Today's featured stock is Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF).
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCI | Donaldson Co Inc | Waste Management | $85.27 | 80 - 84 | 92 | 67 | 3/5'er; top 3rd of sector matrix; ATHs 10/21; R-R > 2, Earn. 12/4 |
| SF | Stifel Financial Corp | Wall Street | $118.62 | 110s | 140 | 92 | 4 for 5'er, top half of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, quad top break, 1.6% yield |
| CMC | Commercial Metals Corporation | Steel/Iron | $57.65 | hi 50s - low 60s | 79 | 49 | 4 for 5'er, favored STEE sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip, 1.2% yield |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | Machinery and Tools | $243.79 | mid 240s - ow 260s | 316 | 208 | 5 for 5'er, top half of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip |
| UBS | UBS AG (Switzerland) ADR | Banks | $38.20 | mid-hi 30s | 65 | 30 | 5 TA rating, top 20% of BANK sector RS matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback, R-R > 3, yield > 2% |
| BAC | Bank of America | Banks | $52.02 | 49 - 54 | 67 | 44 | 4 for 5'er, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bullish catapult, 2.1% yield |
| SHEL | Shell PLC Sponsored ADR | Oil | $73.67 | 72 - hi 70s | 87 | 65 | 4 TA rating, top 25% of OIL sector, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, yield > 3% |
| CME | CME Group, Inc. | Wall Street | $272.49 | 260s - 270s | 312 | 224 | 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield |
| AFL | AFLAC Incorporated | Insurance | $109.40 | 108 - 115 | 143 | 95 | 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield |
| GFI | Gold Fields Limited (South Africa) ADR | Precious Metals | $40.57 | 40 - 44 | 58 | 35 | 4 for 5'er, top third of PREC sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, good R-R, 1.8% yield |
| FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | Oil Service | $43.96 | hi 30s - mid 40s | 60 | 34 | 5 TA rating, top 50% of OILS sector matrix, LT RS buy and pos trend, consec buy signals |
| GVA | Granite Construction Inc | Building | $102.75 | hi 90s - mid 100s | 157 | 87 | 5 for 5'er, top third of BUIL sector matrix, buy on pullback, R-R>3.0 |
| GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation | Building | $11.82 | 11.50 - 12.50 | 17 | 10 | 5 for 5'er, top third of BUIL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread quad top, R-R>2.0 |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group | Wall Street | $253.85 | hi 230s - lo 260s | 298 | 198 | 5 TA rating, top of WALL sector matrix, consec buy signals, pos wkly mom, buy-on-pullback |
| SGI | Somnigroup International Inc | Household Goods | $84.67 | 80s | 125 | 69 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of HOUS sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, buy on pullback, good R-R |
| CINF | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | Insurance | $161.61 | mid 150s - hi 160s | 206 | 134 | 4 TA rating, top 33% of INSU sector matrix, LT mkt RS buy, yield > 2%, pos momentum, buy-on-pullback |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
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Removed Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBY | Best Buy Co., Inc. | Retailing | $74.38 | 70s | 111 | 63 | Removed for earnings (11/25). |
Follow-Up Comments
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NDW Spotlight Stock
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation ($163.66) R - Insurance - CINF has a 4 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top third of the insurance sector RS matrix. The stock has maintained an RS buy signal against the market since 2021 and been in a positive trend since April. Weekly and monthly momentum each recently flipped positive, suggesting the potential for further upside from here. The technical picture is positive and continues to improve. Note that the stock also has a yield north of 2%. CINF retracted from all-time highs over the past week, offering a more opportune entry point for potential long investors. Exposure can be considered in the mid-$150s to upper $160s. Our initial stop will be positioned at $134, which would violate multiple support levels and move the stock to a negative trend. The bullish price objective of $206 will serve as our price target.
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| 168.00 | X | 168.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 166.00 | X | X | O | 166.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 164.00 | X | O | X | O | 164.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 162.00 | • | X | O | X | O | 162.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 160.00 | X | • | A | O | X | 160.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 158.00 | X | O | • | 9 | O | X | X | Mid | 158.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 156.00 | X | O | • | X | X | O | X | O | B | 156.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 154.00 | X | C | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 154.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 152.00 | X | O | • | • | 6 | X | O | X | O | O | X | • | 152.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 150.00 | X | O | X | • | • | X | X | O | 7 | O | X | O | • | 150.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 148.00 | X | O | 3 | O | X | • | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | • | • | 148.00 | |||||||||||||
| 146.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | O | X | 8 | X | • | 146.00 | |||||||||||||
| 144.00 | X | O | X | X | X | O | X | O | • | X | X | O | O | O | • | 144.00 | |||||||||||||
| 142.00 | X | O | X | O | 2 | O | X | O | X | 4 | X | O | 5 | • | 142.00 | ||||||||||||||
| 140.00 | X | 1 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | • | Bot | 140.00 | |||||||||||||
| 138.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | O | X | O | X | • | 138.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 136.00 | O | X | O | O | X | O | X | O | • | 136.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 134.00 | O | O | • | O | X | X | • | 134.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 132.00 | • | O | X | O | X | • | 132.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 130.00 | • | O | X | O | X | • | 130.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 128.00 | • | O | X | O | • | 128.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 126.00 | • | O | X | • | 126.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124.00 | • | O | • | 124.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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