First Trust (Wed.)
Published: Mar 24, 2021
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There are changes in both the First Trust Fixed Income ETF Model as well as the First Trust Size & Style Model.

In the First Trust Fixed Income Model the First Trust SSI Strategic Convertible Securities ETF FCVT is being removed after having been a member of the model since April 2020, over which time FCVT is up more than 65% while the Core Bond ETF AGG is actually down a little over 2% over that time period.  Nonetheless, FCVT has fallen in it’s relative strength rankings down to the bottom of the matrix.  As a result, FCVT is being removed from the Fixed Income Model and is being replaced with the First Trust Senior Loan Fund FTSL, which is joining Preferreds FPE, High Yield HYLS, and Emerging Market Bonds FEMB as the four holdings of the Model.  FTSL has a positive technical picture with a score above 3, and has a yield of 3.33%, which is more than twice the yield of FCVT.  The Fixed Income Model is up 0.3% so far this year compared to -3.5% return for the Cored Bond ETF AGG and the Model is up more than 37% over the past year versus 5.5% for AGG.

The other model that is seeing a change this week is the First Trust Size & Style Model.   For the second time this year the Size & Style model is seeing a change, and once again the change is increasing the Small Cap exposure.  Small Cap Value moved into the top three style boxes within the DALI rankings over the course of the month pushing Mid Cap Growth back to number four in the Style Box rankings.  As a result, the First Trust Mid Cap Growth AlphaDEX FNY is being removed from the Size & Style Model and is being replaced with the First Trust Small Cap Value ETF FYT.  With this change, 100% of the model is allocated to Small Caps and so far this year (through 3/23) the Model is up more than 12% versus 5% for the S&P 500. 

This weekly overview is designed to be used as a "radar" screen to bring your attention to potentially important technical changes that may require your attention and potential action. When evaluating the Fund Score, the strongest issues have scores of 4 or higher while those ETFs with scores below a 3 are no longer considered solid citizens.

The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.

First Trust Market Matrix Summary

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
FYX First Trust Small Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund 18 18 5.76
FAB First Trust Multi Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund 15 14 5.85
FNI First Trust Chindia ETF 15 6 4.92
BICK First Trust BICK Index Fund 14 6 4.37
FNX First Trust Mid Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund 13 16 4.62
FDM First Trust Dow Jones Select MicroCap IndexSM Fund 11 17 5.51
FPX First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF 11 4 4.16
QQEW First Trust NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted IndexSMFund 11 4 4.26
TUSA First Trust Total US Market AlphaDex ETF 8 15 4.69
FTA First Trust Large Cap Value Opportunities AlphaDEX Fund 8 12 3.96
FEX First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund 8 7 3.79
FAD First Trust Multi Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund 8 5 4.27
FDD First Trust STOXX European Select Dividend Index Fund 7 12 4.06
FGD First Trust Dow Jones Global Select Dividend Index Fund 5 12 3.67
FTCS First Trust Capital Strength ETF 5 5 4.03
FTC First Trust Large Cap Growth Opportunities AlphaDEX Fund 5 1 3.64
FVD First Trust Value Line Dividend Index Fund 4 8 3.08
FDL First Trust Morningstar Dividend LeadersSM Index Fund 2 8 3.30
FVL First Trust Value Line 100 Exchange-Traded Fund 2 1 2.50

First Trust  Sector Matrix Summary

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
FCG First Trust Natural Gas ETF 29 2 4.95
FTXR First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF 24 23 5.74
CARZ First Trust NASDAQ Global Auto Index Fund 24 18 4.65
FXO First Trust Financials AlphaDEX Fund 23 26 5.86
QCLN First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund 23 21 4.63
FXR First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX Fund 23 19 4.49
FXD First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund 22 24 5.82
FXZ First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund 22 20 4.65
FTXN First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF 22 8 4.81
FXN First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund 22 4 5.89
FTXO First Trust Nasdaq Bank ETF 21 23 5.68
QABA First Trust NASDAQ ABA Community Bank Index Fund 21 22 5.25
FAN First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF 19 6 4.07
FTXL First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF 15 13 4.06
QTEC First Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology Sector IndexSMFund 15 11 3.86
FXL First Trust Technology AlphaDEX Fund 13 13 4.11
FIW First Trust Water ETF 12 16 5.02
SKYY First Trust Cloud Computing ETF 12 9 4.19
QQXT First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector IndexSMFund 11 12 4.17
FLM First Trust Global Engineering and Construction ETF 9 18 3.49
FDN First Trust Dow Jones Internet IndexSM Fund 9 12 2.94
FXH First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund 9 7 2.75
FTXD First Trust Nasdaq Retail ETF 7 11 3.31
FTXG First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF 6 19 4.45
FXG First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund 6 17 3.32
FTXH First Trust Nasdaq Pharmaceuticals ETF 5 9 2.69
FRI First Trust S&P REIT Index Fund 3 19 3.24
FFR First Trust FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Mkts Real Estate Index 3 16 3.17
FBT First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index Fund 3 4 1.90
FXU First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund 1 11 2.53

**This matrix is a relative strength ranking of the First Trust Sector ETFs. It is not used in the evaluation of the First Trust Focus Five Model or Index.

