KraneShares (Tue.)
Published: Apr 06, 2021
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

There were no changes to the KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation model this week as each of the holdings continued to maintain sufficient relative strength among the model inventory.

This week will cover our quarterly review for the KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation Model after the first three months of 2021. The model posted a return of -1.83% in the first quarter, underperforming the benchmark FXI.TR, which gained 0.50%. However, the mode continues to outpace the benchmark over a trailing 12-month timeframe, at a gain of 55.41% compared to 27.21%.

There were two changes to the model in the first three months of the year, with the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF KWEB being purchased on January 11 and then sold on March 29. The model begins Q2 with six of the equity-focused funds included as model holdings.

The table below is a review of important technical data on a select group of KraneShares ETFs. Significant changes within the past week are highlighted in Green if positive or Red if negative. This portfolio is designed to be used as a "radar" screen to bring your attention to potentially important technical changes that may require your attention and potential action. When evaluating the Fund Score, the strongest issues have scores of 4 or higher while those ETFs with scores below a 3 are no longer considered solid citizens.

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the KraneShares ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

Average Level

-29.35

                       
                     
                     
                 
                 
               
<--100 -100--80 -80--60 -60--40 -40--20 -20-0 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100->

 

 

Legend:

  • UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
  • lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
  • GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
  • RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.
  • Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

The KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation Model is designed to identify major themes in the Chinese marketplace through the use of the Point & Figure relative strength tools. For more information on the portfolio construction and back testing, see the model info file on the models page.  (Note: The KraneShares ETF Models will be updated Tuesday mornings by 9:30 am EST) 

Weekly Changes: 

KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation Model (TR) KRANEDYNAMIC.TR

ETF Name Symbol DWA Suggested Weighting Yield Date Added
KraneShares MSCI All China Health Care Index ETF TR KURE.TR 16.667% 0.0003 03/30/2020
KraneShares CICC China Leaders 100 Index ETF TR KFYP.TR 16.667% 2.6542 07/06/2020
KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A ETF TR KBA.TR 16.667% 0.6769 02/25/2019
KraneShares MSCI All China Index ETF TR KALL.TR 16.667% 1.0119 08/29/2016
KraneShares Emerging Markets Consumer Technology Index ETF TR KEMQ.TR 16.667% 2.3201 06/08/2020
KraneShares Emerging Markets Healthcare Index ETF TR KMED.TR 16.667% 0.0246 11/04/2019

* - Dates prior to 10/15/2019, which is when the KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation Model became available on the NDW Research Platform, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.

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