Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jan 09, 2026
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Daily Summary

NDW Country Indices Matrix 2025 Review

The NDW Country Indices Matrix ranks 41 country-specific indices based on relative strength signals, offering a dynamic view of global market conditions. Throughout the year, the matrix evolved significantly as countries gained or lost buy signals.

Q4 Earnings Season: Considering Protective Puts as Insurance

With earnings announcements happening almost daily in the coming weeks the option to buy some temporary insurance in the form of protective puts may be prudent.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Jan 7, 2025

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

The NDW Country Indices Matrix ranks 41 country-specific indices based on relative strength signals, offering a dynamic view of global market conditions. Throughout the year, the matrix evolved significantly as countries gained or lost buy signals. Today’s piece highlights the top performers that made the most dramatic climbs in rankings, as well as those bottom performers who have dropped the most in their rankings. These shifts reflect changes in trends that have influenced their relative strength across regions. Understanding these movements provides insight into which markets demonstrated resilience and which faced persistent headwinds.

The matrix underwent numerous changes throughout the year, with rankings shifting substantially from the start to the end of the year. The image below shows the top 5 biggest winners, or countries that have gained the most amount of “RS buy signals." The NDW Korea TR Index as the country that added the most buy signals and moved up the most in the matrix ranking. Throughout the year, Korea added 36 buy signals and moved up from 40th to 5th. Brazil was another country that saw much improvement. The country started off the year ranking 41/42 (one index was later removed from the matrix) in the matrix rankings, before ultimately gaining 25 buy signals and jumping 24 spots to its current ranking at17th.

On the downside, there were several countries that lost many RS buy signals and moved down notably on their matrix ranking. India, an area that previously provided much strength for emerging markets, saw the most technical deterioration last year, as the country lost 24 signals and now ranks 36th in the NDW Country Indices Matrix. Taiwan also lost 16 buy signals and moved down from 1st to the 19th position in the matrix as the country saw some relative deterioration for the year. Still, Taiwan sits in the top half of the matrix and offers several opportunities.

 

As of the end of 2025, the top 5 countries in the NDW Country Indices Matrix are shown below. The NDW Columbia TR Index currently leads the pack, as the group maintains 39 buy signals against the 40 other groups that the country is being compared against. However, the Israel sits in second place with 38 buy signals and 39 columns of Xs. For those who are interested in gaining exposure, you could consider investing in the MSCI Colombia ETF.

The Global X MSCI Colombia ETF (COLO) provides exposure to large-, mid-, and small-cap Colombian equities. COLO maintains a strong fund score of 5.70, with a strong score direction 1.74. The fund had a price return of just over 56% for the year of 2025 and is up just over 5% in 2026 so far. Additionally, COLO offers an impressive yield of 7.5%, bringing the total return of the fund to ~ 68% for the year of 2025. Long exposure can be made here. Resistance can be seen at $38.50. Strong support can be seen at $35.50, with the bullish support line serving as the next support at $29.50.

 

Q4 earnings season is upon us, with Delta Airlines (DAL) and major banks beginning to report next week. Earnings season can be one of the most volatile times for stocks. With earnings announcements happening almost daily in the coming weeks, many investors may wonder: "Am I going to hear any bad news from the companies that I own? And if the news is not good, how will my positions hold up?" Additionally, the ongoing geopolitical tensions along with continued conversation around interest rates and tariffs have provided plenty of uncertainty for investors as Q4 begins. Fortunately, if investors would rather not just sit on the sidelines and hope to luckily avoid any earnings disasters, there is the option to buy some temporary insurance in the form of protective puts. First, we'll review a few basics on puts, and then we’ll offer three examples.

Many investors have difficulty understanding puts, but the strategy is relatively simple. If anyone owns a car, they likely own a put on it, provided they carry collision insurance. A put is simply a contract giving the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell stock at a specific price (the strike price) during a specified period. The underlying stock can be "put," i.e., sold to the writer of the put for the strike price, anytime between the time the option is purchased and the time it expires. Similarly, if someone has an accident in their car, there is an insurance policy that states that the underwriter will pay the cost of the damage. Conceptually, a put is the same thing - pay a premium to protect a stock position, the only difference is that we are insuring against damage to the value of the stock rather than a car. In either case, if an accident occurs, losses are mitigated by the insurance purchased. The payoff diagram below from Investopedia provides a decent visual.

