Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jul 24, 2025
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Extra! Extra! Read all About it!

Communication Services continues to improve. Today, we look at recent strength from the media group

NDW Prospecting: Clean Energy Defying Expectations

Among other effects, the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which was signed into law on July 4th, was expected to be detrimental to clean energy as it eliminated tax subsidies for things like electric vehicles and renewable energy projects. While the media has been pessimistic about the prospects of clean energy firms, their performance has been just the opposite, at least over the short-term.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – July 23, 2025

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Beginners Series Webinar: Join us on Friday, July 25th at 2 PM (ET) for our NDW Beginners Series Webinar. The week's topic is: Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) and DALI StrategiesRegister Here


Extra! Extra! Read all about it! While Hollywood box office names have dominated the summer, the real show is unfolding on the charts. Evidently, Communications continue to hold the #1 spot on the DALI sector ranking, showcasing tremendous leadership relative to the other 10 broad market sectors for the past four months. Leading the charge, sector representative XLC has extended its two year uptrend, hitting fresh all-time highs again today. The fund continues to ride strong relative strength trends, having sat in a relative strength column of X’s since February 2023.

There are several different areas you or your clients might be interested in within the sector. Most often the tech focused names within the sector get the most attention, but recently other areas within the sector have performed quite well. Media and other traditional telecom names have been points of strength. The Bullish Percent for Media ^BPMEDI, current readings sit at 44%, the highest we’ve seen since October 2024. To put that in perspective, nearly 4 out of every 10 stocks in the sector are now on PnF buy signals. While not yet overwhelming, this is the first meaningful participation we’ve seen in months coming off lows of 16% in April and its on par with most other sectors as we close out July.

Looking at a more targeted vehicle for media exposure, SOCL maintains a fund score of 5.84, with a fresh trend and established relative strength vs the market SPXEWI. While it may not carry all of the same blockbuster holdings as large cap tech, SOCL offers a direct tie to consumer engagement and digital media growth. Notably, OBOS levels have inflated up to 114%, a significant increase over the last few trading weeks, signaling the fund may be due for some normalization. Watch the middle of the trading band around $50 as a logical entry point in the near-term.

Everything’s better on the big screen, and ROKU brings the big screen home. This 5 for 5’er has surged from a TA score of 2 to 5 in just three months and now ranks 3rd within the Media sector. ROKU has held a relative strength buy signal vs. the market since December 2024 and is up 21% YTD. While the technical setup remains strong, ROKU carries an RRisk of 4.6, making it more appropriate for aggressive investors. The stock is still a bit elevated around current levels but has recently pulled back... offering a decent entry point around current levels. Localized support is found at $89 and $86, and Q2 earnings are expected on 7/31.

 

Among other effects, the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which was signed into law on July 4th, was expected to be detrimental to clean energy as it eliminated tax subsidies for things like electric vehicles and renewable energy projects, which has been a conspicuous source of tension between President Trump and his former advisor Tesla CEO Elon Musk. As CEO of both SolarCity and Tesla, Musk stood to lose on multiple fronts, so it’s no wonder he wasn’t too happy about the tax policy change. While the media has been pessimistic about the prospects of clean energy firms, their performance has been just the opposite, at least over the short-term.

Image Source: Politico

Over the last 30 days, the Invesco Wilderhill Clean Energy ETF (PBW), the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN), and the First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund (QCLN) are each up more than 15%, led by PBW which is up just 30% over that period. Short-term performance isn’t everything, of course, as even long-term laggards occasionally have sharp rallies. But each of the aforementioned funds also now have favorable technical pictures. TAN leads the pack with a 4.93 fund score, followed by PBW and QCLN with have fund scores of 4.64 and 4.00, respectively.

