Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Oct 17, 2025
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Utilities Show Improvement

The Utilities Sector shows strong improvement over the past few months, due to ongoing AI data center investments and the defensive nature of the sector.

Small Caps Looming Large?

Small caps have led broader U.S. Equity indices to begin Q4, continuing their strong Q3 performance.

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Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Utilities Show Improvement

by Anthony Garcia

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As artificial intelligence continues to evolve, areas like the Utilities Sector are poised to benefit from natural tailwinds. According to a study conducted by Deloitte, roughly 75% of major power utility firms report rising demand from data centers (source: Deloitte.com). As investments into AI data centers continue to increase, the reported number of major power utility firms seeing an uptick in data centers demand will only increase as well. This trend, coupled with the defensive nature of the Utilities sector, could provide an opportunity for investors who want both upside potential and low risk.

Although Utilities rank 7th in DALI, the group ranks third among sectors on the Asset Class Group Scores page. The group maintains an average score of 4.64, with a positive score direction of 1.11, demonstrating the strength of the sector. The Utilities sector representative XLU has shown strong improvements since the end of June, outperforming the broader market by nearly 6% (12.53% vs 6.84%).

A stock that is likely to benefit from AI tailwinds is Entergy Corporation (ETR). The stock is facing resistance at $98 and is setting up for a possible double top break at $99, which would mark its fifth consecutive buy signal and a new all-time high. The 5 for 5’er has been on a positive trend since late 2023 and ranks in the top quartile of the Utilities/Electricity sector matrix. Additionally, the stock offers a yield of 2.4%. Long exposure be made here. Initial support is at $95, with additional support at $87.

The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) gave its third consecutive buy signal, after completing a bullish catapult earlier this month at $88. XLU has a fund score of 4.35, with a score direction of 0.90. Additionally, the fund offers an impressive yield of 2.65%. The weekly OBOS indicates that the fund is in overbought territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before considering. Initial support is at $83, with additional strong support at $80.

 

Small Caps Looming Large?

by David Clark

Small caps have led broader U.S. Equity indices to begin Q4, continuing their strong Q3 performance. The Russell 2000 Index (RUT) has gained over 1% (thru 10/16) while most other U.S. indices are flat to slightly negative. After reversing into Os on its default trend chart during Friday’s trading (10/10) and testing support at $2400, RUT reversed back into Xs during Monday’s (10/13) trading before giving a fourth consecutive buy signal and rallying to a new all-time high at 2540 intraday Wednesday (10/15). While most other equity indices either maintain buy signals and/or reversed back into Xs after Friday’s trading, RUT has led the charge this week, clawing back and improving upon recent highs.

Similar to the large cap space, technology has led recent upside action within small cap sectors with the Invesco S&P SmallCap Information Technology ETF (PSCT) gaining over 5% in Q4 so far. On the default trend chart, PSCT reversed back into Xs Tuesday (10/14) before giving a sixth buy signal at $56 during Wednesday’s trading (10/15), marking a new all-time chart high. The recent run has increased the fund score of PSCT above 4.5, roughly in line with the average score for a fund within the broader technology group (4.7), including large cap funds. Additionally, Wednesday’s breakout puts PSCT at the top of the 10-week trading band and in overbought territory, so those considering exposure to the fund will look for a pullback to the lower $50s before adding. Initial support lies at $52, while additional can be found at $47.50 and $46.

Given PSCT’s improvement and current overbought positioning, users may be looking for alternative ways to initiate small cap exposure. While there are a few underlying holdings of PSCT that are extended further into overbought and are not action at current prices – Cleanspark (CLSK) and SanDisk (SNDK) are examples – there are plenty of actionable names within the underlying. Utilizing the Security Screener, users can cull out actionable ideas with ETFs like PSCT being the underlying universe. Of the 70 holdings in PSCT, 31 currently maintain a technical attribute rating of 3 or higher, trade on a buy signal, and are in a positive trend. Below are two potential ideas that are holdings within PSCT and trade within an actionable range on the Weekly OBOS.

TTM Technologies Inc. (TTMI) – Electronics – TTMI is currently a 5 for 5’er and has maintained at least a 3 since May 2024. The stock has been in a positive trend on its trend chart since May of this year and a buy signal since early September. From a relative perspective, TTMI ranks within the top quintile of the Electronics sector matrix and maintains a long-term RS buy signal against the market, as defined by the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (SPXEWI). TTMI kicked off Q4 by giving a third buy signal at $59 as shares rallied to a new chart high at $62. After reversing down into Os during last week’s trading, the stock reversed into Xs at $58 on Wednesday (10/15) before continuing back above $60 Thursday (10/16). TTMI is actionable in the $55 to lower $60 range. Initial support lies at $54, while additional can be found at $52 and $46.

