Were You Aware ...?
Published: January 10, 2017
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.
With the close on Monday, January 9th, the S&P 500 finished the first five days of January 2017 with a gain of 1.34%, making it the 21st best first five days since 1950.

We have all heard the old market adage, "As January Goes, So Goes the Year," but for those who haven't heard, there is another saying that goes something like, " As the First Five Days of January Goes, So Goes January, and So Goes the Year." Well, as of Monday's close, we finished the first five days of January 2017, so we thought we would take a look at how things fared in the equity market for these first five days, and how this barometer has worked historically. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, the last 41 up "First Five Days" periods were followed by full-year gains 35 times, for an 85.40% accuracy ratio and a 14.00% average gain in all 41 years. In 2016, the market as defined by the S&P 500 Index SPX, was down -5.96% after the first five days, making it the worst first five trading days of any year in history (for data going back to 1950). However, when all was said and done, the SPX finished up for the year with a gain of 9.54%. With the close on Monday, January 9th, 2017, the first week of the year proved to be a positive one as the SPX gained 1.34%, making it the 21st best year going back to 1950 when ranked by first 5 day performance. Ultimately, only time will tell what the markets have in store for the remaining 51 weeks of 2017. As always, we will continue to monitor our indicators and key charts to keep you abreast of any material developments from here.

 

 

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DISCLOSURE

This report is for Internal Use Only and not for distribution to the public. While we make every effort to be free of errors in this report, it contains data obtained from other sources. We believe these sources to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy. Investors who use options should read the Options Disclosure Document before making any particular investment decision. Officers or employees of this firm may now or in the future have a position in the stocks mentioned in this report. Dorsey, Wright is a Registered Investment Advisor with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. Copies of Form ADV Part II are available upon request.
Equity prices provided by Thomson-Reuters. Cross Rate prices provided by Tenfore Systems. Option prices provided by OPRA
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