Daily Summary
Point & Figure Pulse
Though Monday’s action finished off positively for most US Equity indices, the bullish percent for the S&P 500 Index (^BPSPX) reversed into Os to 68% as large cap stocks fell to sell signals.
Sector Leaders and Laggards
There have been a select few sectors that have been able to outperform the market since the start of the year until the April bottom and since then.
Daily Equity Roster
Today's featured stock is Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT).
Analyst Observations
Comments include: BROS, BXP, CEG, CRC, HQY, NRG, OKLO, RVTY, THC, & WMT.
Weekly Video
Weekly Rundown Video- May 28, 2025
Weekly Rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes..
Weekly Rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes..
Though Monday’s action finished off positively for most US Equity indices, the bullish percent for the S&P 500 Index (^BPSPX) reversed into Os to 68% as large cap stocks fell to sell signals. Prior to the reversal, BPSPX had been in Xs since April 11th, rising from a low of 14% to the recent high mark at 74% reached on May 20th. Forward returns for the S&P 500 Index following a reversal into Os at these levels are muted in the short to intermediate term but improve 6 months forward.
For those who may be looking to cull through the recent list of S&P 500 stocks that have recently given sell signals, users can utilize the Security Screener under the Securities tab. Once on the Security Screener, select Run Stocks Screen.
Within the blue box at the top of the page select S&P 500 within Universe section. From there, users will locate the Trend Chart section in the grey box on the right-hand side of the page to select Sell under PnF Signal. To specify the timeframe within the specified two weeks, users will put 14 in the right-hand box under the Signal Days while leaving the left-hand box blank. The query filters brought about 46 results. The point today isn’t necessarily to go over all 46 stocks but show how the Screener can be utilized to query for stocks that have given sell (or buy) signals in given timeframe.
While all 46 names queried won’t be covered, examples of recent sell signals given by stocks and how to assess these positions are discussed below. As can be seen, some stocks have given sell signals but are worth continuing to hold or monitor, while some have broke down and are potentially positions that may be addressed.
Iron Mountain (IRM) and Dell Technologies (DELL) have both given sell signals in recent weeks but continue to maintain positive overall technical pictures.
Iron Mountain gave a sell signal in the latter part of May by breaking a double bottom at $95 to initiate a shakeout pattern before reversing into Xs last week’s and rallying to form a triple top with Tuesday’s action. From here, a move above $102 would return the 3 for 5’er to a buy signal.
Meanwhile, Dell reversed into Os and broke a double bottom at $108 to initiate a shakeout pattern. Dell improved to a 3 for 5’er during last week’s trading session and has climbed into the top quintile of the Computers sector matrix. Given the positive technical makeup for Dell, investors could monitor the stock for potential completion of the shakeout pattern, which would occur upon a triple top break at $118.
Conversely, Williams-Sonoma (WSM) and Copart (CPRT) are positions that may be addressed.
After giving a sell signal and shifting into a negative trend in the latter part of May, WSM put in a lower top last week and fell below the middle of the 10-week trading band before reversing back into Xs on 6/3. Though the stock does have support in the upper $140s and in the $130 range, the stock has fallen to a 2 for 5’er and would be a position that could be addressed depending on cost basis.
Copart gave a sell signal during last week’s trading by breaking a spread quadruple bottom at $51, violating support that had been in place since October last year. Along with the breakdown on the trend chart, CPRT has reversed into Os on both the market and peer RS charts in recent weeks, leading the stock to fall to a 3 for 5’er. While the stock still maintains a positive trend on its default chart, the bullish support line is roughly 30% from current prices. With support in the upper $40s being the last line of defense, holders of CPRT may look to address the stock here on the breakdown.
For questions about a particular position that may have recently given sell signals, feel free to contact the analyst team at (804) 320-8511.
Since putting in a bottom in April, technology and growth-oriented sectors have been the best-performing areas of the market. However, they were also the weakest throughout first few months of the year. Most other sector funds outperformed the S&P 500 Index (SPX) from the end of 2024 until the April 7th bottom, but almost all those groups have underperformed since then. There are a few sectors that either outperformed or underperformed the SPX this year leading up to the April bottom and after. Both lists are small, pointing to the high relative strength or weakness of those sectors, which are both important to note. Looking at a universe of US iShares sector funds, the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), iShares U.S. Industrial ETF (IYJ), and iShares Dow Jones U.S. Financial Service ETF (IYG) were the only three that outperformed the SPX over the periods 12/31/2024 – 4/7/2025 and 4/7/2025 – 6/2/2025. On the other side of the coin, the iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (IAT), iShares U.S. Transportation ETF (IYT), iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ), and iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) all underperformed the SPX over both periods pointing to both upside and downside relative weakness.