An essential characteristic of protective puts is that they do not cap the upside potential within the stock.. Instead, if the stock hedged with puts continues to move higher going forward, an investor participates in the upside at all points and returns are only diminished by the premium paid for the put. Just as no one relishes paying for car insurance, no one is excited about paying the premium for a protective put. Investors must ask whether it is worth laying out the premium to have this insurance in place. If the answer is yes, then consider buying protective puts on stocks owned.

Before getting into today’s examples, five additional points:

  • Only buy one put for every 100 shares owned (or want to hedge). Don’t over leverage by buying more options than needed to protect the position.
  • If using puts to hedge an earnings report, make sure to buy puts that expire not too far after earnings. That way we aren’t paying for time we don’t need to hedge. 
  • At-the-money strikes are useful for hedging the current value of the underlying stock position. However, if only wanting to hedge a 5% drop or larger, then use an out-of-the-money option.
  • Protective puts are most useful on stocks that have run hot going into earnings and either have little or no support nearby.

The stocks discussed below are non-exhaustive, and other protective put candidates could include names from other sectors. Stocks like Tapestry Inc. (TPR) and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) serve as further examples of potential candidates.

Goldman Sachs (GS) – Banks – Along with a number of other banks, Goldman Sachs (GS) will report earnings early next week on 1/13. The stock just capped off 2025 up more than 50% and has kicked off 2026 up 6% (thru 1/8), besting market indices in both periods. GS has maintained a positive long-term technical picture since late 2022, having maintained at least a 3 TA rating since that time and a 5 TA rating since June last year. The stock has sustained a positive trend since May last year and returned to a buy signal in early December before rallying to new highs at $960 this month. Recent action has extended the current column of Xs into overbought territory, well above current support in the $700 range and even the stock’s 50-day moving average (middle of the 10-week trading band). With current support roughly 18% away from current prices, GS, along with a number of other banks, are prime candidates for protective puts.

L3Harris Technologies (LHX) – Aerospace Airline – The start of 2026 has brought positive action to a number of stocks within the Aerospace Airline subsector, including the likes of Delta Airlines (DAL) and United Airlines (UAL) along with defense names. The stock just capped off 2025 up almost 40% and has kicked off 2026 up 10% (thru 1/8), besting market indices in both periods. LHX has maintained at least a 3 TA rating since May of last year, and improved to a 4 for 5’er after giving a market RS buy signal against the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (SPXEWI). The stock has sustained a positive trend since May last year and returned to a buy signal in early December before continuing to new highs. Thursday’s (1/8) action brought the chart above $336 before the stock closed in the mid $320s, above the top 10-week trading band. With the extended column of Xs and current support roughly 14% way from current prices, LHX, along with other defense names with extended technical pictures, is another candidate for protective puts.

Featured Charts:

 

Portfolio View - Major Market ETFs

 

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

21.74

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
               
Buy signaldvy
     
           
Buy signalfxe
 
Buy signalijr
     
           
Sell signaluso
 
Buy signaliwm
     
           
Buy signalXLG
 
Buy signalefa
     
       
Sell signalief
Sell signalicf
Buy signalVOOG
Buy signalSPY
Buy signaldia
Buy signalIJH
   
       
Sell signallqd
Sell signaldx/y
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signalgsg
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalrsp
   
     
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalagg
Buy signalshy
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalhyg
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalgcc
Buy signalGLD
 
