Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jan 16, 2026
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Strength in Emerging Markets

Major equity indices are off to a strong start in 2026; however, international equities continue to be a strong theme.

Utilities Losing Their Utility?

After having been among the better performing sectors during the first three quarters of 2025, utilities have had their share of fits and starts during Q4 2025 and kicking off 2026.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Jan 14, 2026

​​​​​​Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

​​​​​​Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Strength in Emerging Markets

by Anthony Garcia

Earlier this week, we discussed in our weekly rundown video the major equity indices and their respective returns so far in 2026. Click here to watch. Major equity indices are off to a strong start in 2026; however, international equities continue to be a strong theme. Year-to-date, the international emerging markets representative EEM is up over 5%. The fund continues to build on its impressive 30% gain in 2025.

A benefit of using multiple tools on the Dorsey wright research site is the fact that you can cross check multiple tools to help build a case for areas of strength/areas of weakness. The Emerging Markets Diversified group on the asset class group scores page ranks 6th among all groups (134 in total), placing it above the 95th percentile of groups on the page. This ranking is higher than the S&P 500 Index Funds group, which currently rank 16th on the asset class group scores page. Additionally, when looking at our DALI asset class rankings, international equities remain firmly in the 2nd position. Although the group still trails domestic equities by 17 signals, international equities have gained 17 signals since the beginning of Q4 last year, highlighting clear improvement in recent months.

Given the fact that international equities representing such a broad group, gaining exposure in the group through ETFs provide a strong diversification benefit. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) provides exposure to large- and mid-cap stocks in developing countries like Asia, Latin America etc. The fund completed a double top break at $57, marking its third consecutive buy signal. EEM also reached an intraday high above $58 on Thursday (1/15), marking a new all-time high for the first time since  early 2021. EEM maintains a strong fund score of 5.55, with a positive score direction of 1.33. Additionally, the fund offers a yield of over 2.2%. The weekly OBOS indicates that the stock is in overbought territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before considering. Initial support is at $53, with additional support at $48.

 

After having been among the better performing sectors during the first three quarters of 2025, utilities have had their share of fits and starts during Q4 2025 and kicking off 2026. In recent years, utilities have been a “pick and axes” play of sorts for the AI theme as utility providers have announced and planned projects around supplying power to data centers. But as with the AI theme, investors are beginning to find out which companies are moving forward with plans as well as those who simply were trying to drum up attention.

After being up 15% and 16% through the first three quarters in 2025, the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) and Invesco S&P Utilities Equal Weight ETF (RSPU) are basically flat in since 9/30/2025 thanks to a stellar rally on Thursday (1/15). While both funds still maintain a positive trend and buy signals, utilities have lagged other notable sectors like materials and energy, which have led both sector ETF lineups to kick off 2026.

Looking at the market relative strength chart for both ETFs, XLU reversed down in late December, while last week’s action brought RSPU back into Os. Each fund maintains a positive trend and long-term market RS buy signal, which helps sustain acceptable fund scores north of 3. But, as can be seen on the NDW DALI Asset Class Rankings and Asset Class Group Scores page, near-term negative RS has impacted the technical picture for the broader sector.

After reaching as high as fourth in the middle of 2025, the sector slowly worked its way down to the rankings during Q4 before ultimately falling down to ninth to kick off 2026, marking the sector’s lowest ranking since July 2024. Meanwhile, on the Asset Class Group Scores page, utilities scored above 4.0 (out of 6) for most of 2025. But the sector has recently fallen to test the acceptable 3.0 group score threshold, a position it has maintained since mid-2024.

While relative weakness versus sector counterparts can be seen on the DALI and Asset Class Group Scores page, intermediate- and long-term participation within the sector has also taken a hit. After the bullish percent for the broader sector (^BPECUTILITY) reached a historically elevated ready of 76% back in October, the chart reversed in early November and has fallen to 60%. In a somewhat similar fashion, the long-term positive trend indicator for the sector (^PTECUTILITY) reached its highest chart level in five years at 68% before reversing down to Os in early December. While both indicators suggest that roughly six out of every 10 stocks within the sector still maintain a buy signal and positive trend, many have lagged relative to their sector counterparts in recent months.

