Daily Summary
Watson Wright Remembered
We are saddened by the passing of Watson Wright, co-founder of Dorsey, Wright & Associates.
Tech Breadth is Back
Investors should be well aware of how quickly markets change, but the last couple weeks have been even faster than usual, causing notable improvement in tech.
Morning Pulse
NDW Morning Pulse - August 10, 2026
NDW Morning Update Video – August 10, 2026.
- U.S. equity and international equities were positive Friday (8/7). Most indices continue to maintain near recent rally highs on their charts achieved last week.
- Gold ([GC/]) and crude oil ([CL/]) were both positive Friday (8/7) with gold climbing above 4350 on its long-term 50 point per box chart and crude reversing back into a column of Xs on the default point and figure chart.
- Week-over-week, participation has improved with the average bullish percent reading for the NDW 40 sectors climbing from 40% to 47%, leading to a slight shift to the right of the distribution curve of the sectors. Technology sectors like semiconductors ([^BPSEMI]) and computers ([^BPCOMP]) were notable highlights, while steel ([^BPSTEE]) and aerospace ([^BPAERO]) seeing increases in stocks maintaining buy signals.
- Consumer Inflation (CPI) reports on Wednesday and will be closely watched by Fed officials for potential pathways interest rates.
- Earnings take a bit of a breather this week, but notable names reporting have support and resistance levels highlighted below.
- Simon Property Group ([SPG]) – Reports 8/10 – SPG has been a 5 for 5’er since April this year and capped off July’s trading reaching an all-time chart high at $236. August’s trading has seen the stock pullback to the middle of the 10-week trading band with support at $216 close by. Prior resistance at $204 may be seen as additional support, while the bullish support line sits at $184.
- Super Micro Computer ([SMCI]) – Reports 8/11 – SMCI fell to a 2 for 5’er after shifting into a negative trend in early July. The stock has rebounded from those near-term lows back above $30. From here, a move above $33 would count as a second buy signal and match the middle of the 10-week trading band. Note resistance at $36 and the bearish resistance line at $42. Initial support lies in the mid $20s, while additional can be found around the $20 level, the stock’s 2026 chart lows.
- Cisco Systems ([CSCO]) – Reports 8/12 – CSCO has been a 5 for 5’er since February this year. After reaching highs at $130 in early June, the stock pulled back through much of July before seeing the chart return to a buy signal at $122 during last week’s trading. Initial support lies at $108, while the next levels of support lie in the mid $80s to low $90s.
- Applied Materials ([AMAT]) – Reports 8/13 – AMAT fell to a 4 for 5’er in early July after seeing the market RS chart reverse down into Os. After pulling back to the mid $400s in mid-July, AMAT has rebounded to return to a buy signal at $544. From here, a move above $560 would count as a second buy signal. Note resistance in the $576 to $584 range. Initial support lies at $512 and $496, while the July chart low sits at $40.
Click here to download MP3
Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 8/10/2026. Access the the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page.
- U.S. equity and international equities were positive Friday (8/7). Most indices continue to maintain near recent rally highs on their charts achieved last week.
- Gold (GC/) and crude oil (CL/) were both positive Friday (8/7) with gold climbing above 4350 on its long-term 50 point per box chart and crude reversing back into a column of Xs on the default point and figure chart.
- Week-over-week, participation has improved with the average bullish percent reading for the NDW 40 sectors climbing from 40% to 47%, leading to a slight shift to the right of the distribution curve of the sectors. Technology sectors like semiconductors (^BPSEMI) and computers (^BPCOMP) were notable highlights, while steel (^BPSTEE) and aerospace (^BPAERO) seeing increases in stocks maintaining buy signals.
- Consumer Inflation (CPI) reports on Wednesday and will be closely watched by Fed officials for potential pathways interest rates.
- Earnings take a bit of a breather this week, but notable names reporting have support and resistance levels highlighted below.
- Simon Property Group (SPG) – Reports 8/10 – SPG has been a 5 for 5’er since April this year and capped off July’s trading reaching an all-time chart high at $236. August’s trading has seen the stock pullback to the middle of the 10-week trading band with support at $216 close by. Prior resistance at $204 may be seen as additional support, while the bullish support line sits at $184.
- Super Micro Computer (SMCI) – Reports 8/11 – SMCI fell to a 2 for 5’er after shifting into a negative trend in early July. The stock has rebounded from those near-term lows back above $30. From here, a move above $33 would count as a second buy signal and match the middle of the 10-week trading band. Note resistance at $36 and the bearish resistance line at $42. Initial support lies in the mid $20s, while additional can be found around the $20 level, the stock’s 2026 chart lows.
- Cisco Systems (CSCO) – Reports 8/12 – CSCO has been a 5 for 5’er since February this year. After reaching highs at $130 in early June, the stock pulled back through much of July before seeing the chart return to a buy signal at $122 during last week’s trading. Initial support lies at $108, while the next levels of support lie in the mid $80s to low $90s.
- Applied Materials (AMAT) – Reports 8/13 – AMAT fell to a 4 for 5’er in early July after seeing the market RS chart reverse down into Os. After pulling back to the mid $400s in mid-July, AMAT has rebounded to return to a buy signal at $544. From here, a move above $560 would count as a second buy signal. Note resistance in the $576 to $584 range. Initial support lies at $512 and $496, while the July chart low sits at $40.