There are a variety of stocks that make up the clean energy ETFs, but the strongest performers are primarily solar stocks. Solaredge Technologies (SEDG) is up more than 80% over the last 30 days and 114% year-to-date, the stock has a 5 for 5 technical attribute rating and has completed three consecutive buy signals on its default chart. Sunrun Inc (RUN) another purveyor of solar equipment and renewably sourced energy is up more than 70% over the last month. RUN has a 4 for 5 technical attribute rating and sits one box away from returning to a positive trend, which would elevate it to a 5 for 5’er. Among non-solar stocks, MP Materials Corp. (MP), which is a rare-earth materials company, is among the top performers. MP has gained more than 67% over the last month and 292% year-to-date. MP is a 5 for 5’er and ranks first out of 14 names in the metals non ferrous sector matrix. There are far too many clean energy stocks for us to review them all individually, but if you’d like to find other names, you can use the “Holdings” function from the chart of any of the ETFs discussed above.

We can’t say why many clean energy stocks have made eye-popping gains over the last month, defying expectations that the “Big Beautiful Bill” would be calamitous for the industry. Perhaps the market had become overly pessimistic ahead of the bill’s passing or perhaps investors think that the increased demand for energy from AI means that renewables will remain part of the energy mix over the next several years. What we can say is that the expectations have been wrong, at least over the short term, and we are seeing relative strength in clean energy. Situations like this are one of the reasons why we prefer to listen to what the market tell us IS happening versus what stories that tell us what ought to happen.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

53.55

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
                 
Buy signalgcc
   
                 
Buy signalijr
   
                 
Buy signalIJH
   
                 
Buy signalhyg
Buy signalQQQ
 
                 
Buy signalefa
Buy signalVOOV
 
           
Sell signalUSO
   
Buy signalfxe
Buy signalSPY
 
           
Buy signalief
   
Buy signalrsp
Buy signalONEQ
 
           
Buy signalshy
Sell signalGLD
 
Buy signaliwm
Buy signalVOOG
 
           
Buy signalgsg
Sell signalicf
 
Sell signaldvy
Buy signalXLG
 
     
Sell signaldx/y
 
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalagg
Buy signallqd
 
Buy signaldia
Buy signaleem
 
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $126.26 mid 110s - low 120s 144 99 5 for 5'er, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish catapult, good R-R, 5.2% yield, Earn. 8/8
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Retailing $941.19 mid 900s - lo 1000s 1296 792 4 TA rating, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, top 50% of RETA sector matrix, buy on pullback
APEI American Public Education Inc. Business Products $29.86 hi 20s - low 30s 42 25 5 for 5'er, top 10% of BUSI sector matrix, shakeout to triple top breakout, Earn. 8/11
OLLI Ollies Bargain Outlet Holding Inc. Retailing $131.96 120s 150 102 5 for 5'er, top 25% of favored RETA sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, buy on pullback
MNST Monster Beverage Corp. Food Beverages/Soap $59.19 hi 50s - lo 60s 80 50 5 TA rating, top 20% of FOOD sector matrix, LT RS buy, buy-on-pullback,Earn. 8/11
ARES Ares Management Corp Finance $180.57 mid 160s - 170s 200 154 5 for 5'er, top half of favored FINA sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish triangle, Earn. 8/1
DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. Restaurants $208.51 hi 190s - mid 210s 262 178 5 TA rating, top 50% of REST sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
ERJ Embraer - Empresa Brasileira de Aeronau (Brazil) ADR Aerospace Airline $49.83 hi 40s - low 50s 92 43 4 for 5'er, top half of AERO sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, triple top, buy on pullback, Earn. 8/5
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp Banks $61.31 hi 50s - lo 60s 83 50 5 TA rating, top 50% of BANK sector matrix, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp Precious Metals $94.95 mid 80s - low 90s 108 75 5 for 5'er, top half of PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread triple top, buy on pullback, Earn. 8/7
UAL United Airlines Holdings Inc. Aerospace Airline $90.43 hi 80s - low 90s 116 79 4 for 5'er, top half of favored AERO sector matrix, multiple buy signals, buy on pullback
DG Dollar General Corp. Retailing $109.24 100s to mid 110s 133 86 4 TA rating, top 33% of RETA sector matrix, LT peer RS buy, consec buy signals, buy-on-pullback
URBN Urban Outfitters, Inc. Retailing $77.99 mid-to-hi 70s 91 65 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored RETA sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS
TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated Semiconductors $186.25 mid 180s - mid 190s 220 158 4 for 5'er, favored SEMI sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, bullish triangle, buy on pullback

