Daily Summary
A Dull Day for Precious Metals
Precious metals names struggled quite mightily over the last few days as price action trailed off 2026 highs. We discuss the move and levels you need to watch from a technical perspective.
Out With the New, In With the Old: Time to Ditch Crypto?
There weren’t many investments to lose money in 2025, but one area that succeeded in doing so was cryptocurrencies. Is now the time to rotate out of the group, and if so, where else could investors look?
Weekly Video
Weekly Rundown Video – Jan 29, 2026
Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.
Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.
While lots of recent research has hit on precious metals recently, we would be remiss if we didn’t hit on the historically bad end of last week for precious metals. After a meteoric rise over the last few months that saw silver notch action above $110 and gold march above $5,000 p/oz., market action on 1/30 saw both metals crack under the pressure. Gold and silver represented by GLD & SLV feel 10.27% and 28.54% respectively. These “meme-stock” type declines marked the worst trading days in our recorded history for the funds (since 1990 for SLV & 1975 for GLD) and certainly seemed like a short-term cap to the recent market action… at least towards the upside. The charts below help visualize this decline via histogram. An interesting tidbit for the dinner table: the -28.54% return singlehandedly moved the average daily return for silver from +.05% to .04% since 1990. There is certainly some rounding magic going on behind the scenes to help smooth out the values, but the fact that a single day noticeably affected roughly 9,400 trading days lends a hand to how intense the decline was.
Now, the aftermath. Although most of us would have agreed that an exhale/normalization was due for the precious metals space (particularly silver), few of us would have predicted an over 30% intraday decline was coming down the pipeline. With that said, there are undoubtedly those of you who have opened positions at a much higher level than where we currently find ourselves around mid-day on 2/2 (~$70 for SLV). Hopefully, those of you with some portion of your position underwater have some greater proportion of offsetting gains. Despite the losses over the last few trading days, SLV is still up over 10% so far in 2026 and nearly 200% since the start of 2025. This fact brings up our first lesson: remember not to panic. The historic decline certainly hurts, but those following the trends for precious metals over the longer term have been rewarded, especially over the last few years. The now 35-box string of O’s off chart highs for SLV brings the name right back to the middle of the trading band and within just a few dollars of a range of relevant support in the mid-$60’s. All this to say, despite the intense drop, there is some sense of normalcy leaving us with defined ranges of support and resistance we can look towards amid the continued volatility.
There are four precious metals stocks that maintain their perfect 5/5 TA scores, relevant PnF buy signals on their default charts, and fit some general liquidity overlays. While it probably makes sense to wait until some of the volatility subsides in the space, it is worth having a short-list of options to look into if things start to pick up towards the upside again. The list is below, as well as a highlighted picture for IAMGOLD Corp. (IAG) which recently pulled back off its relative highs. Remember to keep in mind general suitability when considering positions. IAG has an RRisk of 4.25, suggesting that it can move around quite quickly if things continue to head south for precious metals.
“Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.” — Warren Buffett
There weren’t many investments to lose money in 2025, but one area that succeeded in doing so was cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin ($BTC) is easily the biggest name in the cryptocurrency space, and even it hasn’t been immune to the group’s weakness. Bitcoin reached a high of X in October of last year, but it’s fallen nearly 40% from its peak, and it is currently trading below $80k. Looking at its PnF chart, Bitcoin moved to a sell signal for the first time since March after breaking a double bottom at $77k. Many investors own a fund equivalent of Bitcoin, and none is more popular than the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). IBIT moved to a negative trend in November, and it now lacks near- and long-term market relative strength. Consequently, it holds an extremely weak fund score of 0.61, in addition to a negative score direction of 5.31, highlighting its sharp decline over the last few months.

Bitcoin hasn’t been the only name moving lower. In fact, most altcoins like Ethereum ($ETH) have seen even greater declines. Out of the seven members of the Nasdaq Crypto Index (.NCI), six of them are down more than 50% from their 2025 highs, with the average decline sitting at 60.3%. This broad-based decline within the cryptocurrency market has seen participation take a massive hit. Currently, none of the seven NCI constituents trades on a buy signal, while Bitcoin is the only name to trade in a positive trend. Additionally, five of the seven coins trade on at least four consecutive sell signals. If the asset class were to see a rebound in strength, it would likely need help from more than just Bitcoin, which is far from the case currently. That said, most crypto names are in oversold territory, so they could see some reversal over the next couple of weeks.

