Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Feb 02, 2026
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Daily Summary

A Dull Day for Precious Metals

Precious metals names struggled quite mightily over the last few days as price action trailed off 2026 highs. We discuss the move and levels you need to watch from a technical perspective.

Out With the New, In With the Old: Time to Ditch Crypto?

There weren’t many investments to lose money in 2025, but one area that succeeded in doing so was cryptocurrencies. Is now the time to rotate out of the group, and if so, where else could investors look?

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Jan 29, 2026

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

While lots of recent research has hit on precious metals recently, we would be remiss if we didn’t hit on the historically bad end of last week for precious metals. After a meteoric rise over the last few months that saw silver notch action above $110 and gold march above $5,000 p/oz., market action on 1/30 saw both metals crack under the pressure. Gold and silver represented by GLD & SLV feel 10.27% and 28.54% respectively. These “meme-stock” type declines marked the worst trading days in our recorded history for the funds (since 1990 for SLV & 1975 for GLD) and certainly seemed like a short-term cap to the recent market action… at least towards the upside. The charts below help visualize this decline via histogram. An interesting tidbit for the dinner table: the -28.54% return singlehandedly moved the average daily return for silver from +.05% to .04% since 1990. There is certainly some rounding magic going on behind the scenes to help smooth out the values, but the fact that a single day noticeably affected roughly 9,400 trading days lends a hand to how intense the decline was.

Now, the aftermath. Although most of us would have agreed that an exhale/normalization was due for the precious metals space (particularly silver), few of us would have predicted an over 30% intraday decline was coming down the pipeline. With that said, there are undoubtedly those of you who have opened positions at a much higher level than where we currently find ourselves around mid-day on 2/2 (~$70 for SLV). Hopefully, those of you with some portion of your position underwater have some greater proportion of offsetting gains. Despite the losses over the last few trading days, SLV is still up over 10% so far in 2026 and nearly 200% since the start of 2025. This fact brings up our first lesson: remember not to panic. The historic decline certainly hurts, but those following the trends for precious metals over the longer term have been rewarded, especially over the last few years. The now 35-box string of O’s off chart highs for SLV brings the name right back to the middle of the trading band and within just a few dollars of a range of relevant support in the mid-$60’s. All this to say, despite the intense drop, there is some sense of normalcy leaving us with defined ranges of support and resistance we can look towards amid the continued volatility.

There are four precious metals stocks that maintain their perfect 5/5 TA scores, relevant PnF buy signals on their default charts, and fit some general liquidity overlays. While it probably makes sense to wait until some of the volatility subsides in the space, it is worth having a short-list of options to look into if things start to pick up towards the upside again. The list is below, as well as a highlighted picture for IAMGOLD Corp. (IAG) which recently pulled back off its relative highs. Remember to keep in mind general suitability when considering positions. IAG has an RRisk of 4.25, suggesting that it can move around quite quickly if things continue to head south for precious metals.

 

“Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.” — Warren Buffett

There weren’t many investments to lose money in 2025, but one area that succeeded in doing so was cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin ($BTC) is easily the biggest name in the cryptocurrency space, and even it hasn’t been immune to the group’s weakness. Bitcoin reached a high of X in October of last year, but it’s fallen nearly 40% from its peak, and it is currently trading below $80k. Looking at its PnF chart, Bitcoin moved to a sell signal for the first time since March after breaking a double bottom at $77k. Many investors own a fund equivalent of Bitcoin, and none is more popular than the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). IBIT moved to a negative trend in November, and it now lacks near- and long-term market relative strength. Consequently, it holds an extremely weak fund score of 0.61, in addition to a negative score direction of 5.31, highlighting its sharp decline over the last few months.

Bitcoin hasn’t been the only name moving lower. In fact, most altcoins like Ethereum ($ETH) have seen even greater declines. Out of the seven members of the Nasdaq Crypto Index (.NCI), six of them are down more than 50% from their 2025 highs, with the average decline sitting at 60.3%. This broad-based decline within the cryptocurrency market has seen participation take a massive hit. Currently, none of the seven NCI constituents trades on a buy signal, while Bitcoin is the only name to trade in a positive trend. Additionally, five of the seven coins trade on at least four consecutive sell signals. If the asset class were to see a rebound in strength, it would likely need help from more than just Bitcoin, which is far from the case currently. That said, most crypto names are in oversold territory, so they could see some reversal over the next couple of weeks. 

