Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Nov 21, 2025
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Point & Figure Pulse

International equities have shown more recent improvement than domestic equities in our DALI rankings.

Plenty of PT Charts to Perceive

Examining action within index and NDW industry/sector group positive trend (PT) indicators.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Nov 19, 2025

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Point & Figure Pulse

by Ian Saunders

Beginners Series Webinar: Join us on Monday, November 24th at 2 PM (ET) for our NDW Beginners Series Webinar. The week's topic is: Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) and DALI Strategies. Register Here


International equities are inching closer to domestic equities in our Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) rankings. Since the end of October, we have seen international equities gain five relative strength (RS) buy signals, while domestic equities have lost three signals. This is not very significant movement based on the sharp price declines we saw from domestic stocks over the past week. However, these two asset classes have already been close in their RS buy signal tally count for several months. Domestic equities still maintain the top ranked position, but the door has been left open for some shifts as we close out the year.

These asset class rankings are built on a large RS matrix. Each asset class has an equal number of representatives included in the matrix, so no one area gets an unfair advantage. While the specific representatives are proprietary, it is important to know that they are meant to provide a diverse list of names for each asset class rather than just going with the biggest part of each market. Just like any RS matrix, the rankings have a buy rank (longer term) and an X rank (shorter term). The DALI rankings aggregate the number of buy signals, using that longer term number. What would the picture look like if we take the same tally concept and apply it to the shorter-term X rank?

The tally X rank actually amplifies the recent improvement for international equities, as we see that they move ahead of their domestic counterparts to take the top ranked near-term spot. Domestic equities sit in second, followed by commodities, which are further separated down into the third position. This echoes some of the recent signal shifts seen in the buy signal rank but could very well unwind with a few days of sharp action from each of the asset classes. Still, the improvement from international equities makes it worthwhile looking toward areas of strength to prepare for a potential asset allocation shift.

One area that has seen recent improvement in international equities is Latin America. This is shown through the sub-asset class rankings in DALI, where we have seen the Latin American region move from fifth (out of six spots) to second in just two weeks. The iShares S&P Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) has been indicative of that recent improvement. The fund has marched steadily higher since April, giving four consecutive buy signals while ascending to new multi-year highs at $31 earlier this month. This has been met with a sharp improvement in fund score, which comes in at a recent posting of 4.85 after rising over 1.8 points. Weekly momentum also recently flipped positive, suggesting the potential for further upside from here. The past two days of market action saw ILF retract from that extended position to a more actionable range just above the middle of its trading band. Those looking to focus on recent strength in foreign equities should keep ILF on their radar as we look toward 2026. Initial support is seen at $27.50 with further support down at $25.

Thursday’s Daily Equity Report highlighted the Positive Trend indicator for NYSE Stocks (^PTNYSE) reversing down into a column of Os to 50%, suggesting half of the roughly 1800 stocks within the NYSE universe maintain a positive trend on their point and figure trend chart. While ^PTNYSE chart resides at a level that isn’t too concerning yet, smaller universe PT charts reside at varying levels – with some providing minimal concern at the moment, while others have fallen to their lowest levels in some time.

For an examination of size and style groups below are the PT charts for the notable broad U.S. equity indices. The PT for the Nasdaq-100 (^PTNDX) was the first to reverse lower in August, while the PT for the S&P Small Cap 600 Index (^PTSPSML) was the last, doing so to finish off October. The PTNDX and PT for the S&P 500 (^PTSPX) maintain readings of 60% or higher, while the PT for the S&P Mid Cap 400 (^PTSPMID) sits above 50% - indicating that the majority of large and mid cap stocks continue to maintain positive overall long-term trends on their point and figure charts. Meanwhile, the PT for the S&P Small Cap 600 has fallen below 50%, suggesting the majority of small cap stocks now maintain sell signals. Many of the index PT charts sit at levels not seen since May or June, and apart from the S&P 500 PT, many saw their 2025 lows around 20% in April (the last notable dip in indicators).

