Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Apr 15, 2026
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Crude Oil Weakens But Gasoline Hangs Tough

Crude oil falls as gasoline prices remain elevated.

From Mediocre to Magnificent in April

Despite lagging behind so far this year, the Mag 7 have turned it around a bit to open April. We look at the group's situation in today's featured article.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – April 15, 2026

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Equity markets have ripped higher over the last two weeks as investors became more hopeful of an end to the conflict in the Middle East. However, energy related commodities, particularly oil and gasoline, have remained elevated. That isn’t to say that some progress has been made for consumers at the pump. Crude Oil Continuous (CL/) gave a sell signal on its less sensitive 2-point chart following Tuesday’s action. While crude oil has bounced back and forth between giving buy and sell signals (expected given the heightened volatility), this recent sell signal breaks intermediate series of higher lows. In other words, the breakdown this week breaks a positive trendline that started after crude oil’s initial shock high. The chart’s bullish support line is still ten points away at $82, but these secondary trend lines can come in handy following a large upside or downside move.

Gasoline prices have also softened, but not to the same extent as crude oil prices. This is natural as gasoline must be processed, which creates a lag between input and output prices. Nonetheless, Gasoline Reformulated Continuous (UJ/) trades on a sell signal with established resistance from $3.20 to $3.40. Unlike crude oil, gasoline is still holding its secondary trend line following the initial shock move higher. There is also support at $2.90 on its 5-cent chart, which is an area where gasoline has found resistance over the last few years. For those that have energy exposure via stocks or ETFs, keep a close eye on gasoline as an indicator for any tailwinds/headwinds for the sector.

As yesterday’s feature detailed, the cap is back. Of course, when talking about the world’s biggest companies, we would be remiss not to focused on everyone’s favorite, the magnificent seven. In 2026, the magnificent seven has been more a bit more mediocre than magnificent, with the average member down 3.22% YTD compared to the near 2% gain for SPX. Many of the group sit well off highs established earlier in 2026, but the recent rally has been encouraging. In fact, as of price action through 4/14, the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) has put in a streak of 11 straight days of positive returns coming off the news of the most recent ceasefire in the Middle East which spurred major markets back towards positive for the year. Of course, as with any notable streak, questions arise about the magnitude of downside action when they break. Gain streaks like the one we are on (and still building with NDX landing in the green on 4/15) are quite rare, seeing NDX only post a winning streak longer than 11 days eight other times since 1992. As you may expect, more near-term results (5-day) after streaks end see negative average returns…. But more often than not don’t tend to carry over to the next month, three months, of half a year. At least conversationally, this makes sense: you don’t typically see gain streaks in weak (or weakening) market environments. While it certainly is true that markets have seen a bit of turbulence so far this year, they are far from being considered “weak.” All this to say, remind your clients that no winning streak can last forever, but history suggests markets will find their footing when this one does end.

Getting back to the magnificent seven conversation, we will look at a handful of interesting pictures for members of the magnificent seven. Performance for the group has been quite intense since the start of April. Amazon (AMZN) has been the strongest performer of the group, having gained just over 18% since 4/1. The only name to have retreated since the start of April has been Tesla, which is off almost 5% as it continues what has been a poor 2026 campaign. The table below showcases additional details for each mag-7 member, including their TA score, individual points away from support and respective OBOS reading at the time of this writing. Some high level details:

  • Four members (NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL and APPL) hold what we would consider to be “technically acceptable” scores. This is up from just two members at the start of April.
  • The average stock has gained 8.51% (through 4/14), outperforming SPX by just over 2.5% over the same timeframe.
  • Despite the intense move to the upside, only one name (AMZN) is in heavily overbought territory with a weekly OBOS reading of 78%. The average stock is has a reading of 19%, roughly half that of the S&P 500.

NVDA has perhaps the most interesting technical picture as of 4/15. Semiconductors have been overwhelmingly resilient in 2026, besting other areas within technology (namely software) quite handily this year. Nvidia has largely swung back and forth between technically acceptable and a name we have looked to shy away from so far in 2026. Largely speaking, the stock has remained rangebound for the better part of the last year, bouncing back and forth between the mid-$160’s and all time highs. This rangebound action has led to some relative deterioration against other semiconductor stocks (NVDA now ranks 58th of 68 within its peer group matrix), seeing the 3/5’er return to both a sell signal and column of X’s against the DWASEMI peer group. This action leaves NVDA and other mag-7 names for that matter- in quite an interesting position. On one hand, markets seem to have digested the Iran war and are ready to push towards new highs. On the other, NVDA has come up to current levels now 11 different times over the last year, the sign of strong supply coming online. Similar commentary can be made for the likes of META or AMZN.

