iShares (Thurs.)
Published: Oct 29, 2020
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There are no changes to any of the iShares models this week. As discussed in Tuesday’s report, We have recently seen strength in emerging markets as the iShares Emerging Markets ETF EEM has outperformed the S&P 500 SPX over the last month and the average score of the emerging markets group has moved above 4.0. From a geographical perspective, Asian pacific countries have been one of the major drivers of the recent strength of emerging markets.

In trading earlier this month, the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF EWY gave a fifth consecutive buy signal when it broke a triple top at $68, marking a new 52-week high for the fund and a recent flip to positive weekly momentum is a positive sign of its potential for additional upside. EWY has a near-perfect 5.79 fund score, 2.46 points better than the average for all non-US equity funds, and a positive 3.66 fund score direction. Year-to-date (through 10/28) EWY has gained 6.18% on a price return basis. The fund also carries a 1.98% yield.

Despite sitting at a 52-week high, EWY remains well within actionable territory with a weekly overbought/oversold reading of 10%, so those interested in adding exposure may do so here. EWY has most recently found support at $63, with additional support found at $62.

This section of the report categorizes select iShares Fixed Income and Currency ETPs by their respective fund groups. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Inflation Protection Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 4.4 TIP iShares Barclays US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities 4.36
STIP iShares Barclays 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF 3.95
High Yield Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.9 HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 2.42
Corporate Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.8 FLOT iShares Floating Rate Note ETF 3.87
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF 2.93
Global Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.7 IGOV iShares S&P Citigroup International Treasury Bond ETF 5.09
ISHG iShares S&P Citigroup 1-3 Year Intl. Treas. Bond ETF 4.24
EMB iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 3.43
IPFF iShares S&P International Preferred Stock ETF 2.40
Agency Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.6 AGZ iShares Barclays Agency Bond ETF 2.93
Treasury Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.6 GVI iShares Barclays Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF 4.00
TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF 3.75
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF 3.70
GBF iShares Barclays Government Credit Bond ETF 3.05
IEI iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF 3.04
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Tres. Bond ETF 2.88
SHV iShares Barclays Short Treasury Bond ETF 2.82
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 2.57
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.6 IGIB iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF 4.21
AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF 3.70
MBB iShares Barclays MBS Fixed-Rate Bond ETF 3.66
USIG iShares Broad USD Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF 2.69
IGLB iShares 10+ Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF 2.56
Municipal Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.6 SUB iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF 3.68
NYF iShares New York Muni Bond ETF 3.36
MUB iShares National Municipal Bond ETF 2.64
CMF iShares California Municipal Bond ETF 1.48
 

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time with an "average level" to give us a general picture of whether the iShare ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong market ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. 

Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell. The Distribution Curve below displays those ETFs with positive RS in uppercase letters and those ETFs with poor RS versus the market in lowercase letters. As well, those ETFs that are on a Point & Figure Buy signal appear in Green letters, while those on Sell signals can appear in Red letters. Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

 

Average Level

-47.27

                       
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                   
                 
                 
             
             
           
           
         
         
         
         
       
       
       
<--100 -100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->

 

This section of the report categorizes select iShares ETFs by their respective broad group. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