Viasat (VSAT) – Telephone – VSAT is currently a 5 for 5’er and has maintained at least a 3 TA rating since May of this year. The stock has been in a positive trend on its trend chart since June of this year and returned to a buy signal earlier this month. From a relative perspective, VSAT ranks within the top decile of the Telephone sector matrix and maintains a long-term RS buy signal against the market, as defined by the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (SPXEWI). After reversing down into Os during Friday’s trading, the stock reversed into Xs during Monday’s trading (10/13) before giving a second buy signal at $37 during Wednesday’s (10/15) action. TTM is actionable in the upper to lower $30 range. Initial support lies at $32, while additional can be found at $27 and $25.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

36.98

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
         
Buy signalhyg
           
         
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalijr
Buy signalSPY
 
Buy signallqd
   
         
Buy signalIJH
Sell signaldx/y
Buy signalVOOG
 
Buy signalief
   
         
Buy signalgsg
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalefa
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signaltlt
   
         
Buy signalrsp
Buy signaldia
Buy signalXLG
Buy signaliwm
Buy signalagg
   
   
Sell signalUSO
   
Buy signalfxe
Sell signalicf
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalshy
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalgcc
Buy signalGLD
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
ACT Enact Holdings Inc Finance $35.03 mid-to-hi 30s 48 31 5 for 5'er, top half of favored FINA sector matrix, spread quad top, 2.2% yield, Earn. 11/5
BN Brookfield Corp. Wall Street $44.02 mid-to-hi 60s 62.50 41 Due to a stock split, we will adjust our stop to $41, which would take out multiple levels of support on BN's $0.50 chart. Earn. 11/13
BLFS BioLife Solutions, Inc. Healthcare $27.73 23 - 25 40 20 5 for 5'er, top third of HEAL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R~3.0, Earn. 11/10
ALHC Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Healthcare $16.99 16 - 18 25.50 14 5 for 5'er, top half of HEAL sector matrix, bullish catapult, R-R>3.0, Earn. 10/30
AYI Acuity Inc. Building $361.04 340s - 350s 456 296 4 for 5'er, top half of BUIL sector matrix, triple top, buy on pullback, R-R~2.0
INSW International Seaways Inc Oil Service $44.71 42-47 62 34 4 TA rating, top 33% of OILS sector matrix, consec buy signals, buy on pullback, Earn. 11/6
ATGE Adtalem Global Education Inc. Business Products $147.60 mid 130s - mid 140s 174 122 5 for 5'er, top 20% of BUSI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, Earn. 10/30
ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Transports/Non Air $44.38 42 - 45 54 36 4 for 5'er, top third of favored TRAN sector matrix, buy on pullback, Earn. 11/7
JOYY JOYY Inc. Internet $56.90 mid-to-hi 50s 88 48 5 for 5'er, top third of favored INET sector matrix, spread triple top, buy on pullback, R-R~4.0, 4.9% yield
SNOW Snowflake, Inc. Class A Software $240.06 low $230s to low $250s 358 212 4 for 5'er, pos. trend and mkt RS buy signal since May; pulling back from rally high; top quintile of software matrix.
ESTA Establishment Labs Holdings, Inc. Healthcare $46.59 mid 40s 61 36 4 for 5'er, top third of HEAL sector matrix, one box from market RS buy, good R-R, Earn. 11/6
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Wall Street $68.52 mid-to-hi 60s 79 59 5 for 5'er, #2 of 62 in favored WALL sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, buy on pullback

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
AMZN Amazon.com Inc. Retailing $214.47 200s - low 210s 240 178 Removed for earnings Earn. 10/30
PEGA Pegasystems Inc Software $54.59 low-to-mid 50s 79 47 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/21
FOXA Fox Corporation Class A Media $57.00 hi 50s - lo 60s 70 52 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/30
MTG MGIC Investment Corporation Insurance $26.56 mid-hi 20s 42 21.50 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/29
PWR Quanta Services, Inc. Building $437.52 hi 370s - 390s 476 340 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/30
ETD Ethan Allen Interiors Inc Household Goods $27.35 27 - 30 44 24 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/29
NI Nisource, Inc. Gas Utilities $43.22 39-mid 40s 78 35 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/29
COCO Vita Coco Company, Inc. Food Beverages/Soap $41.27 mid-to-hi 30s 59 31 Removed for earnings. Earn. 10/29
ORCL Oracle Corporation Software $313.00 300 to 320 384 268 ORCL has fallen to a sell signal. OK to hold here. Maintain $268 stop.

Follow-Up Comments

Comment
There are currently no follow-up comments.

NDW Spotlight Stock

IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. R ($66.91) - Wall Street - IBKR is a 5 for 5'er that ranks second out of 62 names in the favored Wall Street sector matrix and has been on peer and market RS buy signals since 2022. On its default chart, the stock gave a second consecutive buy signal late last month when it completed a bullish catapult at at $67. After reaching a new all-time high at $73, the stock has now pulled back to previous resistance near the middle of its trading band, offering an entry point for long exposure. Positions may be added in the mid $60s and we will set our initial stop at $59, which would take out two levels of support on IBKR's default chart. We will use the bullish price objective, $79, as our target price.