To avoid rambling, very similar, detailed commentary could be offered for each of these names. It’s also worth mentioning that many of your clients will have unique situations when it comes to the mag-7, particularly from a tax standpoint. Keep this in mind when making decisions that could impact you or your client next Tax Day. As always, set alerts to be notified of specific TA score changes or violations of desired support or resistance levels. 

 

Each week the analysts at NDW review and comment on all major asset classes in the global markets. Shown below is the summary or snapshot of the primary technical indicators we follow for multiple areas. Should there be changes mid-week we will certainly bring these to your attention via the report.

 

Universe BP Col & Level (actual) BP Rev Level PT Col & Level (actual) PT Rev Level HiLo Col & Level (actual) HiLo Rev Level 10 Week Col & Level (actual) 10 Week Rev Level 30 Week Col & Level (actual) 30 Week Rev Level
ALL
Xs at 42%
(43.9 +6.9)
BPALL
 
36%
Os at 36%
(39.3 +3.2)
PTALL
 
42%
Xs at 54%
(54.1 +22.0)
ALLHILO
 
48%
Xs at 50%
(51.9 +17.2)
TWALL
 
44%
Xs at 46%
(47.0 +7.1)
30ALL
 
40%
NYSE
Xs at 54%
(54.3 +9.5)
BPNYSE
 
48%
Os at 46%
(50.8 +3.9)
PTNYSE
 
52%
Xs at 58%
(60.0 +19.4)
NYSEHILO
 
52%
Xs at 56%
(57.2 +21.9)
TWNYSE
 
50%
Xs at 56%
(57.6 +10.3)
30NYSE
 
50%
OTC
Xs at 40%
(40.2 +5.9)
BPOTC
 
34%
Os at 32%
(35.1 +2.9)
PTOTC
 
38%
Xs at 50%
(51.9 +23.8)
OTCHILO
 
44%
Xs at 50%
(50.3 +15.7)
TWOTC
 
44%
Xs at 42%
(43.0 +5.8)
30OTC
 
36%
World
Xs at 42%
(43.9 +7.2)
BPWORLD
 
36%
Os at 38%
(41.7 +2.9)
PTWORLD
 
44%
N/A
N/A
Xs at 44%
(44.7 +13.7)
TWWORLD
 
38%
Xs at 46%
(46.9 +6.3)
30WORLD
 
40%

Remember, these are technical comments only. Just as you must be aware of fundamental data for the stocks we recommend based on technical criteria in the report, so too must you be aware of important data regarding delivery, market moving government releases, and other factors that may influence commodity pricing. We try to limit our technical comments to the most actively traded contracts in advance of delivery, but some contracts trade actively right up to delivery while others taper off well in advance. Be sure you check your dates before trading these contracts. For questions regarding this section or additional coverage of commodities email james.west@nasdaq.com.

Data represented in the table below is through 4/14/2026:

Portfolio View - Commodity Indices

 

 

Cryptocurrency Update

Cryptocurrency Video (2:45)

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

21.75

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
             
Buy signalhyg
       
             
Buy signalIJH
Buy signalijr
     
         
Sell signaldx/y
 
Buy signalefa
Buy signaliwm
     
         
Buy signaltlt
 
Buy signalfxe
Sell signalQQQ
     
         
Sell signalief
Sell signallqd
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalVOOG
     
         
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalVOOV
Sell signalXLG
Buy signalGSG
     
         
Sell signalagg
Buy signalrsp
Buy signalicf
Buy signalONEQ
     
       
Buy signalshy
Buy signalgld
Sell signaldia
Buy signalSPY
Sell signalUSO
Buy signalGCC
   