Crypto investors often praise the group’s its diversification benefits and upside potential. However, the group currently lacks the strength it typically displays during rallies. Those looking to maintain a personal touch with portfolios could pivot away from crypto and instead look towards other alternative assets for similar benefits.

Among the different areas that are more isolated from the market, commodities have been among the strongest this year, buoyed by a rebound in energy commodities and continued strength from metals. The iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN (DJP) was up as much as 14% this year, placing the group in overbought territory. However, sharp pullback within commodities over the last several days has seen DJP return to actionable territory around the middle of its ten-week trading band. For the time being, DJP continues to demonstrate strength with an extremely solid fund score of 5.41, making it an alternative replacement for those looking to rotate out of crypto. A similar case could be made for precious metals, but the group has recently experienced heightened volatility, as we mentioned in today’s other article.

Overall, the broader cryptocurrency space continues to demonstrate a lack of relative strength. However, crypto can change on a moment’s notice, and it will likely regain strength at another point in time. Those looking to keep an eye out for a return to favor should watch several “greenlight” metrics. Today, we look most closely at the bitcoin bogey check, but fund scores, moving averages, and bull/bear markets can also provide further context, as we’ve mentioned before. For those unfamiliar, the bogey places an asset on an RS chart versus cash (MNYMKT), and the security passes when demonstrating near-term strength by sitting in a column of Xs on the RS chart. Meanwhile, periods of flight to safety marked by a column of Os versus MNYMKT often see near-term weakness and increased volatility. Applying this same concept to cryptocurrencies gives us a short-term view into whether the group might be back on solid footing. Most of Bitcoin’s gains since 2011 have come when it passes the bogey check, making that RS chart one to monitor for potential reversals and subsequent improvement.

 

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

27.79

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
             
Buy signaliwm
       
             
Buy signalIJH
       
             
Buy signalSPY
       
             
Sell signalicf
       
           
Buy signalagg
Buy signalijr
       
           
Buy signalVOOG
Buy signalgcc
       
           
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalhyg
 
Buy signalGLD
   
       
Sell signalief
Sell signallqd
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signalshy
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalEEM
 
     
Sell signaldx/y
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalXLG
Buy signaldia
Buy signalrsp
Buy signalfxe
Buy signalefa
Buy signaluso
Buy signalgsg
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $128.31 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield, Earn 2/20
BCO The Brink's Company Protection Safety Equipment $127.04 mid 110s - low 120s 152 104 5 for 5'er, top half of PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R>2.0, Earn. 2/25
IMAX Imax Corporation Media $34.91 33 - hi 30s 53 26 5 TA rating, top 20% of Media sector matrix, LT pos trend, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/18
FIX Comfort Systems U.S.A. Building $1142.10 960 - mid 1100s 1376 864 5 TA rating, top 10% of BUIL sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/19
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Banks $90.49 mid 80s - low 90s 128 76 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0
JPM J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Banks $305.89 lo 300s - mid 320s 380 256 5 TA rating, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback
ETR Entergy Corporation Utilities/Electricity $95.89 low-to-mid 90s 107 86 5 for 5'er, top 20% of EUTI sector matrix, 2.7% yield Earn. 2/12
BWA BorgWarner Inc. Autos and Parts $47.41 mid-to-hi 40s 83 40 4 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, multiple buy signals, R-R>4.0, 1.4% yield, Earn. 2/11
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Real Estate $357.91 340s - 350s 416 308 5 for 5'er, #2 of 121 in REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, Earn. 2/18
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp Banks $68.80 64 - lo 70s 90 54 5 TA rating, top half of BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
STLD Steel Dynamics Inc. Steel/Iron $179.57 170s - low 180s 218 148 5 for 5'er, top half of favored STEE sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, buy on pullback
WMT Walmart Inc. Retailing $119.14 110-lo 120s 151 98 4 TA rating, top 33% of RETA sector matrix, LT mkt and peer RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/19
ENVA Enova International Inc Finance $165.17 hi 150s - 160s 190 142 5 for 5'er, 2 of 78 in FINA sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS
EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc. Banks $114.36 mid 100s - mid 110s 157 92 4 for 5'er, top third of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, one box from mkt RS buy, spread quad top