Although there are a number of stock examples that speak to the relative weakness within the broader sector, a prime example is Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG). Prior to last week’s action, CEG had been at least a 3 technical attribute stock since May 2025. Along with a shift into a negative trend on its default point and figure chart on January 6th, CEG's market relative strength chart reversed into a column of Os after having been in Xs since April last year. Further signs of relative weakness for CEG can be seen in the Electric Utilities sector matrix, where the stock has fallen into the bottom quintile, along with its peer relative strength chart residing within one box of reversing into Os. Though CEG did return to a buy signal during Thursday’s trading (1/15), Friday’s intraday action brought the stock back to a sell signal and violated support in the lower $300 range that had been in place since November. Support for CEG now lies at $296, the September 2025 chart low, while additional can be found in the $280 range. 

While there are broad sector funds along with individual stocks that maintain acceptable technical pictures for the time being, some of the positive evidence for the broader sector has turned negative as it has lagged other sectors.

Featured Charts:

Portfolio View - Major Market ETFs

 

 

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

39.42

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
                       
           
Buy signalagg
         
           
Sell signallqd
         
           
Buy signalVOOG
         
         
Sell signalief
Sell signaldx/y
   
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalijr
 
         
Buy signalshy
Buy signalQQQ
 
Buy signalgsg
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Buy signaltlt
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Buy signalSPY
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Buy signalEEM
Buy signalGLD
       
Buy signalfxe
Buy signalXLG
Buy signalONEQ
Sell signalicf
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Buy signaliwm
Buy signalIJH
Buy signalgcc
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
CME CME Group, Inc. Wall Street $272.59 260s - 270s 312 224 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield, Earn. 2/4
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $109.61 108 - 115 143 95 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield, Earn. 2/4
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $132.79 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield
ABCB Ameris Bancorp Banks $81.41 70s 92 77 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread quintuple top, 1.1% yield, Earn. 1/29
LAZ Lazard Inc. Wall Street $53.75 hi 40s - low 50s 69 41 5 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, buy on pullback, good R-R, Earn. 1/29
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $301.86 hi 260s - low 280s 328 240 5 for 5'er, top half of LEIS sector matrix LT pos peer & mkt RS, quintuple top, Earn. 2/11
THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation Healthcare $201.32 190 - mid 200s 286 170 5 TA rating, top 50% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/11
FLS Flowserve Corporation Machinery and Tools $76.62 hi 60s - lo 70s 91 54 5 TA rating, top 10% of MACH sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback
BCO The Brink's Company Protection Safety Equipment $124.80 mid 110s - low 120s 152 104 5 for 5'er, top half of PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R>2.0
AAPL Apple Inc. Computers $258.21 260s - 270s 380 224 5 for 5'er, top 20% of COMP sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, buy on pullback, Earn. 1/29
RL Ralph Lauren Textiles/Apparel $369.15 352 - 380s 472 296 5 TA rating, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/5
CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. Real Estate $170.83 hi 150s - lo 170s 188 134 5 TA rating, top 10% of REAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 2/12
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc Wall Street $171.55 160s 186 142 5 for 5'er, top half of WALL sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, triple top, pos trend flip, Earn. 1/28
IMAX Imax Corporation Media $36.30 33 - hi 30s 53 26 5 TA rating, top 20% of Media sector matrix, LT pos trend, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
GIL Gildan Activewear Textiles/Apparel $63.81 62 - 66 86 52 5 for 5'er, top third of favored TEXT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, buy on pullback, R-R>2.0
FIX Comfort Systems U.S.A. Building $1091.04 960 - mid 1100s 1376 864 5 TA rating, top 10% of BUIL sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, consec buy signals
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Banks $88.96 mid 80s - low 90s 128 76 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0
JPM J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Banks $309.26 lo 300s - mid 320s 380 256 5 TA rating, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback
AER AerCap Holdings NV Aerospace Airline $143.63 mid 130 - mid 140 167 118 5/5'er since 4/25, LT pos. mkt and peer RS since '22, buy on pullback, earnings 2/6.

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Follow-Up Comments

Comment
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NDW Spotlight Stock

AER AerCap Holdings NV ($143.23) - Aerospace Airline - AER has been a 5 for 5'er since April 2025, having maintained a long-term market RS buy signal for more than three years and peer RS buy signal for north of four years. On its default trend chart, the stock has sustained a buy signal and positive trend since April 2025. More recent action saw the AER complete a fourth buy signal in December at $140 as shares rallied to an all-time chart high at $148 by early January. Action during Wednesday's (1/14) trading brought the trend chart back into Os toward the middle of the 10-week trading band and actionable territory at $142. Long exposure may be added in the mid-$130 to mid-$140 range. We will set our initial stop at $118, which would take out multiple levels of support on AER's default chart. We will use the bullish price objective of $167 as our target price.

