ALPS (Thurs.)
Published: Jun 08, 2017
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There are no changes to be made in the ALPS Target Income Model ALPSINCOME.TR.

This week the ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF EQL caught our attention. This fund seeks to own Large Capitalization equities within the 10 Select Sector SPDRs and the fund ebalances on a quarterly basis. When looking at its 0.5 per box chart, we can see a shakeout pattern began after it formed a double top at $59.50 between July and September before breaking a double bottom at $57.50 in October. The shakeout was initiated upon the reversal up into X’s following the election and was completed when EQL broke a triple top at $60. Demand continued to exhibit strength, as the ETF rallied to $62, made a higher bottom at $60 and completed a bullish catapult formation with a double top break in February at $62.50. The fund now trades at all-time highs in the mid $60’s after breaking its most recent double top on 6/2 at $64.50. The 0.5 per box chart shows a bullish price objective of $72.50 and a reward to risk ratio in excess of 2-to-1, if using $61 as a stop. EQL also comes with an attractive yield at roughly 2.70%. New positions are best served on a pullback from here with support coming at $61.50 and $60. 

 

The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.

ALPS Target Income Matrix

 

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
AMLP Alerian MLP ETF 13 1 2.76
ENFR Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF 12 6 3.51
SWIN ALPS/Dorsey Wright Sector Momentum ETF 10 15 5.35
BFOR Barron's 400 ETF 8 16 4.56
EQLT Alps Workplace Equality Portfolio Fund 8 16 5.40
EQL Alps Equal Sector Weight ETF 8 10 2.98
SDOG ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs 8 6 3.27
BUZ Buzz US Sentiment Leaders ETF 6 16 3.03
EDOG ALPS Emerging Sector Dogs ETF 6 12 3.20
TOFR USCF ETF Trust - Stock Split Index Fund 6 11 3.91
IDOG ALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF 5 15 4.33
SBIO ALPS Medical Breakthroughs ETF 5 11 1.94
GRI Cohen & Steers Global Realty Majors 5 5 2.96
MENU USCF Restaurant Leaders Fund 3 14 4.55
RFFC RiverFront Dynamic US Flex-Cap ETF 3 13 4.66
RFDA RiverFront Dynamic US Dividend Advantage ETF 3 13 4.54
RFUN RiverFront Dynamic Unconstrained Income ETF 3 7 2.54
RIGS Riverfront Strategic Income Fund 3 3 2.58
RFCI RiverFront Dynamic Core Income ETF 2 5 0.97
HVPW US Equity High Volatility Put Write Index Fund 2 0 1.12
SGDJ Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF 1 17 1.69
SGDM Sprott Gold Miners ETF 1 16 2.28

The table below is a review of important technical data on a select group of ALPS ETFs. Significant changes within the past week are highlighted in Green if positive or Red if negative. This portfolio is designed to be used as a "radar" screen to bring your attention to potentially important technical changes that may require your attention and potential action. When evaluating the Fund Score, the strongest issues have scores of 4 or higher while those ETFs with scores below a 3 are no longer considered solid citizens.

 

Links to Additional Summaries

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the ALPS ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

Average Level: 37.53

The average Bullish Percent reading this week is 56.93% up 1.21% from the previous week

                       
                     
                   
               
           
       
-100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->

 

 

Legend:

  • UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
  • lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
  • GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
  • RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.

The ALPS ETF Portfolio is designed to identify major themes in the market place through the use of the Point & Figure relative strength tools. For more information on the portfolio construction and back testing, see the model info file on the models page.

 

ALPS Target Income Model ALPSINCOME.TR

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
Alerian MLP ETF AMLP 33.333% 7.6730 04/06/2017
ALPS Emerging Sector Dogs ETF EDOG 33.333% 2.5680 04/06/2017
Alps Sector Dividend Dogs SDOG 33.333% 3.3350 04/06/2017

 

The average yield of the ALPS Target Income Model is 4.57% (as of 06/08/2017).

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