iShares Alternative (Thurs.)
Published: May 10, 2018
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

As discussed in today's Daily Equity Report update, so far this year, Commodities has been by far the most improved asset class in terms of buy signal tally in our Dynamic Asset Level Investig (DALI) tool. Year-to-date, Commodities has gained +48 new signals, and in effect, has seen its tally signal count rise from 131 to 179. One of the major factors driving the improvement in Commodities has been crude oil. The improvement in oil has also resulted in improvement in the broad Energy sector of domestic equities. Thus far this year, Energy is the most improved sector, adding 68 buy signals to its tally in the DALI sector rankings.

If the upward trend in oil prices continues, one fund that is positioned to benefit is the iShares MSCI Global Energy Producers FILL. FILL has a nearly perfect 5.84 fund score and a strongly positive score direction of 3.30. FILL gave a second consecutive buy signal when it broke a double top at $23.50 in trading on 5/9. Meanwhile, its bullish price objective of $32.75 and recent flip to positive monthly momentum each suggest that FILL has the potential for additional upside. The fund also offers a 2.85% yield. FILL currently sits in overbought territory with a weekly distribution reading of 102%, so those interested in adding exposure can consider waiting for a pullback. The fund most recently found support at $19.50.

There are no changes to any of the iShares models this week. We wanted to take this opportunity to alert you to some upcoming changes to the iShares models lineup and the weekly iShares reports.  First, the iShares Alternative Report and iShares Equity Report will be consolidated into a single, all-encompassing iShares report, the “iShares ETF Report”. Additionally, the models will be streamlined and reduced to four models that can be seen as the essential portfolio building blocks. The inventories of the remaining models are currently going through an evaluation to determine if there are ways to expand coverage within the model’s asset class. The models that will remain are:

The models that will no longer be available are:

This section of the report categorizes select iShares Fixed Income and Currency ETPs by their respective fund groups. Along with each group, you can view the Average Group Score, which is an average of the scores of all funds represented in that particular group. Those iShares ETFs that meet or exceed the Average Group Score will be highlighted in green in order to easily view those ETFs that have superior strength within their respective group. You want to focus on those ETFs that exhibit superior strength when looking to add new exposure to a particular group.

High Yield Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.5 HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF 1.82
Global Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.4 IGOV iShares S&P/Citigroup International Treasury Bond ETF 2.78
ISHG iShares S&P/Citigroup 1-3 Year Intl. Treas. Bond ETF 2.69
IPFF iShares S&P International Preferred Stock ETF 2.36
EMB iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 1.20
Municipal Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.3 CMF iShares California Municipal Bond ETF 1.29
NYF iShares New York Muni Bond ETF 1.18
SUB iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF 0.32
MUB iShares National Municipal Bond ETF 0.29
Broad Fixed Income Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.3 MBB iShares Barclays MBS Fixed-Rate Bond ETF 1.46
AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF 1.21
CIU iShares Barclays Intermediate Credit Bond ETF 1.17
CRED iShares US Credit Bond ETF 0.12
CLY iShares 10+ Year Credit Bond ETF 0.11
Inflation Protection Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.2 STIP iShares Barclays 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF 2.14
TIP iShares Barclays US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities 1.74
Corporate Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.2 FLOT iShares Floating Rate Note ETF 3.25
PFF iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Stock ETF 2.04
CSJ iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Credit Bond ETF 1.83
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF 0.24
Agency Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.0 AGZ iShares Barclays Agency Bond ETF 0.28
Treasury Bonds Symbol Name Score
Average Group Score: 2.0 SHV iShares Barclays Short Treasury Bond ETF 2.35
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF 1.93
IEI iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF 0.98
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF 0.46
TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF 0.21
GVI iShares Barclays Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF 0.17
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Tres. Bond ETF 0.17
GBF iShares Barclays Government/Credit Bond ETF 0.13
 

The DWA Matrix uses a Point & Figure relative strength comparison of each index to one another to identify the strongest and the weakest among the universe used. The ETFs with the most relative strength buy signals (suggesting outperformance) versus the others in the group are listed at the top. These ETFs should be overweighted in the portfolio. Those ETFs with the least amount of relative strength buy signals versus the others in the group are listed at the bottom. These ETFs should be underweighted in the portfolio.

iShare Alternative Matrix Summary

Ticker Name Buys Xs Tech
Attribute/
Score
WOOD iShares S&P Global Timber & Forestry ETF 10 10 4.85
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend ETF 8 6 2.82
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust 7 9 3.82
WPS iShares S&P World ex-US Property ETF 7 5 3.10
IDV iShares Dow Jones International Select Dividend ETF 6 6 2.55
IAU iShares COMEX Gold Trust 5 8 3.43
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF 4 0 0.97
SLV iShares Silver Trust 3 3 0.83
TIP iShares Barclays US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities 3 2 1.74
PFF iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Stock ETF 2 2 2.04
SHV iShares Barclays Short Treasury Bond ETF 0 4 2.35

 

 

Weekly Updates:

iShares Fixed Income Model ISHRFIXED

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF HYG 20.000% 5.1170 11/16/2016
iShares Global High Yield Corp Bond ETF GHYG 20.000% 4.8980 12/28/2016
iShares International High Yield Bond ETF HYXU 20.000% 1.0860 07/26/2017
IShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF EMHY 20.000% 5.2490 11/09/2016
iShares JP Morgan EM Corporate Bond ETF CEMB 20.000% 4.2150 11/23/2016

iShares Income Model ISHRINCOME

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend ETF DVY 16.667% 3.1590 02/18/2015
iShares Russell Midcap Value ETF IWS 16.667% 1.9980 02/18/2015
iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF IYK 16.667% 1.9590 02/18/2015
iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol USA ETF USMV 16.667% 1.8350 02/18/2015
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF DGRO 16.667% 2.1560 01/13/2016
iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol Japan ETF JPMV 16.667% 1.4050 11/16/2016

iShares Alternative Model ISHRALT

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend ETF DVY 33.333% 3.1590 05/25/2011
iShares S&P World ex-US Property ETF WPS 33.333% 4.2550 01/03/2018
iShares S&P Global Timber & Forestry ETF WOOD 33.333% 1.0440 11/23/2016

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