Crypto investors often praise the group’s its diversification benefits and upside potential. However, the group currently lacks the strength it typically displays during rallies. Those looking to maintain a personal touch with portfolios could pivot away from crypto and instead look towards other alternative assets for similar benefits.
Among the different areas that are more isolated from the market, commodities have been among the strongest this year, buoyed by a rebound in energy commodities and continued strength from metals. The iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN (DJP) was up as much as 14% this year, placing the group in overbought territory. However, sharp pullback within commodities over the last several days has seen DJP return to actionable territory around the middle of its ten-week trading band. For the time being, DJP continues to demonstrate strength with an extremely solid fund score of 5.41, making it an alternative replacement for those looking to rotate out of crypto. A similar case could be made for precious metals, but the group has recently experienced heightened volatility, as we mentioned in today’s other article.

Overall, the broader cryptocurrency space continues to demonstrate a lack of relative strength. However, crypto can change on a moment’s notice, and it will likely regain strength at another point in time. Those looking to keep an eye out for a return to favor should watch several “greenlight” metrics. Today, we look most closely at the bitcoin bogey check, but fund scores, moving averages, and bull/bear markets can also provide further context, as we’ve mentioned before. For those unfamiliar, the bogey places an asset on an RS chart versus cash (MNYMKT), and the security passes when demonstrating near-term strength by sitting in a column of Xs on the RS chart. Meanwhile, periods of flight to safety marked by a column of Os versus MNYMKT often see near-term weakness and increased volatility. Applying this same concept to cryptocurrencies gives us a short-term view into whether the group might be back on solid footing. Most of Bitcoin’s gains since 2011 have come when it passes the bogey check, making that RS chart one to monitor for potential reversals and subsequent improvement.

Average Level
27.79
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
| AGG | iShares US Core Bond ETF |
| USO | United States Oil Fund |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
| DVY | iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF |
| DX/Y | NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
| FXE | Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust |
| GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust |
| HYG | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF |
| ICF | iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF |
| IEF | iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF |
| LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF |
| IJH | iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund |
| ONEQ | Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust |
| RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF |
| SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF |
| IJR | iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust |
| TLT | iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF |
| GCC | WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund |
| VOOG | Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF |
| VOOV | Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
| XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF |
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMR | Lamar Advertising Company | Media | $128.31 | 120s - low 130s | 158 | 110 | 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield, Earn 2/20 |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | Protection Safety Equipment | $127.04 | mid 110s - low 120s | 152 | 104 | 5 for 5'er, top half of PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R>2.0, Earn. 2/25 |
| IMAX | Imax Corporation | Media | $34.91 | 33 - hi 30s | 53 | 26 | 5 TA rating, top 20% of Media sector matrix, LT pos trend, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/18 |
| FIX | Comfort Systems U.S.A. | Building | $1142.10 | 960 - mid 1100s | 1376 | 864 | 5 TA rating, top 10% of BUIL sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/19 |
| WFC | Wells Fargo & Company | Banks | $90.49 | mid 80s - low 90s | 128 | 76 | 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0 |
| JPM | J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. | Banks | $305.89 | lo 300s - mid 320s | 380 | 256 | 5 TA rating, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback |
| ETR | Entergy Corporation | Utilities/Electricity | $95.89 | low-to-mid 90s | 107 | 86 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of EUTI sector matrix, 2.7% yield Earn. 2/12 |
| BWA | BorgWarner Inc. | Autos and Parts | $47.41 | mid-to-hi 40s | 83 | 40 | 4 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, multiple buy signals, R-R>4.0, 1.4% yield, Earn. 2/11 |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Real Estate | $357.91 | 340s - 350s | 416 | 308 | 5 for 5'er, #2 of 121 in REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, Earn. 2/18 |
| HWC | Hancock Whitney Corp | Banks | $68.80 | 64 - lo 70s | 90 | 54 | 5 TA rating, top half of BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc. | Steel/Iron | $179.57 | 170s - low 180s | 218 | 148 | 5 for 5'er, top half of favored STEE sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, buy on pullback |
| WMT | Walmart Inc. | Retailing | $119.14 | 110-lo 120s | 151 | 98 | 4 TA rating, top 33% of RETA sector matrix, LT mkt and peer RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/19 |
| ENVA | Enova International Inc | Finance | $165.17 | hi 150s - 160s | 190 | 142 | 5 for 5'er, 2 of 78 in FINA sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | Banks | $114.36 | mid 100s - mid 110s | 157 | 92 | 4 for 5'er, top third of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, one box from mkt RS buy, spread quad top |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
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Follow-Up Comments
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NDW Spotlight Stock
EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc. R ($114.80) - Banks - EWBC is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top third of the favored banks sector matrix and has been on a peer RS buy signal since 2021; EWBC also sits one box away from giving a market RS buy signal which would promote it to a 5 for 5'er. On its default chart, EWBC gave a second consecutive buy signal when it broke a spread quadruple top at $112, taking out resistance that had been in place since July. The stock continued higher, reaching a new all-time high at $118 has before subsequently pulling back to prior resistance near the middle of its trading band, offering an entry point for long exposure. Positions may be added in the mid $100s to mid $110s and we will set our initial stop at $92, which would take out two levels of support on EWBC's chart. Using a modified vertical price objective based on the spread quadruple top breakout, we will set our target price at $157. EWBC also carries a 2.8% yield.