Expanding the examination of long-term positive trend indicators further, below are the current column positions and readings of the NDW 40 Sector/Industry groups. The table to the left highlights the 16 PT charts that maintain a column of Xs, where long-term trends remain strong or are improving, while the table on the right shows the 24 PT charts that maintain a column of Os, where long-term trends are waning or have deteriorated entirely. Industries/sectors from more defensive broad sectors like utilities, basic materials, healthcare, and consumer staples primarily occupy the table where long-term trends are maintained (top of the table, high readings) or improving (bottom of the table, lower readings). Within the table on the right industries/sectors from broad sectors like financials and industrials are where long-term trends have begun to wane (top of the table, high readings still). While technology and consumer discretionary present mixed pictures, with some industries sustaining long-term trends and others seeing them deteriorate. For example, semiconductors and internet are areas of technology where long-term trends have waned, but reversals have come down from their highest levels in recent years. Conversely, the software industry didn’t quite see the same amount of increase off the April on its PT chart relative to others, and the chart has fallen into the mid-20s, indicating less than one out of every four stocks maintain above their bullish support line on their point and figure trend chart. Below are examples within the software industry that have recently violated its trendline, contributing to the PT’s deterioration, and one that has tested its bullish support line twice this month.

After reporting earnings that were in-line, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) failed to impress investors with underwhelming guidance along with an acquisition of Chronosphere for $3.4 billion. PANW shares fell from the upper $190s to the lower $180s intraday Thursday’s (11/21) action, violating support at $198 along with the bullish support line as shares fell through the mid $180s. The impact to the trend chart caused the stock to fall to a 4 for 5’er, with the market and peer relative strength charts maintaining a buy signal and a column of Xs sustaining PANW’s technical picture. Intraday action Friday brought shares down to test another level of support at $182. Beyond current support, additional can be found at $174 and $166, the August 2025 chart low. While the market and peer RS charts maintain a positive stance and are not near reversal into Os yet, both have seen the RS values pullback with the rapid decent Thursday. Owners of PANW may utilize the alerts system to not only mark support on the trend chart, but potential reversals into Os on the peer or market RS charts.

While among those stocks maintaining a positive trend, Intuit (INTU) has tested its bullish support line twice in November with the most recent being Thursday (11/20), prior to earnings. After beating on earnings and reaffirming guidance shares rebounded intraday Friday, returning the stock to a buy signal at $672 as shares rallied to $680. INTU continues to maintain a 3 technical attribute rating with positive long-term market and peer relative strength, along with the positive trend on the trend chart, sustaining the technical picture. With the bullish support line the nearest level of support on the trend chart and INTU exhibiting negative near-term relative strength on the market and peer RS charts, holders will look to closely monitor near-term price action from here. Owners of INTU will look to set alerts for the violation of the bullish support line along with a potential change in relative strength signal on both the market and peer RS charts.

Featured Charts:

Portfolio View - Major Market ETFs

 

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

-29.11

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
       
Buy signalQQQ
             
       
Buy signalSPY
             
       
Sell signalONEQ
             
     
Buy signalijr
Buy signalVOOV
             
     
Buy signaliwm
Buy signalVOOG
             
     
Buy signalefa
Sell signalicf
Buy signalEEM
           
     
Buy signalhyg
Sell signaldia
Buy signalagg
           
   
Buy signalgcc
Buy signalfxe
Sell signalUSO
Buy signalgsg
           
   
Sell signalrsp
Sell signallqd
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalshy
           
   
Buy signalIJH
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalXLG
Buy signalief
 