Large Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.8 IWY iShares Russell Top 200 Growth ETF 5.62
IVW iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF 5.56
OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF 5.40
IYY iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF 4.44
IWL iShares Russell Top 200 ETF 4.38
IWB iShares Russell 1000 ETF 4.31
IVV iShares S&P 500 Index 4.12
IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF 2.54
IVE iShares S&P 500 Value ETF 2.32
IWX iShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF 2.19
Small Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.8 IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF 5.43
IJT iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Growth ETF 4.61
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF 3.10
IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF 2.80
IJR iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund 2.80
IJS iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETF 2.75
Global Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.5 EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF 4.93
BKF iShares MSCI BRIC ETF 4.91
JPXN iShares JPX-Nikkei 400 ETF 3.35
EPP iShares MSCI Pacific ex-Japan Index Fund 2.64
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF 2.23
IEV iShares Europe ETF 1.92
ILF iShares S&P Latin America 40 ETF 0.50
Mid Cap Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.4 IWP iShares Russell Midcap Growth ETF 5.62
IJK iShares S&P MidCap 400 Growth ETF 5.15
IWR iShares Russell Midcap ETF 4.36
IJH iShares S&P MidCap 400 Index Fund 3.06
IWS iShares Russell Midcap Value ETF 2.87
IJJ iShares S&P MidCap 400 Value ETF 2.72
Sector Funds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 3.2 IGV iShares North American Tech-Software ETF 5.70
IYK iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF 5.67
ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF 5.57
IHI iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF 5.53
SOXX iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF 5.48
IYW iShares U.S. Tech. ETF 5.33
IYC iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF 5.17
IHF iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF 4.42
IBB iShares NASDAQ Biotech ETF 4.16
IYJ iShares U.S. Industrial ETF 4.10
IYM iShares U.S. Basic Materials ETF 4.01
IYH iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF 3.95
IYT iShares U.S. Transportation ETF 3.94
IAI iShares U.S. Broker Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF 3.73
IAI iShares U.S. Broker Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF 3.73
IYF iShares U.S. Financial ETF 3.27
IHE iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF 3.26
IDU iShares U.S. Utilities ETF 2.99
IAT iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF 2.54
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF 2.24
IYZ iShares U.S. Telecom ETF 1.69
IGN iShares North American Tech-Multimedia Networking ETF 1.25
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF 1.22
IAK iShares U.S. Insurance ETF 1.07
IGE iShares North American Natural Resources ETF 0.33
IEZ iShares U.S. Oil Equip. & Svcs. ETF 0.16
IEO iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF 0.11
IYE iShares U.S. Energy ETF 0.10
 

Weekly Updates: No changes. 

iShares Sector Rotation Model ISHRSECT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF IGM 12.500% 0.4200 03/04/2009
iShares North American Tech-Software ETF IGV 12.500% 0.3990 11/07/2007
iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF IYC 12.500% 0.7780 04/28/2010
iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF IYH 12.500% 1.2390 04/22/2020
iShares U.S. Industrial ETF IYJ 12.500% 1.2270 02/09/2011
iShares U.S. Transportation ETF IYT 12.500% 1.1700 09/16/2020
iShares U.S. Tech. ETF IYW 12.500% 0.6630 03/04/2009
iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF SOXX 12.500% 1.0560 06/18/2014
 

iShares Tactical Model ISHRTACTICAL

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares North American Tech-Software ETF IGV 12.500% 0.3990 01/27/2016
iShares S&P 500 Index IVV 12.500% 1.7990 09/16/2020
iShares U.S. Consumer Services ETF IYC 12.500% 0.7780 04/29/2010
iShares U.S. Industrial ETF IYJ 12.500% 1.2270 10/07/2020
iShares U.S. Transportation ETF IYT 12.500% 1.1700 09/09/2020
iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF IHI 12.500% 0.2800 01/20/2016
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF ITB 12.500% 0.4440 05/20/2020
iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF SOXX 12.500% 1.0560 08/28/2019

iShares International Model ISHRINTL

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF EWL 20.000% 1.5940 03/11/2020
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF EWN 20.000% 0.9650 03/04/2020
iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF EWT 20.000% 2.2480 12/04/2019
iShares MSCI New Zealand ETF ENZL 20.000% 2.6717 05/22/2019
iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF IYY 20.000% 1.5540 08/29/2018

iShares Fixed Income Model ISHRFIXED

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares 10+ Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF IGLB 20.000% 3.4380 07/22/2020
iShares International High Yield Bond ETF HYXU 20.000% 1.1820 07/29/2020
IShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF EMHY 20.000% 5.8990 05/27/2020
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF LQD 20.000% 2.8650 07/01/2020
iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF PFF 20.000% 5.4369 04/15/2020

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