Daily Summary
Q3 Best and Worst Performing ETFs
As we do each quarter, we will take today’s report to look across different asset classes and focus on the best and worst performing funds for the third quarter.
Morning Pulse
NDW Morning Pulse - October 7, 2026
- US futures are lower this morning after the S&P 500 recorded its fourth consecutive up day yesterday and reached a record high.
- The S&P 500 led the major US benchmarks higher yesterday, gaining 0.58%. Gold and silver were also higher as US Treasury yields and the dollar were both down.
- Crude oil ([CL/]) broke a spread quadruple bottom at $88 and fell back into a negative trend. Crude is up slightly this morning trading a bit below $90.
- While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have hit fresh all-time highs this week, most of our participation indicators continue to show narrow breadth.
- The ICE BofA High Yield Spread Index ([HIGHYIELDSPREAD]) reversed up last week, reflecting widening high yield credit spreads, a potential sign of a risk-off posture towards credit emerging in the fixed market.
- Yesterday’s research focused on the quarterly changes to the International Technical Leaders indices. Canada and Japan are the two largest country exposures in the developed international index with finance being the largest sector exposure. Meanwhile, Taiwan is by far the largest country exposure in the emerging markets index at roughly 60% with electronic technology being the largest sector exposure.
- It’s a pretty light week in terms of earnings and economic data but minutes of the last Fed meeting are due out this afternoon and could impact expectations for additional rate hikes. The market is currently pricing in a better than 80% chance of at least one more rate hike by the end of the year.
Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 10/7. Access the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page.
- US futures are lower this morning after the S&P 500 recorded its fourth consecutive up day yesterday and reached a record high.
- The S&P 500 led the major US benchmarks higher yesterday, gaining 0.58%. Gold and silver were also higher as US Treasury yields and the dollar were both down.
- Crude oil (CL/) broke a spread quadruple bottom at $88 and fell back into a negative trend. Crude is up slightly this morning trading a bit below $90.
- While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have hit fresh all-time highs this week, most of our participation indicators continue to show narrow breadth.
- The ICE BofA High Yield Spread Index (HIGHYIELDSPREAD) reversed up last week, reflecting widening high yield credit spreads, a potential sign of a risk-off posture towards credit emerging in the fixed market.
- Yesterday’s research focused on the quarterly changes to the International Technical Leaders indices. Canada and Japan are the two largest country exposures in the developed international index with finance being the largest sector exposure. Meanwhile, Taiwan is by far the largest country exposure in the emerging markets index at roughly 60% with electronic technology being the largest sector exposure.
- It’s a pretty light week in terms of earnings and economic data but minutes of the last Fed meeting are due out this afternoon and could impact expectations for additional rate hikes. The market is currently pricing in a better than 80% chance of at least one more rate hike by the end of the year.
As we do each quarter, we will take today’s report to look across different asset classes and focus on the best- and worst-performing funds for the third quarter and year to date. Note, during our screen, we filtered out leveraged and inverse funds while implementing minimum volume and AUM requirements to focus solely on those funds most likely to come across your desk. We also did our best to avoid similar kinds of funds, when possible, but there will likely be similar themes during our analysis. Note, “similar” can take on a wide range of definitions. For example, different weighting methodologies can produce vastly different returns, so we won’t exclude an equally weighted tech fund if a cap weight option is already on the list.
We will start broadly by peering across all the different asset groups at once. Despite some rotation underneath the hood of the sector, it might come as a surprise that the top ten have several different-technology-focused names across our best performing funds. Outside of “extended” technology, leading performers also came from energy as unrest in the Middle East pushed energy names back and forth. Biotechnology was also a leader, with standout performances pushing healthcare options towards the top of NDW’s rankings. Side note, it is also interesting to see focused magnificent seven fund MAGS in the top ten as market has narrowed. In the bottom ten, there were several other tech options which struggled (semiconductors included) in Q3. China makes up the only pure international representative of the group, as well as homebuilders, clean energy, and a handful of other industrial metals focused names.