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Biomedics/Genetics $42.22 low 40s 28 49 1 for 5'er, bottom 10% of BIOM sector matrix, RS sell signal, spread quad bottom, Earn. 8/7

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. Biomedics/Genetics $113.56 100s to mid 110s 141 88 Removed for earnings. Raise stop to $93.Earn. 8/7

Follow-Up Comments

Comment
There are currently no follow-up comments.

NDW Spotlight Stock

 

TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated R ($186.65) - Semiconductors - TXN is a 4 for 5'er and member of the favored semiconductors sector matrix that has been on a market RS buy signal since 2016. On its default chart, TXN has given four consecutive buy signals, most recently completing a bullish triangle, which carried the stock to a new all-time high. TXN has subsequently pulled back to prior resistance, offering an entry point for long exposure. Positions may be added in the mid $180s to mid $190s and we will set our initial stop at $158, which would take out multiple levels of support on TXN's default chart and violate its trend line. We will use the top of the trading band, $220, as our target price. TXN also carries a 2.5% yield.

 
220.00                                                 X     Top 220.00
216.00                                                 X O     216.00
212.00                                                 7 O     212.00
208.00                                               X O     208.00
204.00       X                                   X O     204.00
200.00 X     X O X                                 X O     200.00
198.00 X O   X O 3 O                               X O   Mid 198.00
196.00 X O   X O X O                               X O     196.00
194.00 X O     X O X O                               X O     194.00
192.00 X O     X O   O                               X O     192.00
190.00 X O     X     O                               X O     190.00
188.00 O X   X     O                       X       X O     188.00
186.00   O X O X     O X                     X O X   6 O     186.00
184.00   O X O X     O X O                   X O X O X       184.00
182.00   O X 2 X   O X O                   X O X O X       182.00
180.00   O   O X   O X O                   X O X O         180.00
178.00       O     O X O                   X O X           178.00
176.00             O X O                   X O X           176.00
174.00               O   O                     X O           Bot 174.00
172.00                   4 X                   X               172.00
170.00                   O X O                 X               170.00
168.00                   O X O                 X               168.00
166.00                   O X O             X   X               166.00
164.00                   O X O         X   X O X               164.00
162.00                   O X O         X O 5 O X             162.00
160.00                   O X O         X O X O               160.00
158.00                   O X O         X O X                 158.00
156.00                   O X O         X O                   156.00
154.00                   O X O         X                     154.00
152.00                   O X O X       X                     152.00
150.00                   O X O X O X   X                     150.00
148.00                   O X O X O X O X                     148.00
146.00                   O X O X O X O X                     146.00
144.00                   O   O X O O                       144.00
142.00                       O X                           142.00
140.00                       O                               140.00

 

 