Buy signalGLD
Sell signaldx/y
     
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
SF Stifel Financial Corp Wall Street $115.24 110s 140 92 4 for 5'er, top half of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, quad top break, 1.6% yield
CMC Commercial Metals Corporation Steel/Iron $57.35 hi 50s - low 60s 79 49 4 for 5'er, favored STEE sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip, 1.2% yield
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Machinery and Tools $242.52 mid 240s - ow 260s 316 208 5 for 5'er, top half of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip
UBS UBS AG (Switzerland) ADR Banks $36.79 mid-hi 30s 65 30 5 TA rating, top 20% of BANK sector RS matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback, R-R > 3, yield > 2%
BAC Bank of America Banks $51.00 49 - 54 67 44 4 for 5'er, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bullish catapult, 2.1% yield
SHEL Shell PLC Sponsored ADR Oil $73.21 72 - hi 70s 87 65 4 TA rating, top 25% of OIL sector, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, yield > 3%
CME CME Group, Inc. Wall Street $275.21 260s - 270s 312 224 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $110.55 108 - 115 143 95 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield
GFI Gold Fields Limited (South Africa) ADR Precious Metals $37.95 40 - 44 58 35 4 for 5'er, top third of PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, good R-R, 1.8% yield
FTI TechnipFMC PLC Oil Service $43.49 hi 30s - mid 40s 60 34 5 TA rating, top 50% of OILS sector matrix, LT RS buy and pos trend, consec buy signals
GVA Granite Construction Inc Building $102.41 hi 90s - mid 100s 157 87 5 for 5'er, top third of BUIL sector matrix, buy on pullback, R-R>3.0
GLDD Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation Building $11.65 11.50 - 12.50 17 10 5 for 5'er, top third of BUIL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread quad top, R-R>2.0
AMG Affiliated Managers Group Wall Street $252.92 hi 230s - lo 260s 298 198 5 TA rating, top of WALL sector matrix, consec buy signals, pos wkly mom, buy-on-pullback
SGI Somnigroup International Inc Household Goods $84.64 80s 125 69 5 for 5'er, top 10% of HOUS sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, good R-R
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance $163.75 mid 150s - hi 160s 206 134 4 TA rating, top 33% of INSU sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, yield > 2%, pos momentum, buy-on-pullback
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $127.82 120s - low 130s 158 110 4 for 5'er, top half of MEDI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top 4.8% yield

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
DCI Donaldson Co Inc Waste Management $84.97 80 - 84 92 67 Removed for earnings. Earn. 12/4

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

LAMR Lamar Advertising Company R ($131.17) - Media - LAMR is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the media sector matrix and has been on market and peer RS buy signals since 2020 and 2021, respectively. On its default chart, the stock completed a second consecutive buy signal last week when it broke a spread triple top at $130, taking out resistance that had been in place since July. Long exposure may be added in the $120s to low $130s and we will set our initial stop $110, which would take out multiple levels of support on LAMR's chart and violate its trend line. We will use the bullish price objective, $158 as our target price. LAMR also carries a 4.8% yield

 
      25                                                    
136.00 O                                                   Top 136.00
134.00 O X                                                 134.00
132.00 O X O X                                               132.00
130.00 B X O 2 O                                     X     130.00
128.00 O X C X O                         X   X   X     128.00
126.00 O   O X O X   X                     X O X X O X     126.00
124.00     O X O X O X O                   7 O X O X O X     124.00
122.00     O X O X O X O                   6 O X O X 9 B   Mid 122.00
120.00     O X O   3   O               X   X 8   O X A X     120.00
118.00     1           O           X   X O X   O X O X     118.00
116.00                 O 4         5 O X O X   O X O     116.00
114.00                 O X O X   X X O X O     O       114.00
112.00                 O X O X O X O X O                   112.00
110.00                 O   O X O X O X                       110.00
108.00                     O X O   O X                     Bot 108.00
106.00                     O X     O                         106.00
104.00                   O X                             104.00
102.00                   O X                               102.00
100.00                   O                                 100.00
      25                                                    

 

 

BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (China) ADR ($154.04) - Retailing - BABA broke a double bottom at $150 for a fourth sell signal and to violate the bullish support line. This will shift the trend chart to a negative trend, dropping the stock to a 4 for 5'er. Prior resistance in the upper $140s may be seen as initial support, while additional may be found at $132.
DE Deere & Company ($487.24) - Machinery and Tools - DE returned to a positive trend today, but don't be fooled by the break. The stock is still a poor attribute name around current levels and has lots of resistance above. While keeping up with the market so far in 2025, upside looks to be limited from here between heavy resistance at highs in the $520's.
KO The Coca-Cola Company ($72.92) - Food Beverages/Soap - Shares of KO broke a triple top at $72 to move back to both a buy signal and a positive trend. However, the stocks remains a sell as a 2 for 5'er given its lack of long-term relative strength. From here, resistance from all-time highs lies at $74.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation ($179.89) - Semiconductors - NVDA showed some whipsaw movement after earnings this week, ultimately falling sharply lower to break a double bottom at $178 and reach a low of $174. The stock still has a 4 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top half of the semiconductors sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence remains strong; the sharp action did not change the broader technical picture. The stock is at support from September with further support at $170 and $166. Overhead resistance is now seen at $196 and $198.
ORCL Oracle Corporation ($197.88) - Software - ORCL moved lower this week to break a double bottom at $208 before falling to a lo of $194. This stock still has a 3 for 5 TA rating but has shown sharp declines and violated some key support levels. The next support level lies at $180, which is the current location of the bullish support line. Further deterioration past that point would send the stock into a low technical attribute rating. Additional long exposure should be avoided, while those with current positions may look toward holding as the stock still has a suitable technical attribute. Note that ORCL is in oversold territory as well. Overhead resistance may be seen at $232 then not until $284.
ROST Ross Stores, Inc. ($173.46) - Retailing - ROST broke a double top at $166 for a fourth buy signal as shares rallied to new highs at $174. This brings the market RS chart to a buy signal, showing long-term positive relative strength, and increases the stock to a 5 for 5'er. Those seeking expsoure will look for a pullback to the mid to lower $160s or consolidation in the upper $160s and lower $170s before considering. Initial support lies at $158, while additional can be found at $144 and $148.

 

Daily Option Ideas for November 21, 2025

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Cisco Systems, Inc. - $76.10 O: 26A75.00D16 Buy the January 75.00 calls at 3.80 70.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Cardinal Health, Inc. ( CAH) Dec. 155.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 51.90 (CP: 53.90)
Steel Dynamics Inc. ( STLD) Jan. 155.00 Calls Initiate an option stop loss of 8.10 (CP: 10.10)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
ARM Holdings PLC ADR - $131.96 O: 26M135.00D16 Buy the January 135.00 puts at 12.95 144.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
CAVA Group, Inc. ( CAVA) Jan. 65.00 Puts Stopped at 18.35 (CP: 15.00)
The Coca-Cola Company ( KO) Jan. 67.50 Puts Stopped at 72.00 (CP: 73.08)
Western Alliance Bancorporation ( WAL) Jan. 77.50 Puts Stopped at 4.40 (CP: 3.40)
Texas Instruments Incorporated ( TXN) Feb. 160.00 Puts Stopped at 13.45 (CP: 11.35)
Dutch Bros Inc. Class A ( BROS) Jan. 55.00 Puts Stopped at 4.80 (CP: 3.90)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Hasbro, Inc. $ 76.75 O: 26C80.00D20 Mar. 80.00 5.50 $ 37,061.40 21.08% 19.27% 5.91%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Sunrun Inc ( RUN) - 17.81 Sell the January 21.00 Calls.
Tesla Inc. ( TSLA) - 395.23 Sell the February 450.00 Calls.
SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI) - 24.91 Sell the February 30.00 Calls.
Alamos Gold Inc ( AGI) - 32.27 Sell the January 34.00 Calls.
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. Series A ( WBD) - 22.88 Sell the February 23.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
No Additions to This Section

 

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