Out of the three sector funds that outperformed over both periods, the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Financial Service ETF (IYG) is the most actionable at current levels. IYG has a fund score of 5.55, trades on a buy signal, and is trading in normalized territory within its ten-week trading band. The broader financial sector has been a consistent area of strength as it has earned a top three spot in the DALI rankings for over a year. While financials remain strong for the most part, regional banks have been a subgroup to avoid. The iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (IAT) was one of the four sector ETFs that has underperformed the S&P 500 from the start of the year until the April bottom and thereafter. So, for those looking for exposure to the financial sector, focus on the larger names.
Perhaps the most interesting sector fund that underperformed over both periods is the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB). Homebuilders had been one of the strongest groups in the market over the last few years until the end of 2024 when technical weakness showed up in ITB’s fund score after it dropped below the acceptable 3.0 reading in December. After putting in a bottom in April and briefly returning to a positive trend in early May, ITB began to head back down and moved back into a negative trend later in the month. ITB is also one of two the ETFs in the table above to put together negative performance over both periods, the other being the iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF (IYH). Overall, the few sectors that have either outperformed or underperformed the SPX over both periods observed give us valuable information into the sectors that hold consistent relative strength or weakness. Those that have outperformed consistently are areas to look for new ideas, especially in the individual stock space.
Average Level
21.70
< - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
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< - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
AGG | iShares US Core Bond ETF |
USO | United States Oil Fund |
DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
DVY | iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF |
DX/Y | NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot |
EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
FXE | Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust |
GLD | SPDR Gold Trust |
GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust |
HYG | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF |
ICF | iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF |
IEF | iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF |
LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF |
IJH | iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund |
ONEQ | Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track |
QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust |
RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
IWM | iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF |
SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF |
IJR | iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund |
SPY | SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust |
TLT | iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF |
GCC | WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund |
VOOG | Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF |
VOOV | Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF |
EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF |
Long Ideas
Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BRK.B | Berkshire Hathaway Inc | Wall Street | $502.81 | 480s - low 500s | 556 | 432 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of WALL sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, multiple buy signals, buy on pullback |
WRB | W. R. Berkley Corporation | Insurance | $75.17 | mid 60s - lo 70s | 115 | 55 | 4 TA rating, top 25% of INSU sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, R-R > 2 |
ADC | Agree Realty Corporation | Real Estate | $75.48 | mid-to-upper 70s | 100 | 67 | 4 for 5'er, top 10% of REAL sector matrix. spread quad top, R-R>2.0, 3.9% yield |
ROL | Rollins, Inc. | Business Products | $58.58 | 52 - hi 50s | 77 | 45 | 5 TA rating, top 25% of BUSI sector matrix, LT pos trend, RS buy, pos wkly mom |
BYD | Boyd Gaming Corp | Gaming | $74.35 | hi 60s - low 70s | 90 | 58 | 4 for 5'er, top 20% of GAME sector matrix, triple top, pos trend flip, 1.1% yield |
AMP | Ameriprise Financial | Wall Street | $510.13 | 448-490s | 568 | 396 | 5 TA rating, top 33% of WALL sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, recent pos trend, pos wkly mom |
UNM | Unum Group | Insurance | $81.92 | 74 - 80 | 89 | 64 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, 2.1% yield |
ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Insurance | $212.64 | 190s - low 200s | 230 | 176 | 4 for 5'er, top third of favored INSU sector matrix, pos trend flip, 2% yield |
VIRT | Virtu Financial | Wall Street | $40.74 | 38-mid 40s | 60 | 31 | 4 TA rating, pos trend, recent RS buy, top 10% of WALL sector matrix, consec. buy signals |
AZZ | Aztec Manufacturing Co. | Electronics | $93.10 | mid 80s - low 90s | 108 | 73 | 5 for 5'er, #6 of 52 in ELEC sector matrix, spread quad top |
FFIV | F5 Inc. | Internet | $286.02 | 260s - 280s | 312 | 244 | 5 for 5'er. top half of favored INET sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, triple top breakout |
SPG | Simon Property Group, Inc. | Real Estate | $162.91 | mid 150s - 160s | 184 | 138 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of REAL sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, buy on pullback, 5.2% yield |