| 26 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 118.00 | 1 | 118.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 116.00 | X | O | 116.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114.00 | X | O | 114.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112.00 | X | O | Mid | 112.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 110.00 | X | X | X | C | 110.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 108.00 | X | O | X | O | 9 | O | X | 108.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 106.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | 106.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 104.00 | 7 | O | O | X | A | X | X | O | X | 104.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 102.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 102.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 100.00 | X | 8 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | Bot | 100.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 99.00 | X | O | X | O | X | B | O | 99.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 98.00 | X | O | X | O | X | 98.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97.00 | X | X | O | X | O | X | 97.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96.00 | • | X | O | X | X | O | O | X | 96.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 95.00 | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 95.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 94.00 | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 94.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 93.00 | X | O | • | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | 93.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 92.00 | X | O | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 92.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 91.00 | X | O | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | 91.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 90.00 | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | 6 | X | • | 90.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| 89.00 | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | O | • | 89.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 88.00 | X | O | X | O | X | • | 88.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87.00 | X | 4 | X | O | X | 5 | • | 87.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 86.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | • | 86.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 85.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | • | 85.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 84.00 | O | X | O | O | • | 84.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83.00 | O | X | • | 83.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82.00 | O | X | • | 82.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81.00 | O | X | • | 81.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80.00 | O | X | • | 80.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79.00 | O | X | • | 79.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78.00 | O | X | • | 78.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77.00 | O | X | X | • | 77.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 76.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 75.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 74.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 73.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 72.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 72.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 71.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70.00 | O | O | X | • | 70.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69.00 | O | • | 69.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (China) ADR ($168.31) - Retailing - BABA broke a double bottom at $168 to initiate a shakeout pattern. The stock has maintained a 3 for 5'er since mid-January and currently ranks within the top half of the Retailing sector matrix. The action point for the shakeout pattern occurs upon on a reversal into Xs at $174, while the pattern would be complete with the triple top break at $182. Support currently lies at $162, while additional can be found at $156, the bullish support line. |
| CCJ Cameco Corporation ($119.71) - Metals Non Ferrous - CCJ fell to a sell signal Monday when it broke a double bottom at $120. The outlook for the stock remains positive as it is a 4 for 5'er. From here, the next level of support sits at $108. |
| CNR Core Natural Resources Inc. ($90.75) - Oil - CNR gave a second consecutive sell signal and fell to a negative trend Monday when it broke a double bottom at $91. The negative trend change will drop CNR to a 1 for 5'er. |
| CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. ($80.90) - Computers - CSCO pushed higher Monday to break a spread triple top at $81, notching a new multi-year chart high. This stock has a 4 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top half of the computers sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is favorable here and continues to improve. Initial support can be seen at $73 and $71. Earnings are expected on 2/11. |
| HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc ($89.78) - Oil - HCC fell to a sell signal Monday when it broke a double bottom at $88. The outlook for the stock remains positive despite Monday's move as HCC is a 5 for 5'er that ranks first out of 55 names in the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $87. |
| JBTM JBT Marel Corp ($163.35) - Machinery and Tools - JBTM posted a third consecutive buy signal on its default chart today with action at $162. The move brings the 4/5'er to levels not seen since late 2021 (around all-time highs). The upside action in 2026 has confirmed support levels at/above the middle of the trading band and a significant range of resistance around the 2025 highs a net positive in the near/intermediate term. Sitting in the top third of the Machinery and Tools sector matrix, the name remains a standout for those of you looking for focused exposure. |
| MSTR Strategy Inc ($141.11) - Software - MSTR dropped Monday to break a double bottom at $138, marking a second consecutive sell signal and a new 52-week low. This highly volatile name has a 0 for 5 TA rating and sits near the bottom of the unfavored software sector RS matrix. The technical picture is weak and deteriorating further. Avoid long exposure. Note that overhead resistance may be seen at $150 and $164. Earnings are expected on 2/5. |
| OKE ONEOK, Inc. ($76.05) - Oil Service - After giving four consecutive buy signals, OKE fell to a sell signal Monday when it broke a double bottom at $76. The move adds to an already unfavorable technical picture as OKE is a 2 for 5'er and ranks in the bottom decile of the oil service sector matrix. |
| PEP PepsiCo, Inc. ($155.20) - Food Beverages/Soap - Shares of PEP broke a double top at $154 to return to a buy signal. Today's movement also saw the stock flip its trend back to positive, bringing it up to a 1 for 5'er. However, the stocks remains in sell territory for now given its broader lack of relative strength. From here, resistance lies at $156, $160, and $164. |
| TEAM Atlassian Corp. PLC ($114.54) - Software - TEAM dropped Monday to break a triple bottom at $114, marking a third consecutive sell signal and a new multi-year low. This 0 for 5'er moved to a negative trend in January and sits near the bottom of the unfavored software sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is weak and deteriorating. However, TEAM is now in a heavily oversold territory. Overhead resistance may be seen initially at $122. Note that earnings are expected on 2/5. |
Daily Option Ideas for February 2, 2026
New Recommendations
| Name | Option Symbol | Action | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Motors - $83.88 | O: 26C82.50D20 | Buy the March 82.50 calls at 4.65 | 77.00 |
Follow Ups
| Name | Option | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Gilead Sciences, Inc. ( GILD) | Mar. 125.00 Calls | Raise the option stop loss to 16.30 (CP: 18.30) |
| CME Group, Inc. ( CME) | Mar. 270.00 Calls | Raise the option stop loss to 20.20 (CP: 22.20) |
| Apple Inc. ( AAPL) | Apr. 260.00 Calls | Initiate an option stop loss of 15.75 (CP: 17.75) |
| Wells Fargo & Company ( WFC) | Apr. 87.50 Calls | Initiate an option stop loss of 5.55 (CP: 7.55) |
| Walmart Inc. ( WMT) | Apr. 115.00 Calls | Initiate an option stop loss of 9.70 (CP: 11.70) |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc ( HLT) | Mar. 300.00 Calls | Initiate an option stop loss of 10.90 (CP: 12.90) |
| State Street Corporation ( STT) | May. 125.00 Calls | Initiate an option stop loss of 9.50 (CP: 11.50) |
| International Business Machines Corp. ( IBM) | Apr. 305.00 Calls | Initiate an option stop loss of 19.10 (CP: 21.10) |
New Recommendations
| Name | Option Symbol | Action | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tractor Supply Company - $52.74 | O: 26P55.00D17 | Buy the April 55.00 puts at 3.80 | 57.00 |
Follow Up
| Name | Option | Action |
|---|---|---|
| American Tower REIT ( AMT) | Apr. 175.00 Puts | Initiate an option stop loss of 6.60 (CP: 8.60) |
| Marvell Technology Inc. ( MRVL) | Mar. 80.00 Puts | Initiate an option stop loss of 5.60 (CP: 7.60) |
New Recommendations
| Name | Option Sym. | Call to Sell | Call Price | Investment for 500 Shares | Annual Called Rtn. | Annual Static Rtn. | Downside Protection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halliburton Company $ 33.52 | O: 26C33.00D20 | Mar. 33.00 | 1.70 | $ 15,757.85 | 29.09% | 34.10% | 4.12% |
Still Recommended
| Name | Action |
|---|---|
| Alcoa Inc. ( AA) - 56.81 | Sell the March 60.00 Calls. |
| Intel Corporation ( INTC) - 46.47 | Sell the May 49.00 Calls. |
| The Gap, Inc. ( GAP) - 27.98 | Sell the March 29.00 Calls. |
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
| Name | Covered Write |
|---|---|
| Semtech Corporation ( SMTC - 79.77 ) | February 80.00 covered write. |
| Alphabet Inc. Class A ( GOOGL - 338.00 ) | May 335.00 covered write. |