We are saddened by the passing of Watson Wright, co-founder of Dorsey, Wright & Associates. Alongside Tom Dorsey, Watson helped build the foundation of the firm that would become today's Nasdaq Dorsey Wright.
While many knew Watson for his contributions to the business, those who had the privilege of knowing him personally will remember so much more. Watson loved golf and sports, and perhaps even more than playing them, he loved talking about them. Conversations with Watson were rarely brief, always engaging, and often filled with stories, insights, and plenty of laughter.
He had a booming voice, a larger-than-life presence, unmistakable laugh and a remarkable ability to make everyone feel welcome. Watson truly never met a stranger. Whether you were a longtime friend, a client, or someone he had just met, he took a genuine interest in your life and made you feel like you mattered. Add to that his quick wit and love of cracking jokes, and it is easy to understand why so many people were drawn to him.
The firm Watson helped create has grown tremendously over the years, but the relationships, character, and sense of community he valued remain an important part of our culture today. His impact extends well beyond the business itself and lives on through the countless colleagues, clients, and friends whose lives he touched.
We extend our deepest condolences to Watson's family and friends. He will be greatly missed, fondly remembered, and forever a part of the Dorsey Wright story.
Investors should be well aware of how quickly markets change, but the last couple weeks have been even faster than usual. Near the end of last month, the Technology Select Sector SPDR fund (XLK) was within 4% of moving into a bear market while semiconductors were faring even worse. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell as much as 25% from its highs, triggering four consecutive sell signals. Weaknesses across the technology sector resulted in it losing the top spot in DALI, falling behind both industrials and healthcare.
However, the group remained an overweight area, maintaining its position among the top three in DALI. Since then, the group has rebounded, with technology putting together one of its strongest weeks in recent years. XLK rose 11.5% over five trading days (7/29 to 8/5), which was the best one-week span for technology since the market rallied off the Tariff Tantrum bottom last year. As a result, there have been several notable relative strength developments. Even more encouragingly, recent movement has been driven by the majority of names in the sector, not just the largest constituents. The Invesco S&P Equal Weight Technology ETF (RSPT), representing the average technology stock, is up double digits off of its recent lows. So far in 2026, RSPT is outperforming XLK by around 12% (through 8/7), meaning that the technology sector has been held back by its largest names this year—the opposite of the last few years.

Since the start of this bull market on October 12th of 2022, XLK has gained a cumulative 222.5%. Despite that, the Bullish Percent for Technology (^BPECTECH) has been at an average of 38.7% over that span. More recently, the sector’s participation reading fell below 28% with the sell-off but has since reversed back into a column of Xs at levels around 45%. Historically, that’s been a constructive area for the sector, as XLK averages a 15.4% one-year return when trading in Xs between 40% and 60%.

Additionally, the rebound in semiconductor stocks has been even more notable. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) recently moved back to a buy signal at $570, ending its streak of four consecutive sell signals. The ETF regained near-term market RS, moving back into a column of Xs versus the S&P 500 Equal Weight (SPXEWI). SMH now holds a solid fund score of 4.51, which is up 0.87 points from its lows during the last couple weeks. While the group now faces significant resistance until its previous all-time highs, the breakout is certainly encouraging, especially when considering the group’s participation readings.

The Bullish Percent for Semiconductors (^BPECSEMI) entered washout territory at 8% but has since exploded higher to levels above 50%, signaling that the majority of semi stocks are back on buy signals. Reversals from below 10% are typically one of the most bullish moves investors can see from our indicators, but does that extend to the semiconductors group? There have been 11 other reversals from below 8% since the inception of the SMH fund. While several of those instances occurred during the dot-com bubble and 2022, the typical performance following those instances has still been positive. SMH averaged a one-year return of 17.5% and a median return of 23%, highlighting the strong magnitude of upside seen during non-bear markets. The analog to the dot-com bubble is present, with an eventual bear market remaining a possibility, but the base scenario from historical instances suggests that technology and semiconductors have further room to run.