DOV Dover Corporation ($186.86) - Machinery and Tools - DOV moved higher today, posting its 4th consecutive buy signal off of 2025 lows in the process. The stock has picked up relative strength since those lows, clocking in as a perfect 5/5'er as we wrap up July. Localized support is seen at $186, with overhead resistance around all time highs dating back to February.
DOW Dow, Inc. ($24.54) - Chemicals - DOW was down more than 19% on Thursday following its earnings release and fell to a sell signal when it broke a quadruple bottom at $26. The stock continued lower to $25, taking out the last level of support it has found since 2020. Thursday's move adds to an already weak technical picture as DOW is a 0 for 5'er that ranks 45th of 46 names in the chemicals sector matrix.
LH Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings ($268.42) - Healthcare - LH moved higher to break a double top at $268, marking its third consecutive buy signal and a new all-time high above $280. The 4 for 5'er moved into a positive trend in April and ranks in the top quintile of the healthcare sector matrix. The weekly OBOS indicates that the stock is nearing overbought territory, but is still actionable at this level. Initial strong support is at $240-$244, with additional support at $212.
LYB LyondellBasell Industries NV ($60.17) - Chemicals - LYB fell to a sell signal Thursday when it broke a double bottom at $61. The move adds to an already weak technical picture as LYB is a 1 for 5'er that ranks in the bottom quartile of the chemicals sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $57. LYB is expected to report earnings on 8/1.
MMM 3M Company ($149.32) - Chemicals - MMM gave an initial sell signal Thursday when it completed a bullish signal reversal at $148 on Thursday. The weight of the evidence remains marginally positive as MMM is a 3 for 5'er that ranks in the top third of the chemicals sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $142.
URI United Rentals, Inc. ($870.97) - Machinery and Tools - Shares of URI boke a triple top at $832 for its fifth consecutive buy signal. The stock regained near-term market and peer relative strength this month, bringing it up to a strong 5 for 5’er. URI is now within striking distance of all-time highs but is trading above the top of its 10-week trading band, so those looking to add might best suited to wait for some pullback or consolidation. From here, support lies at $784 then $688 with the bullish support line also at $672.
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc. ($291.10) - Healthcare - VEEV inched higher to break a triple top at $292. The 5 for 5'er shifted up from a 4 last month after showing long term relative strength against the market. Additionally, VEEV ranks in the top decile of the healthcare sector matrix. Long exposure can be made here. Initial support is at $272, with additional support at $228.

 

Daily Option Ideas for July 24, 2025

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Texas Instruments Incorporated - $186.65 O: 25I185.00D19 Buy the September 185.00 calls at 8.15 178.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
Tractor Supply Company ( TSCO) Sep. 52.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 6.30 (CP: 8.30)
eBay Inc. ( EBAY) Sep. 72.50 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 9.10 (CP: 11.10)
Wells Fargo & Company ( WFC) Oct. 80.00 Calls Raise the option stop loss to 4.85 (CP: 6.85)
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Danaher Corporation - $202.75 O: 25V200.00D17 Buy the October 200.00 puts at 8.60 220.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
Enphase Energy Inc ( ENPH) Sep. 40.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 4.10 (CP: 6.10)
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc ( BJ) Nov. 110.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 8.20 (CP: 10.20)
Carmax Group ( KMX) Sep. 65.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 3.70 (CP: 5.70)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
General Motors $ 53.13 O: 25L55.00D19 Dec. 55.00 3.10 $ 24,912.35 23.02% 12.60% 4.86%
Still Recommended
Name Action
Hims & Hers Health Inc. ( HIMS) - 58.02 Sell the September 55.00 Calls.
Fortinet Inc. ( FTNT) - 105.06 Sell the September 105.00 Calls.
IonQ Inc. ( IONQ) - 43.28 Sell the October 42.00 Calls.
MARA Holdings Inc. ( MARA) - 17.57 Sell the December 18.00 Calls.
Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A ( PLTR) - 154.63 Sell the August 145.00 Calls.
Airbnb, Inc. Class A ( ABNB) - 139.83 Sell the September 140.00 Calls.
Arista Networks Inc ( ANET) - 113.04 Sell the September 110.00 Calls.
Expedia Group Inc. ( EXPE) - 192.19 Sell the August 185.00 Calls.
Dollar General Corp. ( DG) - 109.24 Sell the September 110.00 Calls.
Uber Technologies, Inc. ( UBER) - 89.94 Sell the September 92.50 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
United Airlines Holdings Inc. ( UAL - 90.43 ) September 95.00 covered write.
Delta Air Lines Inc. ( DAL - 55.98 ) September 57.50 covered write.

 

Most Requested Symbols