Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jul 07, 2026
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Q1 Best and Worst Performing ETFs

As we do each quarter, we will take today’s report to look across different asset classes and focus on the best and worst performing funds for the second quarter.

Morning Pulse

NDW Morning Pulse - July 7, 2026

NDW Morning Pulse – July 7, 2026.

  • Markets pushed higher to start the week, with the S&P 500 rising 0.72% on Monday. Meanwhile, the "average stock," represented by the S&P 500 equal weight index, was relatively flat. Still, SPX remains on a sell signal, while SPXEWI completed its fourth consecutive buy signal last week.  
  • Technology was one of the day’s biggest winners, seeing the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) rise 1.67%. Technology continues to sit at the top of DALI's sector rankings, but XLK lost its near-term market relative strength last week.
  • Cryptocurrencies also lifted off on Monday, with the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) rising 3.58%, leaving the fund 10% above its late-June lows. That said, Bitcoin continues to lack long-term strength, demonstrated by IBIT’s weak fund score of just 0.18.
  • Financials continued their recent hot streak, with banks leading the group higher. The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) rose 1.92% on the day, and improvement within the subgroup has caused KBWB's fund score to increase to 5.70. The broader financials sector also climbed to fourth in DALI's rankings near the end of Q1. 
  • Commercial airlines have quietly been among the market’s best-performing areas, and Monday saw the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) rise another 0.42%. With fuel prices starting to creep down and strength returning, its fund score is also up to a near-perfect 5.82. 

Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 7/7/2026. Access the the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page. 

  • Markets pushed higher to start the week, with the S&P 500 rising 0.72% on Monday. Meanwhile, the "average stock," represented by the S&P 500 equal weight index, was relatively flat. Still, SPX remains on a sell signal, while SPXEWI completed its fourth consecutive buy signal last week.  
  • Technology was one of the day’s biggest winners, seeing the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) rise 1.67%. Technology continues to sit at the top of DALI's sector rankings, but XLK lost its near-term market relative strength last week.
  • Cryptocurrencies also lifted off on Monday, with the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) rising 3.58%, leaving the fund 10% above its late-June lows. That said, Bitcoin continues to lack long-term strength, demonstrated by IBIT’s weak fund score of just 0.18.
  • Financials continued their recent hot streak, with banks leading the group higher. The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) rose 1.92% on the day, and improvement within the subgroup has caused KBWB's fund score to increase to 5.70. The broader financials sector also climbed to fourth in DALI's rankings near the end of Q1. 
  • Commercial airlines have quietly been among the market’s best-performing areas, and Monday saw the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) rise another 0.42%. With fuel prices starting to creep down and strength returning, its fund score is also up to a near-perfect 5.82. 

As we do each quarter, we will take today’s report to look across different asset classes and focus on the best- and worst-performing funds for the second quarter and year as a whole. Note, during our screen, we filtered out leveraged and inverse funds while implementing minimum volume and AUM requirements to focus solely on those funds most likely to come across your desk. We also did our best to avoid similar kinds of funds, when possible (to avoid the entirety of our tables being taken up by South Korea, for example), but there will likely be similar themes during our analysis.

We will start broadly by peering across all the different asset groups at once. As you might expect, our top ten performers were filled with technology names. Outside of those groups, other international names (South Korea and Taiwan) earned spots as top performers. On the flip side, cryptocurrency, precious metals, and India were among the worst performers.

Speaking of international options, our second table dives underneath the hood of that group specifically. Several global options flexed their muscles, with a few countries showing particularly constructive quarters. Strong performers include South Korea, Taiwan, and broad emerging markets. China and India were major detractors from a pure performance perspective for the year, while Brazil showed weakness in the second quarter.

The following tables focus on individual sectors and commodities, respectively. For the sectors, technology and AI-focused funds saw the sharpest improvement in Q2 and during the first half of 2026. Energy and miners showed the sharpest weakness in Q2. The worst performers in the first half were more mixed, with some software names alongside miners.

Among commodities, carbon futures funds and agriculture showed strength in the second quarter, while gasoline and broad commodities showing most of the strength for the first half. Precious metals were the major detractor over the quarterly and yearly numbers.

Our last set of tables below detail performance trends for the broader fixed income and currency markets. While fixed income as a whole remains a laggard within our longer-term rankings, there were points of strength within the asset class. Convertibles continue to be the strongest segment of fixed income from a relative strength perspective, remaining at the top in terms of performance. Municipals also showed some strength. Meanwhile, international bond funds showed weakness.

Across the currency space, crypto continues to see some of the most downside among any areas of the market. In terms of more traditional currencies, the US Dollar saw some improvement, with other some other specific currencies ending in the black. 