PAYX | Paychex, Inc. | Business Products | $157.50 | hi 140s - 150s | 196 | 134 | 5 for 5'er, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip, 2.8% yield, Earn. 6/24 |
FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V. (Mexico) ADR | Food Beverages/Soap | $106.64 | 100-lo 110s | 131 | 88 | 5 TA rating, LT mkt RS buy, consec. buy signals, top 50% of FOOD sector matrix |
LAMR | Lamar Advertising Company | Media | $120.40 | mid 110s - low 120s | 144 | 99 | 5 for 5'er, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish catapult, good R-R, 5.2% yield |
LNG | Cheniere Energy, Inc. | Oil Service | $243.23 | 210s - 230s | 320 | 188 | 5 TA rating, LT RS buy, LT peer RS buy, positive trend, buy-on-pullback, R-R > 2 |
AN | Autonation Inc. | Autos and Parts | $181.76 | 170s - low 180s | 242 | 154 | 4 for 5'er, top half of favored AUTO sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, spread quintuple top, R-R>2.0 |
SYK | Stryker Corporation | Healthcare | $380.86 | 372-390s | 436 | 328 | 5 TA rating, top 33% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, recent pos trend |
OMF | OneMain Holdings Inc. | Finance | $51.54 | low 50s | 67 | 44 | 4 for 5'er, middle of FINA sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, 8.3% yield |
CYBR | Cyber Ark Software | Software | $393.83 | 360s - 390s | 460 | 308 | 4 TA rating, top 25% of SOFT sector matrix, LT RS buy, recent pos trend, buy-on-pullback |
EBAY | eBay Inc. | Retailing | $74.53 | hi 60s - low 70s | 84 | 58 | 4 for 5'er, top half of favored RETA sector matrix, spread quintuple top |
IBM | International Business Machines Corp. | Computers | $263.90 | 250s - low 260s | 300 | 212 | 5 for 5'er, top third of COMP sector matrix, spread quad top, buy on pullback, 2.6% yield |
SPOT | Spotify Technology S.A. | Media | $672.00 | 640-700s | 792 | 536 | 5 TA rating, top 20% of MEDI sector RS matrix, LT RS buy, LT positive trend, consec buy signals |
Short Ideas
Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
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Follow-Up Comments
Comment | |||||||
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NDW Spotlight Stock
SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. ($672.12) R - Media - SPOT has a 5 for 5 TA rating and is ranked near the top of the media sector RS matrix. The stock advanced this week to notch a fourth consecutive buy signal and new all-time high with a triple top breakout at $672. We have also seen the stock maintain an RS buy signal against the market since early 2023, highlighting the long-term technical strength. Exposure may be considered from $640 to the $700s. Our initial stop will be positioned at $536, which would violate multiple support levels. The bullish price objective of $792 will serve as our price target.
672.00 | 6 | 672.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
664.00 | X | X | X | 664.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
656.00 | X | X | O | X | O | X | 656.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
648.00 | X | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 648.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
640.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | 640.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
632.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | 632.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
624.00 | X | O | X | X | X | O | X | 624.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
616.00 | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | 5 | O | X | 616.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
608.00 | X | O | X | 3 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | 608.00 | |||||||||||||||||
600.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | X | Mid | 600.00 | |||||||||||||||
592.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 592.00 | |||||||||||||||
584.00 | X | O | X | O | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 584.00 | ||||||||||||||||
576.00 | X | O | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | X | O | X | 576.00 | ||||||||||||||||
568.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 568.00 | |||||||||||||||
560.00 | X | O | X | O | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 560.00 | ||||||||||||||||
552.00 | O | X | O | X | X | O | 4 | O | X | O | X | O | X | 552.00 | |||||||||||||||
544.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | O | 544.00 | ||||||||||||||||
536.00 | 2 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 536.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
528.00 | O | X | O | O | O | X | 528.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
520.00 | O | X | O | X | 520.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
512.00 | O | X | O | X | 512.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
504.00 | O | X | O | X | 504.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
496.00 | O | X | O | X | 496.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
488.00 | O | O | X | 488.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
480.00 | O | 480.00 |
BROS Dutch Bros Inc. Class A ($71.93) - Restaurants - BROS reversed into Xs and broke a double top at $73 to complete a bullish triangle and mark a third consecutive buy signal. The stock is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the Restaurants sector matrix. Okay to consider here on the breakout. Initial support lies at $69, while additonial may be found at $65 and $58, the bullish support line. |
BXP BXP Inc ($70.58) - Real Estate - Shares of BXP broke a double top at $69 for its second consecutive buy signal. Today’s move also saw BXP return to a positive trend for the first time this year, bringing it up to a 2 for 5’er. However, the stock remains one to avoid for the time being given its general lack of relative strength. From here, resistance starts at $74 – $76 with further at $83 - $84. |