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
CNX CNX Resources Corp Oil $38.37 hi 30s - mid 40s 71 33 5 TA rating, top 50% of OIL sector matrix, LT RS buy and pos trend, consec buy signals, Earn. 4/30
INVA Innoviva, Inc Drugs $24.19 lo-mid 20s 32.50 18.50 5 TA rating, top half of drugs sector RS matrix, LT pos trend, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 5/6
GSK GlaxoSmithKline Plc. (United Kingdom) ADR Drugs $59.18 hi 40s - mid 50s 67 42 5 TA rating, top 25% of DRUG sector matrix, LT pos trend, yield > 3%, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 4/29
ADI Analog Devices, Inc. Semiconductors $348.60 310s - 330s 380 268 4 for 5'er, top half of favored SEMI sector matrix, LT pos market RS, return to buy signal
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. Computers $82.61 Upper 70s to lower 80s 96 70 5 for 5'er; top quintile of Computers matrix; Pos. Trend since Sept. '24; Bull Triangle on 3/25, Earn. 5/13
CAT Caterpillar, Inc. Machinery and Tools $794.25 680s - 720s 848 592 5 for 5'er, top 10% in favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, Earn. 4/30
DBD Diebold Nixdorf Inc Finance $85.49 low-to-mid 70s 99 63 5 for 5'er, #3 of 77 in FINA sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>2.0, Earn. 4/30/b>
NI Nisource, Inc. Gas Utilities $47.22 mid-hi 40s 78 38 5 TA rating, LT pos trend, LT mkt RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 5/6
FHI Federated Hermes Inc Wall Street $58.30 54-hi 50s 91 46 5 TA rating, top 25% of WALL sector RS matrix, LT pos trend and mkt RS buy, consec buy signals, good R-R, Earn. 4/30
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation Steel/Iron $438.80 hi 370s - low 400s 500 348 5 for 5'er, top third of STEE sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread quintuple top, buy on pullback, Earn. 4/29
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Retailing $974.80 944-1050s 1296 832 4 TA rating, top 33% of retail sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, LT pos trend, consec buy signals
ATRO Astronics Corp Aerospace Airline $76.06 hi 60s - mid 70s 90 59 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AERO sector matrix, bearish signal reversal to spread triple top, Earn. 5/12
BURL Burlington Stores, Inc. Retailing $335.04 mid 320s to 340s 400 284 5 for 5'er; top quintile of Retail matrix; Multi-Yr High on 4/9; R-R > 4.
AMG Affiliated Managers Group Wall Street $303.21 270s - 280s 356 232 5 for 5'er, top third of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread triple top, Earn. 5/7
ATI ATI Inc. Aerospace Airline $163.03 150s - mid 160s 192 134 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored AERO sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish catapult, Earn. 4/30
DRS Leonardo DRS, Inc. Aerospace Airline $47.54 mid-hi 40s 66 37 4 TA rating, top 25% of aerospace/airline sector matrix, consec buy signals, LT pos trend, Earn. 5/5
SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. Real Estate $202.96 190s - low 200s 246 172 5 for 5'er, top 20% of REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bearish signal reversal, 4.3% yield, Earn. 5/11

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
CPRT Copart Incorporated Autos and Parts $33.29 hi 30s 28 42 1 TA rating, bottom 50% of AUTO sector matrix, NT and mkt RS sell last month, consec sell signals

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
CGON CG Oncology, Inc. Biomedics/Genetics $67.28 hi 50s - low 60s 80 50 CGON has fallen to a sell signal. OK to hold here. Raise top to $59. Earn. 5/7

Follow-Up Comments

Comment
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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. R ($201.46) - Real Estate - SPG is a 5 for 5'er that ranks in the top quintile of the real estate sector matrix and has been on peer & market RS buy signals since 2021. After giving three consecutive sell signals, SPG returned to a buy signal last week when it completed a bearish signal reversal at $194. Long exposure may be added in the $190s to low $200s and we will set our initial stop at $172. We will use the bullish price objective, $246, as our target price. SPG also carries a 4.3% yield and is expected to report earnings on 5/11.