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Machinery and Tools $264.62 mid 240s - ow 260s 316 208 5 for 5'er, top half of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip, Earn. 1/28
CME CME Group, Inc. Wall Street $266.64 260s - 270s 312 224 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield, Earn. 2/4
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $110.26 108 - 115 143 95 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield, Earn. 2/4
GFI Gold Fields Limited (South Africa) ADR Precious Metals $45.56 40 - 44 58 35 4 for 5'er, top third of PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, good R-R, 1.8% yield
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $127.48 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield
ABCB Ameris Bancorp Banks $78.99 70s 92 77 5 for 5'er, top 25% of BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread quintuple top, 1.1% yield, Earn. 1/29
LAZ Lazard Inc. Wall Street $50.71 hi 40s - low 50s 69 41 5 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, buy on pullback, good R-R, Earn. 1/29
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $298.33 hi 260s - low 280s 328 240 5 for 5'er, top half of LEIS sector matrix LT pos peer & mkt RS, quintuple top, Earn. 2/4
HCA HCA Healthcare Inc. Healthcare $479.02 450s - lo 500s 588 384 5 TA rating, top 20% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, LT peer RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 1/27
LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. Machinery and Tools $251.00 240s 320 196 5 for 5'er, top third of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, 1.3% yield
THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation Healthcare $203.35 190 - mid 200s 286 170 5 TA rating, top 50% of HEAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback
FLS Flowserve Corporation Machinery and Tools $71.74 hi 60s - lo 70s 91 54 5 TA rating, top 10% of MACH sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback
BCO The Brink's Company Protection Safety Equipment $123.90 mid 110s - low 120s 152 104 5 for 5'er, top half of PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, R-R>2.0
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A Internet $325.44 300 - hi 320s 428 268 5 TA rating, top of INET sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/4
AAPL Apple Inc. Computers $259.04 260s - 270s 380 224 5 for 5'er, top 20% of COMP sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, buy on pullback, Earn. 1/29
RL Ralph Lauren Textiles/Apparel $365.07 352 - 380s 472 296 5 TA rating, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 2/5
CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. Real Estate $165.96 hi 150s - lo 170s 188 134 5 TA rating, top 10% of REAL sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Healthcare $585.08 590-620 800 480 5 TA rating, top 50% of HEAL sector RS matrix, LT mkt RS buy, consec. buy signals, Earn. 1/22
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc Wall Street $168.38 160s 186 142 5 for 5'er, top half of WALL sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, triple top, pos trend flip, Earn. 1/28
IMAX Imax Corporation Media $33.86 33 - hi 30s 53 26 5 TA rating, top 20% of Media sector matrix, LT pos trend, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
GIL Gildan Activewear Textiles/Apparel $63.51 62 - 66 86 52 5 for 5'er, top third of favored TEXT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, buy on pullback, R-R>2.0

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
MAR Marriott International, Inc. Leisure $324.91 290s - low 310s 400 252 MAR has moved into heavily overbought territory. OK to hold here. Raise stop to $268.

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

GIL Gildan Activewear R ($63.59) - Textiles/Apparel - GIL is a 5 for 5'er that ranks in the top third of the favored textiles/apparel sector matrix and has been on peer and market RS buy signals since 2020. After giving two consecutive sell signals GIL returned to a buy signal last month when it broke a double top at $60 and continued higher, breaking a spread triple top at $63. The stock has subsequently pulled back to support at $62, offering an entry point for long exposure. Positions may be added in the $62 - $66 range and we will set our initial stop at $52, which would take out multiple levels of support on GIL's chart and violate its trend line. We will use the bullish price objective, $86, as our target price, giving us a reward-to-risk ratio north of 2.0. GIL also carries a 1.5% yield.

 
    24         25                                 26          
65.00                                             X   X       65.00
64.00                                             X O X O     64.00
63.00                                             X O X O     63.00
62.00                                 X   X       X 1   O     62.00
61.00                                 X O X O     X           61.00
60.00                                 X O X O     X           60.00
59.00                                 A O   O X   X         Mid 59.00
58.00                                 X     O X O C           58.00
57.00                             X   X     B X O X           57.00
56.00                             X O X     O   O X           56.00
55.00             X               X O X         O             55.00
54.00             X O             X O X                     54.00
53.00             2 O     X   8   X 9                       53.00
52.00             X 3     X O X O X                         52.00
51.00             X O     X O X O X                         51.00
50.00         B   X O X   7 O   O X                       Bot 50.00
49.00         X O 1 O X O X     O X                         49.00
48.00         A O X O X O X     O X                         48.00
47.00         X C X O 5 O       O X                         47.00
46.00         9 O   O X         O                           46.00
45.00         X     O X                                     45.00
44.00         X     O X                                     44.00
43.00         X     4 X                                     43.00
42.00         8     O X                                     42.00
41.00         X     O X                                     41.00
40.00         7     O X                                     40.00
39.00         6     O X                                     39.00
38.00     X   X     O                                       38.00
37.00     3 O X                                             37.00
36.00     X O X                                             36.00
35.00 X   2 4 X                                             35.00
34.00 X O X 5 X                                             34.00
33.00 X O X O                                               33.00
32.00   1 X                                                 32.00
31.00   O                                                   31.00
    24         25                                 26          