CEG Constellation Energy Corporation ($313.42) - Utilities/Electricity - CEG broke a double top at $316 for a third buy signal as shares rallied to $340, marking the highest chart level since January. The stock is a 3 for 5'er that ranks 6th (out of 45) within the Electric Utilities sector matrix. Short-term holders may look to lock in profits here as the stock now trades in overbought territory. Note the stock's all-time high lies at $352. Initial support can be found at $300, while additional may be found in the $280 range. |
CRC California Resources Corporation ($45.67) - Oil - CRC returned to a buy signal Tuesday when it broke a double top at $46. The technical outlook for the stock remains negative, however, as CRC is a 1 for 5'er that ranks in the bottom half of the oil sector matrix. From here, overhead resistance sits at $49, while CRC's chart shows no support until $31. |
HQY HealthEquity, Inc. ($103.14) - Healthcare - HQY inched up higher, breaking a double top at $104 and marking its fifth consecutive buy signal. The 4 for 5’er shifted up from a 2 last month after moving into a positive trend and exhibiting short-term relative strength against its peers. Additionally, the stock ranks in the top third of the healthcare sector matrix. The weekly OBOS indicates that the stock is in overbought territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before considering. Initial support is at $97 with additional support at $95. |
NRG NRG Energy, Inc. ($159.99) - Utilities/Electricity - NRG reversed into Xs and broke a double top at $162 for a third buy signal and mark a new all-time chart high. The stock is a 5 for 5'er that ranks 3rd (out of 45) in the Electric Utilities sector matrix. Holders may look to lock in profits here as the stock now trades in overbought territory. Beyond initial support at $154, support on the default chart isn't found until prior resistance in the mid $110s. |
OKLO Oklo Inc. ($50.21) - Utilities/Electricity - OKLO broke a double top at $58 for a fourth consecutive buy signal. The stock is a 4 for 5'er that ranks 1st (out of 45) within the Electric Utilities sector matrix. This action brings the stock into overbought territory and within one box of its all-time chart high fromt February at $59. Initial support lies at $50, while additional may be found in the mid $30s. |
RVTY Revvity Inc. ($90.93) - Healthcare - RVTY inched lower to break a spread quadruple bottom at $88, marking its second consecutive sell signal. The 0 for 5’er moved down from a 1 last month after exhibiting short term relative weakness against its peers. Additionally, the stock ranks in the bottom half of the healthcare sector matrix. Sell your position here. Long exposure should be avoided. Strong resistance between $93 and $94. |
THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation ($171.64) - Healthcare - THC inched up higher to break a double top at $172, marking its fourth consecutive buy signal and a multi-year high above $174. The 5 for 5’er shifted up from a 4 last month after exhibiting short term relative strength against the market. Additionally, the stock ranks in the top decile of the healthcare sector matrix. The weekly OBOS indicates that the stock is in overbought territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before considering. Initial support is at $164 with additional support at $160. |
WMT Walmart Inc. ($99.56) - Retailing - WMT broke a spread quadruple top at $100 for a third consecutive buy signal. The stock is a 5 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the Retailing sector matrix, and WMT now sits just two boxes from its all-time chart high. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the mid $90s. Initial support lies at $95, while additional may be found in the lower $90s. |
Daily Option Ideas for June 3, 2025
New Recommendations
Name | Option Symbol | Action | Stop Loss |
---|---|---|---|
GoDaddy Inc. - $181.59 | O: 25H180.00D15 | Buy the August 180.00 calls at 12.20 | 170.00 |
Follow Ups
Name | Option | Action |
---|---|---|
eBay Inc. ( EBAY) | Jul. 67.50 Calls | Raise the option stop loss to 6.90 (CP: 8.90) |
New Recommendations
Name | Option Symbol | Action | Stop Loss |
---|---|---|---|
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A - $67.00 | O: 25U67.50D19 | Buy the September 67.50 puts at 3.30 | 71.00 |
Follow Up
Name | Option | Action |
---|---|---|
Corning Incorporated ( GLW) | Aug. 45.00 Puts | Stopped at 51.00 (CP: 50.74) |
New Recommendations
Name | Option Sym. | Call to Sell | Call Price | Investment for 500 Shares | Annual Called Rtn. | Annual Static Rtn. | Downside Protection |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carnival Corporation $ 23.54 | O: 25G24.00D18 | Jul. 24.00 | 1.48 | $ 11,352.05 | 37.75% | 43.80% | 5.12% |
Still Recommended
Name | Action |
---|---|
Shopify Inc ( SHOP) - 106.54 | Sell the September 100.00 Calls. |
Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A ( HOOD) - 67.98 | Sell the August 65.00 Calls. |
EQT Corporation ( EQT) - 56.66 | Sell the September 60.00 Calls. |
Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A ( PLTR) - 132.04 | Sell the September 130.00 Calls. |
Delta Air Lines Inc. ( DAL) - 48.50 | Sell the September 50.00 Calls. |
QUALCOMM Incorporated ( QCOM) - 146.63 | Sell the August 150.00 Calls. |
United Airlines Holdings Inc. ( UAL) - 81.23 | Sell the September 82.50 Calls. |
Hims & Hers Health Inc. ( HIMS) - 56.77 | Sell the September 55.00 Calls. |
Dexcom Inc. ( DXCM) - 85.51 | Sell the September 90.00 Calls. |
Fortinet Inc. ( FTNT) - 102.47 | Sell the September 105.00 Calls. |
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name | Covered Write |
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