Average Level
15.45
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
| AGG | iShares US Core Bond ETF |
| USO | United States Oil Fund |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
| DVY | iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF |
| DX/Y | NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
| FXE | Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust |
| GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust |
| HYG | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF |
| ICF | iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF |
| IEF | iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF |
| LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF |
| IJH | iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund |
| ONEQ | Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust |
| RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF |
| SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF |
| IJR | iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust |
| TLT | iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF |
| GCC | WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund |
| VOOG | Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF |
| VOOV | Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
| XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF |
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Banks | $118.70 | 100s | 165 | 90 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>3.0, 2.9% yield, Earn. 8/27 |
| HEI | Heico Corporation | Aerospace Airline | $367.58 | 330s - 350s | 480 | 284 | 4 for 5'er, top third of AERO sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, bullish triangle, buy on pullback, good R-R, Earn. 8/25 |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree, Inc. | Retailing | $130.90 | hi 110s - 120s | 186 | 104 | 4 for 5'er, top half RETA sector matrix, spread quad top, buy on pullback R-R>2.5, Earn. 8/27 |
| VSXY | Victoria's Secret & Company | Retailing | $98.54 | 81 - 87 | 109 | 71 | 5 for 5'er, 3rd in Retailing matrix, pos. trend, 2nd buy on 7/20, ATH on 7/21, Earn. 8/26 |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | Banks | $70.30 | mid-to-hi 60s | 87 | 55 | 4 for 5'er, top half of favored BANK sector matrix, new RS buy signal, buy on pullback, R-R~2.0, 2.5% yield |
| FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Real Estate | $63.63 | mid-to-hi 60s | 86 | 59 | 4 for 5'er, top 25% of REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread sextuple top, R-R>2.0, 2.9% yield |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | Insurance | $350.31 | mid 340s - mid 360s | 456 | 308 | 4 for 5'er, pos. trend since 2023, LT Mkt RS buy since May '24, Reward to Risk > 4. |
| BFH | Bread Financial Holdings Inc. | Business Products | $108.32 | 100 - 110 | 129 | 89 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of favored BUSI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | Banks | $57.09 | mid to upper 50s | 84 | 46 | 4 for 5'er since March '24, pos. LT Peer RS since March '09, LT pos. trend since Dec. '23. |
| HIG | Hartford Insurance Group Inc/The | Insurance | $143.28 | hi 130s - 140s | 164 | 126 | 5 for 5'er, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish catapult, good R-R, 1.65% yield |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares Inc | Banks | $172.54 | mid 160s - mid 170s | 196 | 148 | 5 for 5'er, top third of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, shakeout to triple top |
| AER | AerCap Holdings NV | Aerospace Airline | $151.72 | hi 140s - mid 150s | 184 | 130 | 5 for 5'er, Rev. in Xs on Peer RS 7/29, LT pos. Peer and Mkt RS, Pos. trend since Apr. '25. |
| BNY | Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | Banks | $157.61 | low 150s to 160 | 192 | 130 | 5 for 5'er since Sept. '24, top 10% of Banks matrix, LT peer and mkt RS, Pos. trend since Nov. '23. |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporation | Aerospace Airline | $392.05 | 380s - low 390s | 424 | 340 | 4 for 5'er, Pos. ST Peer RS, Pos. LT & ST Mkt RS, Pos. trend and buy signal since June, ATH 7/29. |
| MRK | Merck & Co., Inc. | Drugs | $128.58 | 122 - mid 130s | 168 | 106 | 5 TA rating, top half of drugs sector RS matrix, recent bullish triangle, buy-on-pullback |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | Restaurants | $207.92 | 190s - 200s | 262 | 172 | 5 for 5'er, top half of favored REST sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, good R-R, 1.4% yield |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|
Follow-Up Comments
| Comment | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|||||||
NDW Spotlight Stock
TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. R ($208.06) - Restaurants - TXRH is a 5 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the favored restaurants sector matrix and has been on peer and market RS buy signals since 2018 and 2020, respectively. On its default chart, TXRH has completed three consecutive buy signals, most recently breaking a double top at $204. Long exposure may be added in the $190s to $200s and we will set our initial stop at $172, which would take out two levels of support on TXRH's chart and violate its trend line. We will use the bullish price objective, $262, as our target price. TXRH also carries a 1.4% yield.
