Today's featured stock is AerCap Holdings (AER).
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Banks | $119.27 | 100s | 165 | 90 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>3.0, 2.9% yield, Earn. 8/27 |
| HEI | Heico Corporation | Aerospace Airline | $360.44 | 330s - 350s | 480 | 284 | 4 for 5'er, top third of AERO sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, bullish triangle, buy on pullback, good R-R, Earn. 8/25 |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree, Inc. | Retailing | $129.35 | hi 110s - 120s | 186 | 104 | 4 for 5'er, top half RETA sector matrix, spread quad top, buy on pullback R-R>2.5 |
| VSXY | Victoria's Secret & Company | Retailing | $89.11 | 81 - 87 | 109 | 71 | 5 for 5'er, 3rd in Retailing matrix, pos. trend, 2nd buy on 7/20, ATH on 7/21, Earn. 8/26 |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | Banks | $70.82 | mid-to-hi 60s | 87 | 55 | 4 for 5'er, top half of favored BANK sector matrix, new RS buy signal, buy on pullback, R-R~2.0, 2.5% yield |
| FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Real Estate | $65.52 | mid-to-hi 60s | 86 | 59 | 4 for 5'er, top 25% of REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread sextuple top, R-R>2.0, 2.9% yield |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | Insurance | $348.23 | mid 340s - mid 360s | 456 | 308 | 4 for 5'er, pos. trend since 2023, LT Mkt RS buy since May '24, Reward to Risk > 4. |
| BFH | Bread Financial Holdings Inc. | Business Products | $110.80 | 100 - 110 | 129 | 89 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of favored BUSI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | Banks | $56.90 | mid to upper 50s | 84 | 46 | 4 for 5'er since March '24, pos. LT Peer RS since March '09, LT pos. trend since Dec. '23. |
| HIG | Hartford Insurance Group Inc/The | Insurance | $142.90 | hi 130s - 140s | 164 | 126 | 5 for 5'er, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish catapult, good R-R, 1.65% yield |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares Inc | Banks | $173.51 | mid 160s - mid 170s | 196 | 148 | 5 for 5'er, top third of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, shakeout to triple top |
| AER | AerCap Holdings NV | Aerospace Airline | $153.65 | hi 140s - mid 150s | 184 | 130 | 5 for 5'er, Rev. in Xs on Peer RS 7/29, LT pos. Peer and Mkt RS, Pos. trend since Apr. '25. |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
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Removed Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PM | Philip Morris International Inc. | Food Beverages/Soap | $187.41 | hi 180s - lo 200s | 232 | 160 | Sell signal at 188 on 8/3, testing bullish support line. Raise stop to 172. |
Follow-Up Comments
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NDW Spotlight Stock
AER AerCap Holdings NV R ($154.62) - Aerospace Airline - AER has been at least a 3 for 5’er since October 2022. The stock improved to a 5 for 5’er on 7/29 after seeing the peer relative strength chart reversing back into a column of Xs, highlighting near-term positive RS. AER has maintained long-term positive RS against its peers since September 2021 and the market since October 2022. The stock has maintained a positive trend since April 2025 and a buy signal since the middle of June this year. Last week’s action led to a third buy signal with a spread triple top break and new all-time chart high at $156 before reversing back down to Os to $150. Okay to consider the stock in the upper $140 to mid-$150 range. The bullish price objective of $184 will serve as the price target, while the initial stop loss will be set for $130.
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| 156.00 | X | 156.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 154.00 | X | X | X | O | 154.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 152.00 | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | 152.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 150.00 | X | O | X | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | 150.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 148.00 | 1 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 148.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 146.00 | X | O | X | 3 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | 146.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 144.00 | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | 5 | O | X | 7 | X | Mid | 144.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 142.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | 142.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 140.00 | X | 2 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 140.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 138.00 | X | X | O | O | X | O | X | 4 | O | X | O | X | O | X | 138.00 | ||||||||||||||
| 136.00 | X | O | C | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | O | 6 | X | 136.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 134.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | 134.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| 132.00 | B | O | X | O | O | O | • | 132.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 130.00 | X | O | • | 130.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 128.00 | X | • | 128.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 126.00 | A | X | • | Bot | 126.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124.00 | X | O | X | • | 124.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 122.00 | X | O | X | • | 122.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 120.00 | X | O | • | 120.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 118.00 | X | X | • | 118.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 116.00 | 6 | O | X | • | 116.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114.00 | X | O | X | • | 114.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112.00 | X | 7 | X | • | 112.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 110.00 | 5 | O | X | • | 110.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 108.00 | X | O | X | • | 108.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 106.00 | X | 8 | • | 106.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 104.00 | X | • | 104.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.00 | X | • | 102.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100.00 | X | • | 100.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 99.00 | X | • | 99.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98.00 | X | • | 98.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97.00 | X | • | 97.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96.00 | X | • | 96.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95.00 | X | • | 95.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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