25 26
148.00 1 148.00
146.00 X O 146.00
144.00 X O 144.00
142.00 X O 142.00
140.00 X 140.00
138.00 X X Mid 138.00
136.00 X O C 136.00
134.00 X O X 134.00
132.00 B O X 132.00
130.00 X O 130.00
128.00 X 128.00
126.00 A X Bot 126.00
124.00 X O X 124.00
122.00 X O X 122.00
120.00 X O 120.00
118.00 X X 118.00
116.00 6 O X 116.00
114.00 X O X 114.00
112.00 X 7 X 112.00
110.00 5 O X 110.00
108.00 X O X 108.00
106.00 X X 8 106.00
104.00 X O X X 104.00
102.00 X O X X O X 102.00
100.00 X X 3 X O X O X 100.00
99.00 X O X O X O X 4 X 99.00
98.00 X O X O O X O X X X 98.00
97.00 X C X X X O X O X O X O X 97.00
96.00 X O X O X O X O X O X X O X O X 96.00
95.00 X O X O X O X O X O X O X O O X 95.00
94.00 O X 1 2 O O X O X O 94.00
93.00 O X O X O X 93.00
92.00 O O X O X 92.00
91.00 O X O X 91.00
90.00 O X O X 90.00
89.00 O X O 89.00
88.00 O X 88.00
87.00 O X 87.00
86.00 O 86.00
25 26

 

CRK Comstock Resources ($21.07) - Oil - CRK fell to a sell signal Friday after unsuccessfully testing its bearish resistance line. The move adds to an already negative technical picture as CRK is a 2 for 5'er that ranks in the bottom half of the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $17.
LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. ($206.73) - Oil Service - LNG moved to a buy signal Friday when it broke a double top at $204. However, the technical outlook for the stock remains negative as LNG is a 2 for 5'er that ranks 73rd of 75 names in the oil service sector matrix. From here, the next level of overhead resistance is LNG's bearish resistance line at $232.
PWR Quanta Services, Inc. ($466.75) - Building - PWR broke to new highs today, confirming what appears to be extremely strong support around $416. Those interested in taking focused exposure should take today's upside break as an opportunity to do so. Going forward, the perfect 5/5'er will set its sights on the top of the trading band around $520.
VST Vistra Corp ($165.85) - Utilities/Electricity - VST reversed into Os and broke a double bottom at $166, ending a series of buy signals off recent lows at $150. While the stock maintains a 3 TA rating, the stock ranks in the bottom decile of the Electric Utilities sector matrix and the next level of support is the bullish support line at $156. From here, a move to $154 would flip the trend to negative and drop the stock to a 2 for 5'er. Price action below $150 would bring the stock to its lowest level since May 2025.

 

Daily Option Ideas for January 16, 2026

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Amazon.com Inc. - $238.49 O: 26D240.00D17 Buy the April 240.00 calls at 16.20 212.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Corning Incorporated ( GLW) Feb. 87.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 7.35 (CP: 9.35)
Estee Lauder Companies ( EL) Mar. 105.00 Calls Stopped at 14.20 (CP: 13.65)
Philip Morris International Inc. ( PM) Mar. 160.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 14.90 (CP: 16.90)
eBay Inc. ( EBAY) Mar. 85.00 Calls Stopped at 10.35 (CP: 9.90)
CME Group, Inc. ( CME) Mar. 270.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 12.60 (CP: 14.60)
Emerson Electric Co. ( EMR) Mar. 145.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 6.60 (CP: 8.60)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Constellation Brands, Inc. - $156.66 O: 26P155.00D17 Buy the April 155.00 puts at 8.10 172.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
GoDaddy Inc. ( GDDY) Feb. 130.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 21.80 (CP: 23.80)
Crocs, Inc. ( CROX) Mar. 87.50 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 7.10 (CP: 9.10)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
CAVA Group, Inc. $ 72.00 O: 26B70.00D20 Feb. 70.00 5.70 $ 33,472.85 36.38% 36.38% 6.85%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Lemonade Inc ( LMND) - 80.19 Sell the February 80.00 Calls.
On Semiconductor Corp. ( ON) - 60.28 Sell the March 60.00 Calls.
Orla Mining Ltd. ( ORLA) - 14.65 Sell the February 15.00 Calls.
Dexcom Inc. ( DXCM) - 69.24 Sell the February 70.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
Fortinet Inc. ( FTNT - 76.32 ) March 80.00 covered write.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ( HPE - 21.95 ) March 23.00 covered write.

 

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