 

 

The First Trust ETF Portfolios are designed to identify major sector themes in the market place through the use of the Point & Figure relative strength tools. For more information on the portfolio construction and back testing, see the model info file on the models page.  To enter a portfolio amount and see shares to be purchased as well as modify the portfolio to your specifications, click here. (Note: The First Trust ETF Portfolios will be updated Wednesday mornings by 9:30 am EST) 

Weekly Changes: 

 

There are changes to the First Trust Fixed Income Model as well as the First Trust Size & Style Model.  The Fixed Income model is selling Convertibles FCVT and buying Senior Loans FTSL while the Size & Style Model is selling Mid Cap Growth FNY and buying Small Cap Value FYT.

 

First Trust Sector Model FTRUST

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
First Trust Dow Jones Internet IndexSM Fund FDN 6.250% 0.0000 02/25/2009
First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund FXN 6.250% 3.7563 11/24/2020
First Trust Water ETF FIW 6.250% 0.5304 11/15/2016
First Trust Natural Gas ETF FCG 6.250% 2.7318 11/17/2020
First Trust Technology AlphaDEX Fund FXL 6.250% 0.0417 06/02/2015
First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund FXZ 6.250% 1.4177 12/01/2020
First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund FXD 6.250% 0.3852 06/02/2020
First Trust Financials AlphaDEX Fund FXO 6.250% 2.2684 01/12/2021
First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX Fund FXR 6.250% 0.9946 01/12/2021
First Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology Sector IndexSMFund QTEC 6.250% 0.4230 03/11/2009
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector IndexSMFund QQXT 6.250% 0.2811 08/09/2007
First Trust NASDAQ ABA Community Bank Index Fund QABA 6.250% 2.1463 11/10/2020
First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF FTXR 6.250% 0.3011 08/25/2020
First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF FTXL 6.250% 0.4413 04/30/2019
First Trust Nasdaq Bank ETF FTXO 6.250% 2.1785 11/10/2020
First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF FTXN 6.250% 1.3736 11/24/2020

* - Dates prior to 1/9/2008, which is when the First Trust Sector ETF Model Portfolio became available in the First Trust Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

First Trust Focus Five Model FTRUST5

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
First Trust Technology AlphaDEX Fund FXL 20.000% 0.0417 11/07/2017
First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund FXD 20.000% 0.3852 06/09/2020
First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX Fund FXR 20.000% 0.9946 01/19/2021
First Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology Sector IndexSMFund QTEC 20.000% 0.4230 11/08/2016
First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF FTXR 20.000% 0.3011 09/08/2020

* - The next evaluation date for the Focus Five Model is Wednesday April 7th, 2021.  Dates prior to 10/20/2009, which is when the First Trust Focus Five ETF Model Portfolio became available in the First Trust Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

First Trust International Model FTRUSTINTL

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
First Trust Chindia ETF FNI 20.000% 0.2856 03/17/2020
First Trust BICK Index Fund BICK 20.000% 0.4101 05/16/2017
First Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund FEP 20.000% 2.2771 12/15/2020
First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund FGM 20.000% 1.3365 05/22/2012
First Trust Switzerland AlphaDEX Fund FSZ 20.000% 1.5155 06/06/2011

* - The next evaluation date for the International Focus Five Model is Wednesday March 31st.  Dates prior to 2/22/2012, which is when the First Trust International Focus Five ETF Model Portfolio became available in the First Trust Weekly ETF Report, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

First Trust Size and Style Model FTSIZESTYLE

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
First Trust Small Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund FYX 33.333% 0.5630 01/19/2021
First Trust Small Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund FYC 33.333% 0.1022 10/20/2020
First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund FYT 33.333% 0.8449 03/23/2021

First Trust Income Model FTINCOME

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
First Trust Large Cap Value Opportunities AlphaDEX Fund FTA 20.000% 1.8879 05/05/2020
First Trust STOXX European Select Dividend Index Fund FDD 20.000% 3.8442 12/01/2020
First Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund TDIV 20.000% 2.0118 05/14/2019
First Trust Dorsey Wright Momentum & Dividend ETF DDIV 20.000% 2.3415 12/22/2020
First Trust Rising Dividend Achievers ETF RDVY 20.000% 1.4323 11/12/2019

First Trust Fixed Income Model (TR) FTFIXINC.TR

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
First Trust Tactical High Yield ETF TR HYLS.TR 25.000% 5.2297 08/25/2020
First Trust Senior Loan Fund TR FTSL.TR 25.000% 3.3341 03/23/2021
First Trust Preferred Securities and Income ETF TR FPE.TR 25.000% 4.9060 04/21/2020
First Trust Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF TR FEMB.TR 25.000% 5.5468 05/19/2020

Am I better off owning the managed mutual fund or the unmanaged ETF? The table below will help you answer that question. For each of the nine major asset classes and sectors, see the Top 20 mutual funds in NAV compared to the First Trust Universe of ETFs. The results are ordered by Fund Score, from highest to lowest. The Fund Score is a snapshot of the overall health of the fund based upon relative strength versus the broad market, relative strength versus its peers, and other trend measures. Those ETFs and Funds with a score above 3 are considered solid citizens with those having scores of 4 and above ideal candidates for purchase. Those ETFs and Funds with a score below 3 should be examined closer from a technical basis as they are not holding their ground versus the market and their peer group.
 

First Trust ETF vs. Mutual Fund Analysis
Large Cap Value Large Cap Blend Large Cap Growth
Mid Cap Value Mid Cap Blend Mid Cap Growth
Small Cap Value Small Cap Blend Small Cap Growth
Sectors

 

(Click any link above to see the Fund Score of the First Trust ETFs and the funds with the largest Net Assets in that category)

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