ( TPR - 128.97 ) February 125.00 covered write.

 

Most Requested Symbols