For the year, leaders include more technology options as the sector maintains a strong long-term posture. Asia (sans China) has a handful of top performers as well, rounding out or all funds yearly performance table with representation across the global investment landscape. Towards the downside, China remains a point of weakness, followed by the likes of metals, long-duration treasures, home builders, consumer discretionary names, among a few others. One takeaway from this table is that some technology struggled in Q3, but remains quite strong so far in 2026. Keep this in mind as you discuss positions/performance with clients in end of year discussions.
We can also focus more specifically on individual sectors to identify possible points of strength/weakness on a more granular level. Some high-level touchpoints: performance leaders in Q3 (energy, some tech, etc.) fell largely in line with major themes for the entire year. Towards the downside, quarterly laggards included a handful of industrial options as the sector lost strength quickly (homebuilders, aerospace and defense, etc.), as well as clean energy, metals, and semiconductor areas. Besides the semiconductor struggles, Q3’s laggards followed similar themes to losers for the majority of 2026. Remember, consistent winners and losers can lead to productive momentum environments.
As it is at the top of the NDW DALI broad asset level rankings, we can also hone in specifically on the international asset class to help identify what parts of the globe are winning and losing. After all, the international asset class has gained some favor (and popularity) over the course of the last few years… and you need to have a list of possible names if clients come asking about their possible exposure. For Q3, the top ten points of strength included options largely from Europe, with the remainder coming from general tech/Chinese healthcare. This strength from China in Q3 was rather isolated, seeing other representatives litter the bottom 10 of both quarterly and yearly performance. For the year, other Asia-Pacific areas (South Korea, Taiwan) lead the way to the upside, while previously mentioned China and India are laggards so far in 2026.
Each week the analysts at NDW review and comment on all major asset classes in the global markets. Shown below is the summary or snapshot of the primary technical indicators we follow for multiple areas. Should there be changes mid-week we will certainly bring these to your attention via the report.
| Universe | BP Col & Level (actual) | BP Rev Level | PT Col & Level (actual) | PT Rev Level | HiLo Col & Level (actual) | HiLo Rev Level | 10 Week Col & Level (actual) | 10 Week Rev Level | 30 Week Col & Level (actual) | 30 Week Rev Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALL |
|
40% |
|
42% |
|
24% |
|
32% |
|
42% |
| NYSE |
|
42% |
|
50% |
|
16% |
|
28% |
|
42% |
| OTC |
|
40% |
|
32% |
|
28% |
|
34% |
|
42% |
| World |
|
42% |
|
44% |
|
|
|
40% |
|
44% |
Remember, these are technical comments only. Just as you must be aware of fundamental data for the stocks we recommend based on technical criteria in the report, so too must you be aware of important data regarding delivery, market moving government releases, and other factors that may influence commodity pricing. We try to limit our technical comments to the most actively traded contracts in advance of delivery, but some contracts trade actively right up to delivery while others taper off well in advance. Be sure you check your dates before trading these contracts. For questions regarding this section or additional coverage of commodities email james.west@nasdaq.com.