 
                                  26                        
204.00                                       X               204.00
200.00                                   X   X O       X     200.00
198.00                                   X O X O       X     198.00
196.00                                   X O X 3       X     196.00
194.00                                   2 O X O X     X     194.00
192.00                                   X O   O X O X   X   Mid 192.00
190.00                                   X     O X O X O X     190.00
188.00                       X       X   X     O O X O 4     188.00
186.00                       X O X   X O X       O   O X     186.00
184.00                   X   X O X O X O X           O X     184.00
182.00                   9 O X A X O X 1             O X     182.00
180.00                   X O X O B C                 O X     180.00
178.00                   X O   O X                   O     178.00
176.00                   X     O X                         176.00
174.00                   X     O                             174.00
172.00                   X                                   172.00
170.00 O             X   X                                   170.00
168.00 O         X   X O X                                 Bot 168.00
166.00 O     X   X O X O X                                   166.00
164.00 O X   7 O X O X O                                     164.00
162.00 O X O X O X 8 X                                       162.00
160.00 O X O X O O                                         160.00
158.00 O X 6 X                                             158.00
156.00 O   O                                                 156.00
                                  26                        

 

 

AAPL Apple Inc. ($266.43) - Computers - AAPL moved higher Wednesday to break a double top at $264. This stock has a 5 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top half of the computers sector RS matrix. The stock has been on an RS buy signal against the market since 2004 and maintained a positive trend since last July. The weight of the technical evidence is positive and improving again. Initial support can be seen at $248 with further support at $244.
DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. ($202.09) - Restaurants - DRI broke a triple top at $200 to return the stock to a buy signal and penetrate the bearish resistance line, shifting the trend back to positive. The trend change will increase the stock to a 4 for 5'er that maintains positive long-term RS versus the market and its peer group. From here, resistance lies at $208 and $220, the February 2026 rally high. Initial support lies at $188, the bullish support line, as well as at $184.
LLY Eli Lilly and Company ($903.93) - Drugs - LLY inched lower to complete a bearish triangle at $896, marking its second consecutive sell signal. The 2 for 5'er moved down from a 4 at the start of this month, after reversing back into Os against and its peers and moving back into a negative trend. Additionally, the stock ranks in the bottom half of the drugs sector matrix. A sell can be made here. Initial strong resistance is between $960-$976, with additional strong resistance at $1056.
SCCO Southern Copper Corporation ($189.80) - Metals Non Ferrous - SCCO fell to a sell signal Wednesday when it broke a double bottom at $188. The outlook for the stock remains positive, however, as SCCO is a 5 for 5'er. From here, the next level of support sits at $172.
TSLA Tesla Inc. ($390.31) - Autos and Parts - TSLA broke a double top at $368 to complete a bearish signal reversal pattern as shares rallied to $392. The move not only returns the stock to a buy signal but flips the trend back to positive, increasing the stock up to a 3 for 5'er. Whille maintaining long-term RS buy signals, the stock continues to show negative near-term RS against the market and its peer group. From here, the next level of notable resistance lies at $416 on the chart. Initial support lies at $340, the bullish support line.
TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. ($213.23) - Leisure - TTWO broke a double top at $208 for a third buy signal as shares rallied to $212. This breakout follows the stock shifting the trend back to positive during trading last week, increasing the stock up to a 3 for 5'er. TTWO maintains positive long-term RS buy signal, but continues to maintained negative near-term RS against the market and its peer group. From here, the next notable levels of resistance lies at $220 and $228. Initial support lies in the mid $190s, while additional can be found at $188.

 

Daily Option Ideas for April 15, 2026

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Palo Alto Networks Inc - $164.82 O: 26G165.00D17 Buy the July 165.00 calls at 15.80 150.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Apple Inc. ( AAPL) Jul. 260.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 16.65 (CP: 18.65)
Delta Air Lines Inc. ( DAL) Jul. 67.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 7.15 (CP: 9.15)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Paychex, Inc. - $90.31 O: 26U90.00D18 Buy the September 90.00 puts at 8.00 97.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
Zoom Communications Inc. ( ZM) Aug. 82.50 Puts Stopped at 88.00 (CP: 89.37)
Paypal Holdings Inc ( PYPL) Jul. 45.00 Puts Stopped at 49.00 (CP: 49.72)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
DHT Holdings, Inc. $ 17.18 O: 26E18.00D15 May. 18.00 0.90 $ 8,407.15 73.11% 51.79% 4.08%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A ( PLTR) - 135.70 Sell the July 150.00 Calls.
Alcoa Inc. ( AA) - 71.84 Sell the July 75.00 Calls.
Dow, Inc. ( DOW) - 39.16 Sell the May 40.00 Calls.
Frontline PLC ( FRO) - 34.16 Sell the August 40.00 Calls.
Target Corporation ( TGT) - 119.53 Sell the July 120.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
No Additions to This Section

 

Most Requested Symbols