73.00 X 73.00
72.00 X O 72.00
71.00 A O 71.00
70.00 X O 70.00
69.00 X O 69.00
68.00 X X O 68.00
67.00 X O X 67.00
66.00 X X O X X 66.00
65.00 X X O X O X O X Mid 65.00
64.00 X O X O X O X X X O X 64.00
63.00 X O X 8 O X O X O X O 63.00
62.00 X O X O X O X O X 62.00
61.00 X O X O 9 O X 61.00
60.00 X O O 60.00
59.00 X X 59.00
58.00 X O X 58.00
57.00 X O X 57.00
56.00 X O 7 56.00
55.00 O X 55.00
54.00 O X Bot 54.00
53.00 O X X X 53.00
52.00 O X O X O X 52.00
51.00 O X O X O X 51.00
50.00 O X 6 O 50.00
49.00 3 X 49.00
48.00 O X 48.00
47.00 O X 47.00
46.00 O X 46.00
45.00 O X X 45.00
44.00 O X O X X 5 44.00
43.00 O X O 4 O X O X 43.00
42.00 O X O X O X O X 42.00
41.00 O X O X O X O X 41.00
40.00 O O O X O X 40.00
39.00 O X O 39.00
38.00 O X 38.00
37.00 O X 37.00
36.00 O X 36.00
35.00 O X 35.00
34.00 O X 34.00
33.00 O 33.00

 

CCJ Cameco Corporation ($86.47) - Metals Non Ferrous - CCJ fell to a sell signal Friday when it broke a double bottom at $85. The outlook for the stock remains positive as it is a 5 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the metals non ferrous sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $83.
IPI Intrepid Potash, Inc. ($27.71) - Chemicals - IPI fell to a sell signal Friday when it broke a triple bottom at $27. The move adds to an already weak technical picture as IPI is a 2 for 5'er that ranks in the bottom half of the chemicals sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $25.
LBRT Liberty Energy Inc. ($14.76) - Oil Service - LBRT was up more than 20% intraday on Friday and moved to a buy signal with a double top break at $14. LBRT now sits one box below its bearish resistance line; a move to $15.50 would return the stock to a positive trend and promote it to an acceptable 3 for 5'er.

 

Daily Option Ideas for October 17, 2025

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. - $66.45 O: 26A65.00D16 Buy the January 65.00 calls at 6.50 62.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Monster Beverage Corp. ( MNST) Dec. 62.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 6.80 (CP: 8.80)
Howmet Aerospace Inc. ( HWM) Jan. 190.00 Calls Stopped at 15.00 (CP: 14.10)
Apple Inc. ( AAPL) Dec. 245.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 13.40 (CP: 15.40)
Estee Lauder Companies ( EL) Dec. 90.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 11.70 (CP: 13.70)
Broadcom Ltd ( AVGO) Jan. 350.00 Calls Stopped at 35.70 (CP: 34.60)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
MetLife, Inc. - $78.51 O: 26M80.00D16 Buy the January 80.00 puts at 5.10 84.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
Akamai Technologies, Inc. ( AKAM) Jan. 75.00 Puts Initiate an option stop loss of 4.00 (CP: 6.00)
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. ( ANF) Dec. 90.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 19.00 (CP: 21.00)
Builders FirstSource, Inc. ( BLDR) Jan. 130.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 13.80 (CP: 15.80)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Carnival Corporation $ 28.21 O: 25L29.00D19 Dec. 29.00 1.71 $ 13,404.65 41.24% 30.49% 5.00%
Still Recommended
Name Action
MARA Holdings Inc. ( MARA) - 20.27 Sell the December 18.00 Calls.
SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI) - 26.60 Sell the November 27.00 Calls.
Arista Networks Inc ( ANET) - 146.01 Sell the December 145.00 Calls.
JFrog Ltd. ( FROG) - 46.68 Sell the December 50.00 Calls.
Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A ( PLTR) - 178.12 Sell the January 185.00 Calls.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. ( CLF) - 13.56 Sell the January 13.00 Calls.
Block Inc ( XYZ) - 74.54 Sell the December 80.00 Calls.
Lyft Inc Class A ( LYFT) - 19.87 Sell the January 22.00 Calls.
UiPath Inc Class A ( PATH) - 15.93 Sell the November 16.00 Calls.
Shopify Inc ( SHOP) - 156.57 Sell the January 165.00 Calls.
Marvell Technology Inc. ( MRVL) - 88.23 Sell the November 90.00 Calls.
Semtech Corporation ( SMTC) - 70.75 Sell the November 70.00 Calls.
Sunrun Inc ( RUN) - 20.14 Sell the January 21.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
No Additions to This Section

 

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