| 212.00 | 8 | 212.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 208.00 | X | 208.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 204.00 | X | 204.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 200.00 | X | X | 200.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 198.00 | X | O | X | 198.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 196.00 | X | X | O | X | 196.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 194.00 | X | O | X | O | X | 194.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 192.00 | X | O | X | O | X | 192.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 190.00 | • | X | 7 | X | O | 190.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 188.00 | O | • | X | O | X | Mid | 188.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 186.00 | O | • | • | X | O | X | 186.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 184.00 | O | X | • | X | X | • | X | O | X | 184.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 182.00 | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | 182.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| 180.00 | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | O | • | X | 180.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 178.00 | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | 6 | X | 178.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 176.00 | O | X | 3 | • | X | O | X | O | X | 176.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 174.00 | O | O | X | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | 174.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 172.00 | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | O | X | • | 172.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| 170.00 | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | X | • | 170.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| 168.00 | O | X | O | O | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | • | 168.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 166.00 | O | O | X | X | O | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | • | 166.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 164.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | O | • | 164.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 162.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | • | X | O | X | • | 162.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 160.00 | O | 4 | X | O | O | X | O | X | • | O | • | 160.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| 158.00 | O | O | X | O | X | • | • | 158.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 156.00 | 5 | X | O | • | Bot | 156.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 154.00 | O | • | • | 154.00 |
| CRM Salesforce Inc. ($197.51) - Software - Shares of CRM broke a double top at $196 for its fourth consecutive buy signal. The stock has rebounded off its lows recently, regaining near-term strength and moving back into a negative trend, gaining two technical attributes. However, the 2 for 5'er still lacks peer and long-term market strength, keeping it in sell territory for now. That said, the name is one to watch for sustained improvement. |
| DAR Darling Ingredients Inc. ($63.22) - Food Beverages/Soap - DAR reversed back up and completed a double top break at $63. The 4 for 5'er moved up from a 3 last month after reversing back into Xs against its peers. Additionally, the stock ranks in the top half of the Food Beverages/Soap sector matrix. Long exposure can be made here. Initial strong support is at $58, with additional support at $51. |
| FTI TechnipFMC PLC ($74.01) - Oil Service - FTI returned to a buy signal Monday when it broke a double top at $73. Monday's move adds evidence to an already positive outlook as FTI is a 4 for 5'er. From here, the next level of overhead resistance sits at $77, a level from which FTI has reversed down twice since April. Meanwhile, support can now be found at $68. |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation ($58.44) - Oil - OXY gave an initial buy signal and returned to a positive trend Monday when it broke a double top at $58, where it now sits against resistance. The positive trend change will promote OXY to an acceptable 3 for 5'er. From here, support sits at $54. |
| TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. ($252.74) - Leisure - TTWO broke a double top at $252 for a seventh buy signal. The stock is a 4 for 5'er that has maintained long-term relative strength against the market since May 2023 and peer group since November 2023. Okay to consider here on the breakout. Note the stock's prior chart high at $264. Initial support lies at $232, the bullish support line, while additional resides at $208. |
| WFRD Weatherford International Plc ($92.29) - Oil Service - WFRD moved to a buy signal and a positive trend Monday when it broke a quadruple top at $92. The outlook for the stock remains negative, however, as even with the positive trend change WFRD is a unfavorable 2 for 5'er. From here, the next level of overhead resistance sits at $102. |
| XOM ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. ($159.50) - Oil - XOM returned to a buy signal Monday when it broke a triple top at $160. Monday's move adds to an already positive technical picture as XOM is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of overhead resistance sits at $162. Meanwhile, support can be found at $150. |
The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.
Call
Apollo Global Management (APO) Nov 20 $130 Call

| Additional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 19.35% |
| Delta | 57.6 |
| Gamma | 1.72 |
| Implied Volatility | 36.27% |
| Expiry Date | 102 |
| Earnings Date | 11/3/2026 |
Put
S&P Global Inc (SPGI) Nov 20 $420 Put

| Additional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 14.63% |
| Delta | -51.79 |
| Gamma | 0.83 |
| Implied Volatility | 34.21% |
| Expiry Date | 102 |
| Earnings Date | 10/29/2026 |
Income (Short Put)
Intel Corporation (INTC) Sept 11 $88 Short Put

| Additional Data: | |
| Ann. Static Return | 46.83% |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 17.19 |
| Delta | 25.09 |
| Gamma | -1.53 |
| Implied Volatility | 69.85% |
| Expiry Date | 32 |
| Earnings Date | 10/22/2026 |