 

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

4.07

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
         
Buy signalXLG
           
         
Buy signalief
Buy signalicf
         
         
Buy signalagg
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalSPY
Buy signaliwm
     
         
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalefa
Buy signaldx/y
     
   
Sell signalgsg
Sell signalfxe
 
Sell signallqd
Buy signalVOOG
Buy signalIJH
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalrsp
   
 
Sell signaluso
Buy signalgcc
Sell signalgld
Sell signalshy
Buy signalhyg
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalijr
Buy signaldia
   
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
GRMN Garmin Ltd. Leisure $245.22 mid 230s - mid 260s 364 196 5 TA rating, LT pos trend and mkt RS buy, top 33% of LEIS sector matrix, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 7/29
IBOC International Bancshares Corporation Banks $76.11 low-to-mid 70s 93 63 4 for 5'er, favored BANK sector, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R~2.0, 1.95% yield
LYV Live Nation Entertainment Inc. Leisure $183.29 low 160s to mid 170s 202 142 4 for 5'er; Pos. Trend; Top Half of Leisure Matrix; Within one box of ATH, Earn. 8/6
MO Altria Group Inc. Food Beverages/Soap $71.88 low-to-mid 70s 91 62 4 for 5'er, top quartile of FOOD sector matrix, one box from RS buy, bullish triangle, 5.9% yield, Earn. 7/30
CTRE CareTrust REIT Inc Real Estate $41.39 $38 - $43 62.50 34 5/5'er since Apr. '25, top quintile of Real Estate Matrix, pos. trend and buy signal since Jul. '23.
BTI British American Tobacco Sp-Adr (United Kingdom) ADR Food Beverages/Soap $61.46 hi 50s - low 60s 92 51 4 for 5'er, top 25% of FOOD sector matrix, one box from mkt RS buy, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0, 5.3% yield, Earn. 7/30
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $158.01 mid 140 to mid 150 228 122 5 for 5'er, top third of Media Matrix, pos. trend, Reward-Risk > 11, current yield > 4%.
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Banks $115.36 100s 165 90 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>3.0, 2.9% yield
EBAY eBay Inc. Retailing $113.67 mid 100s - low 110s 161 93 5 for 5'er, top 10% of RETA sector matrix, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0, Earn.. 7/29
F Ford Motor Company Autos and Parts $13.83 14.50 - 16 27 12.50 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, RS buy signal, spread triple top, R-R~5, 3.9% yield, Earn. 7/28
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $339.41 low 320 - low 340 452 284 5 for 5'er since Nov. '23, top half of Leisure sector matrix, pos. trend since Nov. '23, buy since April, Earn. 7/28
MFC Manulife Financial Corporation Insurance $41.36 37 - 42 63 32 5 for 5'er since 1/26, top quintile of Insurance matrix, 3rd buy and ATH on 6/16.
AVBP ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Biomedics/Genetics $34.48 low 30s 55 25 5 for 5'er, top third of Biotech matrix, pos. L-T Peer and Mkt RS, pos. trend.
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $120.47 hi 110s - low 120s 136 104 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, spread triple top, 2.1% yield, Earn. 8/6
BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (Belgium) ADR Food Beverages/Soap $79.38 low to mid 80s 109 67 4 for 5'er, top decile of Food/Bev. matrix, pos. trend since Apr. '25, one box from Mkt RS buy, Earnings on 7/30.
AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Autos and Parts $56.33 low-to-mid 60s 80 54 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, spread quad top, R-R~2.0, 1.8% yield
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. Aerospace Airline $277.91 $260s - hi $270s 324 220 5 for 5'er and pos. trend since Aug. '22, L-T pos. peer and mkt RS, buy signal since April, R-R > 4.
RL Ralph Lauren Textiles/Apparel $396.32 380s - 390s 540 336 5 for 5'er, top third of TEXT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread quad top, R-R>2.0, Earn. 8/6
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd Leisure $100.55 hi 90s to 100 118 87 4 for 5'er, top 20% of Leisure matrix, buy on pullback, R-R > 3.

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
JCI Johnson Controls International PLC Building $142.72 upper 130s to lower 150s 182 124 JCI has fallen to a sell signal. OK to hold here. Maintain $124 stop. Earn. 7/28

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

VIK Viking Holdings Ltd ($99.61) - Leisure - VIK has been at least a 3 technical attribute stock for more than 12 months and possessed a 4 TA rating since April of this year. Along with superior long-term market relative strength, the stock shows positive near-term strength against the market and its peer group, while ranking within the top quintile of the Leisure sector matrix. On the trend chart, VIK has maintained a positive trend since April and a buy signal since May. VIK closed out June by giving a third buy signal at $102 as shares rallied to a new chart high at $104. Prices have pulled back from those highs to kick off July, bringing the stock to within an actionable range. Okay to consider in the upper $90s to $100 range. The bullish price objective of $118 will serve as the price target, giving the stock a reward to risk ratio greater than 3. The initial stop loss point will be set for $87, which would violate the bullish support line and support from June.