Data represented in the table below is through 10/6/26:
Portfolio View - Commodity Indices
| Symbol | Name | Price | PnF Trend | RS Signal | RS Col. | 200 Day MA | Weekly Mom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL/ | Crude Oil Continuous | 89.44 | Negative | Sell | X | 82.52 | - 1W |
| DWACOMMOD | NDW Continuous Commodity Index | 1260.53 | Positive | Buy | X | 1169.87 | - 4W |
| GC/ | Gold Continuous | 4159.20 | Negative | Buy | O | 4530.13 | - 4W |
| HG/ | Copper Continuous | 6.59 | Negative | Sell | X | 6.13 | - 5W |
| ZG/ | Corn (Electronic Day Session) Continuous | 508.00 | Positive | Sell | X | 455.87 | - 2W |
Cryptocurrency Update

Average Level
-26.02
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
| AGG | iShares US Core Bond ETF |
| USO | United States Oil Fund |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
| DVY | iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF |
| DX/Y | NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
| FXE | Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust |
| GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust |
| HYG | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF |
| ICF | iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF |
| IEF | iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF |
| LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF |
| IJH | iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund |
| ONEQ | Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust |
| RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF |
| SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF |
| IJR | iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust |
| TLT | iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF |
| GCC | WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund |
| VOOG | Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF |
| VOOV | Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
| XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF |
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AME | Ametek Inc | Electronics | $253.72 | mid 230s - mid 250s | 342 | 204 | 4 for 5'er, LT pos mkt RS, bullish catapult, buy on pullback, R-R>2.0, Earn. 10/29 |
| CENTA | Central Garden & Pet Company | Household Goods | $34.59 | mid-to-hi 30s | 48 | 31 | 4 for 5'er, favored HOUS sector, LT pos peer RS, spread quad top, buy on pullback |
| CLH | Clean Harbors Inc | Waste Management | $318.06 | 310s - 320s | 356 | 288 | 5 for 5'er, #3 of 22 in WAST sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS |
| ASC | Ardmore Shipping Corporation | Transports/Non Air | $18.82 | 17 - 19 | 24 | 15.50 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of favored TRAN sector matrix, triple top, good R-R, 7.5% yield |
| MTCH | Match Group, Inc. | Leisure | $40.62 | low-to-mid 40s | 55 | 36 | 4 for 5'er, top 20% of LEIS sector matrix, one box from RS buy, triple top, 1.8% yield, Earn. 11/3 |
| FTNT | Fortinet Inc. | Software | $191.27 | hi 160s - hi 170s | 226 | 142 | 5 for 5'er, top third of favored SOFT sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, spread quad top, Earn. 10/28 |
| CSTL | Castle Biosciences, Inc. | Biomedics/Genetics | $33.40 | 32 - 35 | 63.50 | 28 | 4 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BIOM sector matrix, multiple buy signals, pos trend flip, R-R~4.0, Earn. 11/2 |
| ANET | Arista Networks Inc | Telephone | $215.36 | 190s - mid 210s | 262 | 178 | 5 for 5'er, top quintile of Telephone matrix, pos. trend, matched ATH on 9/25. |
| ABBV | AbbVie Inc. | Drugs | $266.69 | 250s - 260s | 302 | 216 | 5 for 5'er, top third of favored DRUG sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, 2.6% yield, Earn. 10/30 |
| ACT | Enact Holdings Inc | Finance | $46.34 | low-to-mid 40s | 69 | 37 | 5 for 5'er, top 25% of FINA sector matrix, LT pos trend & mkt RS, triple top, heavily oversold |
| LPG | Dorian LPG Limited | Oil Service | $56.45 | 53 - 59 | 69 | 47 | 5 for 5'er since July, top quintile of Oil Svcs. matrix, pos. trend, consolidating below high at $59. |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers, Ltd. | Transports/Non Air | $101.24 | hi 90s - low 100s | 133 | 83 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of TRAN sector matrix, multiple buy signals, 1% yield. |
| ELF | Elf Beauty Inc | Household Goods | $102.79 | 98 - 110 | 123 | 90 | 5 for 5'er since Aug., ranked 1st in Hous. Goods matrix, pos. trend, Earn. 11/4 |
| NVT | nVent Electric plc | Electronics | $173.80 | 160s | 206 | 142 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of ELEC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, Earn. 10/30 |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE | Adobe Systems Incorporated | Software | $238.12 | (230s - 240s) | 192 | 268 | 2 for 5'er, bottom 25% of SOFT sector matrix, LT neg mkt & peer RS, spread triple bottom |
Removed Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GH | Guardant Health, Inc. | Biomedics/Genetics | $170.69 | low 170s to mid 180s | 236 | 140 | GH has fallen to a sell signal. OK to hold here. Raise stop to $152. Earn. 10/28 |
Follow-Up Comments
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NDW Spotlight Stock
NVT nVent Electric plc R ($166.53) - Electronics - NVT is a 5 for 5'er that ranks in the top decile of the electronics sector matrix and has been on market and peer RS buy signals since 2021 and 2023, respectively. On its default chart, NVT has completed three consecutive buy signals most recently breaking a double top last week. The stock has subsequently pulled back to prior resistance near the middle of its trading band, offering an entry point for long exposure. Positions may be added in the $160s and we will set our initial stop at $142, a potential spread triple bottom break on NVT's chart. We will use the bullish price objective, $206, as our target price. NVT is expected to report earnings on 10/30.