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc. R ($114.80) - Banks - EWBC is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top third of the favored banks sector matrix and has been on a peer RS buy signal since 2021; EWBC also sits one box away from giving a market RS buy signal which would promote it to a 5 for 5'er. On its default chart, EWBC gave a second consecutive buy signal when it broke a spread quadruple top at $112, taking out resistance that had been in place since July. The stock continued higher, reaching a new all-time high at $118 has before subsequently pulling back to prior resistance near the middle of its trading band, offering an entry point for long exposure. Positions may be added in the mid $100s to mid $110s and we will set our initial stop at $92, which would take out two levels of support on EWBC's chart. Using a modified vertical price objective based on the spread quadruple top breakout, we will set our target price at $157. EWBC also carries a 2.8% yield.

 
                                                  26        
118.00                                                 1       118.00
116.00                                                 X O     116.00
114.00                                                 X O     114.00
112.00                                                 X O   Mid 112.00
110.00                             X   X   X           C       110.00
108.00                             X O X O 9 O         X       108.00
106.00                             X O X O X O     X   X       106.00
104.00                             7 O   O X A X   X O X       104.00
102.00                             X     O X O X O X O X       102.00
100.00                             X     8 X O X O X O X     Bot 100.00
99.00                             X     O X O X B   O         99.00
98.00                             X     O X O X               98.00
97.00                 X           X     O X O X               97.00
96.00               X O     X   X     O   O X               96.00
95.00               X O     X O X         O X               95.00
94.00 X             X O     X O X         O X               94.00
93.00 X O           X O X   X O X         O                 93.00
92.00 X O           X O X O X O X                           92.00
91.00 X O     X     X O X O X O                             91.00
90.00 X O     X O   X O X 6 X                             90.00
89.00 X O     X O   X O   O                               89.00
88.00 X O     X O     X                                     88.00
87.00 X 4     X O X   5                                     87.00
86.00 X O     X O X O X                                     86.00
85.00 X O     X O X O X                                     85.00
84.00   O     X O   O                                       84.00
83.00   O     X                                             83.00
82.00   O     X                                             82.00
81.00   O     X                                             81.00
80.00   O     X                                             80.00
79.00   O     X                                             79.00
78.00   O     X                                             78.00
77.00   O X   X                                             77.00
76.00   O X O X                                             76.00
75.00   O X O X                                             75.00
74.00   O X O X                                             74.00
73.00   O X O X                                             73.00
72.00   O X O X                                             72.00
71.00   O X O X                                             71.00
70.00   O   O X                                             70.00
69.00       O                                               69.00
                                                  26        

 

 

BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (China) ADR ($168.31) - Retailing - BABA broke a double bottom at $168 to initiate a shakeout pattern. The stock has maintained a 3 for 5'er since mid-January and currently ranks within the top half of the Retailing sector matrix. The action point for the shakeout pattern occurs upon on a reversal into Xs at $174, while the pattern would be complete with the triple top break at $182. Support currently lies at $162, while additional can be found at $156, the bullish support line.
CCJ Cameco Corporation ($119.71) - Metals Non Ferrous - CCJ fell to a sell signal Monday when it broke a double bottom at $120. The outlook for the stock remains positive as it is a 4 for 5'er. From here, the next level of support sits at $108.
CNR Core Natural Resources Inc. ($90.75) - Oil - CNR gave a second consecutive sell signal and fell to a negative trend Monday when it broke a double bottom at $91. The negative trend change will drop CNR to a 1 for 5'er.
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. ($80.90) - Computers - CSCO pushed higher Monday to break a spread triple top at $81, notching a new multi-year chart high. This stock has a 4 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top half of the computers sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is favorable here and continues to improve. Initial support can be seen at $73 and $71. Earnings are expected on 2/11.
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc ($89.78) - Oil - HCC fell to a sell signal Monday when it broke a double bottom at $88. The outlook for the stock remains positive despite Monday's move as HCC is a 5 for 5'er that ranks first out of 55 names in the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $87.
JBTM JBT Marel Corp ($163.35) - Machinery and Tools - JBTM posted a third consecutive buy signal on its default chart today with action at $162. The move brings the 4/5'er to levels not seen since late 2021 (around all-time highs). The upside action in 2026 has confirmed support levels at/above the middle of the trading band and a significant range of resistance around the 2025 highs a net positive in the near/intermediate term. Sitting in the top third of the Machinery and Tools sector matrix, the name remains a standout for those of you looking for focused exposure.
MSTR Strategy Inc ($141.11) - Software - MSTR dropped Monday to break a double bottom at $138, marking a second consecutive sell signal and a new 52-week low. This highly volatile name has a 0 for 5 TA rating and sits near the bottom of the unfavored software sector RS matrix. The technical picture is weak and deteriorating further. Avoid long exposure. Note that overhead resistance may be seen at $150 and $164. Earnings are expected on 2/5.
OKE ONEOK, Inc. ($76.05) - Oil Service - After giving four consecutive buy signals, OKE fell to a sell signal Monday when it broke a double bottom at $76. The move adds to an already unfavorable technical picture as OKE is a 2 for 5'er and ranks in the bottom decile of the oil service sector matrix.
PEP PepsiCo, Inc. ($155.20) - Food Beverages/Soap - Shares of PEP broke a double top at $154 to return to a buy signal. Today's movement also saw the stock flip its trend back to positive, bringing it up to a 1 for 5'er. However, the stocks remains in sell territory for now given its broader lack of relative strength. From here, resistance lies at $156, $160, and $164.
TEAM Atlassian Corp. PLC ($114.54) - Software - TEAM dropped Monday to break a triple bottom at $114, marking a third consecutive sell signal and a new multi-year low. This 0 for 5'er moved to a negative trend in January and sits near the bottom of the unfavored software sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is weak and deteriorating. However, TEAM is now in a heavily oversold territory. Overhead resistance may be seen initially at $122. Note that earnings are expected on 2/5.

 

Daily Option Ideas for February 2, 2026

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
General Motors - $83.88 O: 26C82.50D20 Buy the March 82.50 calls at 4.65 77.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Gilead Sciences, Inc. ( GILD) Mar. 125.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 16.30 (CP: 18.30)
CME Group, Inc. ( CME) Mar. 270.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 20.20 (CP: 22.20)
Apple Inc. ( AAPL) Apr. 260.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 15.75 (CP: 17.75)
Wells Fargo & Company ( WFC) Apr. 87.50 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 5.55 (CP: 7.55)
Walmart Inc. ( WMT) Apr. 115.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 9.70 (CP: 11.70)
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc ( HLT) Mar. 300.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 10.90 (CP: 12.90)
State Street Corporation ( STT) May. 125.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 9.50 (CP: 11.50)
International Business Machines Corp. ( IBM) Apr. 305.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 19.10 (CP: 21.10)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Tractor Supply Company - $52.74 O: 26P55.00D17 Buy the April 55.00 puts at 3.80 57.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
American Tower REIT ( AMT) Apr. 175.00 Puts Initiate an option stop loss of 6.60 (CP: 8.60)
Marvell Technology Inc. ( MRVL) Mar. 80.00 Puts Initiate an option stop loss of 5.60 (CP: 7.60)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Halliburton Company $ 33.52 O: 26C33.00D20 Mar. 33.00 1.70 $ 15,757.85 29.09% 34.10% 4.12%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Alcoa Inc. ( AA) - 56.81 Sell the March 60.00 Calls.
Intel Corporation ( INTC) - 46.47 Sell the May 49.00 Calls.
The Gap, Inc. ( GAP) - 27.98 Sell the March 29.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
Semtech Corporation ( SMTC - 79.77 ) February 80.00 covered write.
Alphabet Inc. Class A ( GOOGL - 338.00 ) May 335.00 covered write.

 

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