 
104.00                                                 X       104.00
102.00                                                 X O     102.00
100.00                                             X   X O     100.00
99.00                                             X O X 7     99.00
98.00                                             X O X       98.00
97.00                                             X O X       97.00
96.00                                             X O         96.00
95.00                                             X           95.00
94.00                                             X           94.00
93.00                                     X       X           93.00
92.00                             X       X O     X           92.00
91.00                             X O     X O X   X           91.00
90.00                             X O     X 6 X O X         Mid 90.00
89.00                             X O     X O X O X           89.00
88.00                             X O     X O   O           88.00
87.00                 X           X O     X                 87.00
86.00                 X O     X   X O X   X                 86.00
85.00                 X O     X O X O X O X                 85.00
84.00                 X O     X O X O X O X                 84.00
83.00                 X O     X O X O   O X                 83.00
82.00                 X O X   X O X     O X                 82.00
81.00                 X O X O X O X     O                   81.00
80.00             X   X O X O X O                         80.00
79.00             X O X O X 5                               79.00
78.00             X O X O                                   78.00
77.00         X   X O X                                     77.00
76.00       X O X O X                                     76.00
75.00     X X O X O                                       75.00
74.00     X O 4 O X                                         74.00
73.00 X   X O X O X                                         73.00
72.00 X O X O X O X                                         72.00
71.00 X O X O X O X                                       Bot 71.00
70.00 X O O X O                                           70.00
69.00 X   O                                             69.00

 

 

BBY Best Buy Co., Inc. ($78.06) - Retailing - BBY broke a double top at $79 as shares rallied above $80, marking a fourth buy signal since May this year. The stock has been a 3 for 5'er since May and currently ranks within the top quartile of the Retailing sector matrix. From here, note resistance in the lower $80s. Initial support lies in the mid to lower $70s, while the bullish support line sits at $64.
DAL Delta Air Lines Inc. ($88.85) - Aerospace Airline - DAL broke a double bottom at $91 to initiate a shakeout pattern as shares fell to $89. DAL maintains a 5 technical attribute rating and currently ranks 2nd (out of 63) within the Aerospace Airlines sector matrix. The action point for the shakeout pattern would occur upon a reversal back into Xs - currently at $92 - while the pattern would be complete upon the triple top break at $96. Initial support now resides at $82, while additional can be foudn in the mid $70s.
KO The Coca-Cola Company ($84.13) - Food Beverages/Soap - KO inched higher to complete a double top break at $85, marking its fifth consecutive buy signal and a new all-time high. Still, the stock is rated a hold with its 3/5 technical attribute score. Continue to monitor for further technical improvement. Initial support is at $79, with additional support at $77.
LRCX Lam Research Corporation ($323.05) - Semiconductors - Like most other semiconductors companies, LRCX plummeted on Tuesday, moving to its second consecutive sell signal. Today's action also saw LRCX lose its near-term market relative strength, bringing it down to a 4 for 5'er. Despite recent selloff, LRCX continues to trade in a positive trend while maintaining long-term relative strength, making it one to hold onto for now. From here, initial support lies at $304 then $264.
MTRN Materion Corp. ($247.20) - Chemicals - MTRN gave an initial sell signal Tuesday when it broke a triple bottom at $256. The outlook for the stock remains decidedly positive as MTRN is a 5 for 5'er that ranks first out of 46 names in the chemicals sector matrix. From here, the next level of support sits at $220.
MU Micron Technology, Inc. ($921.00) - Semiconductors - MU continued its decline on Tuesday, moving to its second consecutive sell signal. Action earlier in July saw MU lose its near-term market relative strength, taking it down to a 4 for 5'er. Despite its recent selloff, the stock's long-term picture continues to hold up, and those with exposure should continue holding on for now. From here, initial support lies from $896 to $880, while previous resistance in the low $800s could also serve as future support. Investors should watch for further volatility with this name.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation ($196.51) - Semiconductors - NVDA broke a double bottom at $192 for its third consecutive sell signal. The 2 for 5'er lost its near-term relative strength at the end of June, bringing it down into sell territory. The stock now sits right above its bullish support line at $188, below which it would move back into a negative trend. Despite being such a big name, those with exposure to the stock could look to sell it at current levels. From here, initial support lies at $190/.

The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.


Call

Merck & Co Inc (MRK) Oct 16 $125 Call


Put

Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd (AEM) Oct 16 $170 Put


Income (Short Put)

CVS Health Corp (CVS) Aug 7 $97 Short Put

Additional Data:  
Ann. Static Return 28.65%
Bid/Ask Spread 28.33%
Delta 25.7
Gamma -2.58
Implied Volatility 39.04%
Expiry Date 31
Earnings Date 8/5/2026

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