 

 

ALGT Allegiant Travel Company ($94.91) - Aerospace Airline - ALGT reversed into Xs and broke a double top at $96 for a second buy signal and highest chart level since early last year. The stock has been a 4 for 5'er since November last year and current ranks within the top decile of the Aerospace Airline sector matrix. Okay to consider in the lower to mid $90s. Initial support lies at $92, while additional can be found at $83 and $81.
APP AppLovin Corp. Class A ($642.68) - Software - APP pushed higher Friday to break a double top at $648, returning the stock to a buy signal just above the mid-point on its trading band. This 5 for 5'er moved to a positive trend in August 2024 and has been on an RS buy signal against the market since 2023. The stock also sits in the top quintile of the software sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is favorable and improving. Initial support can be seen at $608 with further support at $600.
CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ($83.33) - Chemicals - CF returned to a positive trend Friday when it broke a double top at $82. The positive trend change will promote the stock to a still unfavorable 2 for 5'er. From here, the next level of resistance sits at $65. Meanwhile, support can be found at $76.
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. ($170.18) - Transports/Non Air - CHRW posted its seventh consecutive buy signal on its default chart with intraday action on 1/9. The 4/5'er is already up nearly 5% so far in 2026 and the technical picture remains quite strong. The stock ranks 4th of 60 within the transports sector, speaking to the strength against its peer group. Support is offered just below current levels at $162.
EQIX Equinix, Inc. ($801.61) - Real Estate - Shares of EQIX broke a double top at $800 for its second consecutive buy signal this year. Today's movement also saw the stock slip its trend back to positive, bringing it up to a 2 for 5'er. The stock is still in sell territory given its broader lack of relative strength but could be a name to keep an eye on. From here, initial resistance lies at $848 and $912.
GAP The Gap, Inc. ($28.08) - Retailing - GAP reversed broke a double top at $29 for a fourth buy signal since April of last year. GAP has improved to a 4 for 5'er due to positive near-term relative strength, while the stock has maintained a positive trend since October 2023. Okay to consider here on the breakout. Note resistance lies at current prices and at $30. A move to $31 would mark the highest chart level since 2021. Initial support lies at $25, while additional can be found at $22.
HWKN Hawkins Chemical Inc ($157.15) - Chemicals - HWKN gave a third consecutive buy signal and returned to a positive trend Friday when it completed a bullish catapult at $154. The positive trend change will promote the stock to a an acceptable 3 for 5'er. From here, the first level of support sits at $146.

 

Daily Option Ideas for January 9, 2026

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Boston Scientific Corporation - $97.34 O: 26C97.50D20 Buy the March 97.50 calls at 4.80 90.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Estee Lauder Companies ( EL) Mar. 105.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 10.80 (CP: 12.80)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Diageo (United Kingdom) ADR - $88.17 O: 26P90.00D17 Buy the April 90.00 puts at 7.20 95.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
GoDaddy Inc. ( GDDY) Feb. 130.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 13.20 (CP: 15.20)
American Tower REIT ( AMT) Mar. 175.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 8.20 (CP: 10.20)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Fortinet Inc. $ 78.05 O: 26C80.00D20 Mar. 80.00 5.30 $ 37,074.55 35.62% 31.37% 5.67%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Amphenol Corporation ( APH) - 136.25 Sell the March 140.00 Calls.
Lemonade Inc ( LMND) - 80.76 Sell the February 80.00 Calls.
Estee Lauder Companies ( EL) - 110.27 Sell the March 110.00 Calls.
Carnival Corporation ( CCL) - 31.69 Sell the March 32.00 Calls.
Alphabet Inc. Class A ( GOOGL) - 325.44 Sell the April 330.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
No Additions to This Section

 

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