Point & Figure Pulse
Published: June 4, 2025
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.
Strength in the Euro puts winds in the sails of European equities.

Currency relationships give us important insights into the flow of capital across borders and economic zones. Developed market equities, particularly Europe and Japan, have done well this year, so it's not a surprise to see their respective currencies performing well relative to the US Dollar. On its long-term 1% chart, the Euro/U.S. Dollar Cross Rate (EURUSD) broke out to new multi-year highs after taking out strong resistance from 1.115 to 1.267 in April. EURUSD pulled back to its old resistance area in May but this old resistance has turned into new support for the time being which is a good sign for European equity bulls. While European equities have had plenty of short-lived relative strength periods over the last few years, the EURUSD has plenty of room for further improvement before hitting its 2018 and 2021 highs which can lead to further relative strength in European equities.

Moving on to European equities, the iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF (EZU) has a near-perfect 5.65 fund score and recently made a multi-year high. The new high for EZU points to the recent relative strength of European equities relative to domestic equities, which have yet to take out their 52-week highs. EZU is nearing heavily overbought territory with a weekly overbought/oversold reading of 69%, but the technical picture is overwhelmingly positive. Another positive for developed market and momentum investors is that the relative strength picture within developed markets has been very strong over the last few years (click here for more), so there are opportunities to implement a relative strength framework on international equity exposure.

Back to report

DISCLOSURE

This report is for Internal Use Only and not for distribution to the public. While we make every effort to be free of errors in this report, it contains data obtained from other sources. We believe these sources to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy. Investors who use options should read the Options Disclosure Document before making any particular investment decision. Officers or employees of this firm may now or in the future have a position in the stocks mentioned in this report. Dorsey, Wright is a Registered Investment Advisor with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. Copies of Form ADV Part II are available upon request.
Equity prices provided by Thomson-Reuters. Cross Rate prices provided by Tenfore Systems. Option prices provided by OPRA
Copyright © 1995-{ENDYEAR} Dorsey, Wright & Associates, LLC.®
All quotes displayed are delayed 20 minutes
Disclaimer/Terms of Use/Copyright