| 176.00 | X | • | 176.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 174.00 | X | X | O | • | X | 174.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 172.00 | X | O | X | O | • | X | 172.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 170.00 | X | O | X | O | • | X | 170.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 168.00 | • | X | X | O | O | • | X | 168.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 166.00 | • | X | X | O | X | O | • | X | A | 166.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 164.00 | X | • | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | • | X | X | O | X | 164.00 | |||||||||||||
| 162.00 | X | O | X | • | X | O | X | O | O | X | X | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | 162.00 | ||||||||||
| 160.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | 8 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | Mid | 160.00 | ||||||||
| 158.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | 158.00 | ||||||||||
| 156.00 | O | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | O | X | 156.00 | ||||||||||||
| 154.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 154.00 | ||||||||||||||
| 152.00 | • | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | O | X | O | X | • | 152.00 | ||||||||||||
| 150.00 | • | O | X | O | X | O | O | • | O | X | O | X | • | 150.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 148.00 | O | X | O | X | • | 9 | X | O | X | • | 148.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 146.00 | O | O | X | • | O | X | O | X | • | 146.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 144.00 | O | X | • | O | O | • | 144.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 142.00 | O | X | • | • | 142.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 140.00 | O | X | • | 140.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 138.00 | O | X | • | 138.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 136.00 | O | X | • | 136.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 134.00 | O | X | • | 134.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 132.00 | O | • | 132.00 |
| CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. ($127.43) - Real Estate - CBRE moved lower Wednesday to break a double bottom at $126, marking a fourth consecutive sell signal. This 2 for 5'er moved to a negative trend earlier this month and sits in the bottom half of the real estate sector RS matrix. The weight of the evidence is weak and deteriorating. Avoid long exposure. Note that further support can be seen at $124 from June. Overhead resistance may be seen at $134. Earnings are expected on 10/22. |
| MOS Mosaic Company ($20.06) - Chemicals - MOS fell to a sell signal and a negative trend Wednesday when it broke a double bottom at $20, where it now sits against support. The negative trend change will drop MOS to a 1 for 5'er. Beyond the current support at $20, MOS shows no additional support on its chart until $16.50, a level it last saw in 2020. |
The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.
Call
AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) Jan 15 $270 Call

| Addiitional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 2.33% |
| Delta | 57.49 |
| Gamma | 1.03 |
| Implied Volatility | 27.91% |
| Expiry Date | 100 |
| Earnings Date | 10/30/2026 |
Put
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) Jan 15 $210 Put

| Additional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 4.81% |
| Delta | -47.36 |
| Gamma | 0.80 |
| Implied Volatility | 47.12% |
| Expiry Date | 100 |
| Earnings Date | 11/09/2026 |
Income
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Nov 6 $63 Covered Call

| Additional Data: | |
| Ann. Static Return | 15.09% |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 13.43% |
| Delta | 76.95 |
| Gamma | -5.44 |
| Implied Volatility | 33.44% |
| Expiry Date | 30 |
| Earnings Date | 11/09/2026 |