Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Nov 11, 2025
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

Point & Figure Pulse

Following last week’s trading a notable change occurred within the NDW International Equity Rankings within DALI as Latin America moved to 3rd and Europe Developed fell to 4th (out of six international regions).

'Tis the Season for Tax Loss Harvesting

It is probably a safe assumption that your clients prefer to pay less in taxes whenever possible. Tax loss harvesting is a simple portfolio strategy that can help work toward that goal.

Weekly Video

Weekly Rundown Video – Nov 5, 2025

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Weekly rundown with NDW analyst team covering all major asset classes.

Point & Figure Pulse

by David Clark

Following last week’s trading a notable change occurred within the NDW International Equity Rankings within DALI as Latin America moved to 3rd and Europe Developed fell to 4th (out of six international regions). For European Developed, it marks an “end of an era” of sorts, as the group has fallen out of the top half of the DALI International rankings for the first time since early 2023. European Emerging and Africa Mideast have been the top two ranked international groups since September this year, with Europe Emerging having sustained to number 1 spot since late 2022. The newcomer to the top half of the DALI International rankings, Latin America, makes its appearance for the first time since August 2024. Action over the past week brought the Latin American group from 5th to 3rd on notable performance from countries like Columbia, Chile, and Brazil.

As an example of the recent positive performance for the broad Latin region, below is the chart of the iShares S&P 40 Latin America ETF (ILF). On the point and figure trend chart, ILF has maintained a buy signal and a positive trend since April of this year. Action at the end of October brought about a third buy signal at $29.50, while November’s trading brought the ETF to a new multi-year high at $30.50. This clears resistance in the $29 - $30 range that had been in place since mid-2021 and brings the chart to its highest level since early 2020. ILF now possesses its highest fund score since early 2024 at 4.79, and the fund has gained 12% during the last 30-day period and 3.6% in November so far. ILF currently maintains an overbought position near the top of the 10-week trading band, so exposure would be better considered on a pullback to the $29 range with initial support at $27.50.

While it may appear that Latin America’s ascension came solely from weakness within European Developed, this isn’t necessarily this case. Many European Developed countries continue to maintain positive technical pictures, so this isn’t a call to step away from exposure there as much as it is a sign there are more options for diversification in international equities with the improvement of Latin America that has outpaced European equities in the near-term. This rally within Latin America and subsequent rise in rank places an overweight toward emerging market regions within the DALI International Equity rankings.

As the end of the calendar year approaches, so too do discussions regarding any unrealized gains or losses of substance sitting within taxable accounts. It is probably a safe assumption that your clients prefer to pay less in taxes whenever possible, and there are a few simple strategies that can be applied within the portfolio to help in that endeavor. "Tax Loss Harvesting" is among them, and while it is not exactly an advanced accounting strategy, it is an effective way to both offset gains and rid the portfolio of laggard positions before the calendar flips to 2025.

The S&P 500 (SPX) is up more than 16% for the year (through 11/10), so there are fewer stocks deep in the red than in years past. However, there are still 121 low attribute stocks in the S&P 500 that are down more than 10% year-to-date, so those looking to offset gains should be able to find viable tax loss harvesting candidates.

Losses from these positions may be used to offset some of the gains already taken in the calendar year or can be "carried forward" in many cases. The harvesting of losses is a straightforward approach, which can be combined with the practical portfolio review measure of weeding out technically weak holdings. The wash sale regulation says that if you repurchase an asset that you’ve sold for a loss within 30 days, you aren’t allowed to take a deduction for the loss. So, you’ll only want to sell stocks that you believe are unlikely to recover over the short term. After all, if you sell a stock that you’re carrying at a 5% loss and it then rallies 5% over the next month, you’re ultimately worse off, even with the tax deduction. This is one of the reasons why our list includes only technically weak stocks and not every stock that’s in the red for the year. We are not CPAs and this is not tax advice; if you have any questions about wash sale regulations or any other tax implications of this strategy, you should seek advice from a licensed accountant.

Our list of tax loss harvesting candidates is shown below. We wanted to highlight stocks that are widely owned, so we’ve used the S&P 500 as a starting point. Because we only want to sell technically weak stocks, we have filtered our screen to include only stocks that have technical attribute ratings of 0, 1, or 2. From that group, we identified 121 individual names that are down -10% or more on a year-to-date basis (through 11/10). Below the table, we've highlighted a couple of individual names that are ripe for potential loss harvesting. Click here to access the shared watchlist of the Candidates.


Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE)

Adobe moved lower last week to break a double bottom, which also moved the stock into a negative trend. This stock has been in a long-term decline since its rally high in early 2024. While we saw a few attempts at technical improvement earlier this year, ADBE was unable to push north of the upper bound of its consolidation range in the $360s. We also see that the stock sits in the bottom half of the unfavored software sector RS matrix and ranks in the bottom decile of the Top 500 Large Cap matrix. The technical picture is negative and deteriorating. While we have seen substantial weakness, the stock is not oversold, allowing current holders the opportunity to exit on this trend violation. Note that earnings are expected on 12/10.

Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)

Lululemon has had a rough year. The stock entered the year on a string of consecutive buy signals and seemed poised to restest all-time highs in the low $500s. By the end of the first quarter, the stock reversed course, giving a string of consecutive sell signals and moving into a negative trend. Fast forward six months and we now see that LULU has been cut in half in 2025 and has lost all its technical attributes. The stock also sits in the bottom quintile of the retailing sector RS matrix and is third to last in the Top 500 Large Cap matrix. The past few weeks have seen LULU consolidate near the middle of its trading band in the $160-170 range, offering an exit opportunity for those that still maintain exposure. Further support can be seen in the $162-160 range, while overhead resistance can be seen at $186.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

13.28

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
         
Buy signalgcc
           
         
Buy signalagg
           
         
Buy signalief
   
Sell signaldx/y
     
         
Sell signalUSO
   
Buy signalVOOG
     
         
Buy signalhyg
   
Buy signalSPY
     
         
Sell signaltlt
 
Buy signalgsg
Buy signalQQQ
     
       
Buy signalfxe
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalIJH
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalONEQ
     
       
Sell signallqd
Buy signalrsp
Buy signalijr
Buy signalefa
Buy signalXLG
     
       
Buy signalshy
Sell signalicf
Buy signaliwm
Buy signaldia
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalGLD
   
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
SNOW Snowflake, Inc. Class A Software $268.51 low $230s to low $250s 358 212 4 for 5'er, pos. trend and mkt RS buy signal since May; pulling back from rally high; top quintile of software matrix, Earn. 12/3
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Wall Street $71.13 mid-to-hi 60s 79 59 5 for 5'er, #2 of 62 in favored WALL sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, buy on pullback
DCI Donaldson Co Inc Waste Management $87.83 80 - 84 92 67 3/5'er; top 3rd of sector matrix; ATHs 10/21; R-R > 2, Earn. 12/4
SF Stifel Financial Corp Wall Street $121.86 110s 140 92 4 for 5'er, top half of WALL sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, quad top break, 1.6% yield
CMC Commercial Metals Corporation Steel/Iron $59.73 hi 50s - low 60s 79 49 4 for 5'er, favored STEE sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip, 1.2% yield
TJX The TJX Companies, Inc. Retailing $146.72 136-hi 140s 194 118 4 TA rating, top 50% of RETA sector matrix, LT pos trend, LT mkt RS buy, consec buy signals, Earn. 11/19
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Machinery and Tools $259.74 mid 240s - ow 260s 316 208 5 for 5'er, top half of favored MACH sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, pos trend flip
UBS UBS AG (Switzerland) ADR Banks $38.43 mid-hi 30s 65 30 5 TA rating, top 20% of BANK sector RS matrix, LT RS buy, LT pos trend, buy-on-pullback, R-R > 3, yield > 2%
BAC Bank of America Banks $53.42 49 - 54 67 44 4 for 5'er, top 25% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bullish catapult, 2.1% yield
ITT ITT Corporation Machinery and Tools $191.05 hi 170s - mid 190s 250 162 5 TA rating, top 33% of MACH sector matrix, LT pos mkt and peer RS, buy-on-pullback
NET Cloudflare Inc Class A Internet $240.53 220s - 230s 376 198 5 for 5'er, #2 of 30 in INET sector matrix, LT pos RS, quad top, buy on pullback, R-R>4.0
SHEL Shell PLC Sponsored ADR Oil $76.56 72 - hi 70s 87 65 4 TA rating, top 25% of OIL sector, LT RS buy, consec buy signals, yield > 3%
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc. Retailing $78.15 70s 111 63 3 for 5'er, top third of RETA sector matrix, quad top, buy on pullback, R-R>2.0, 4.7% yield, Earn. 11/25
CME CME Group, Inc. Wall Street $277.28 260s - 270s 312 224 4 for 5'er, middle of WALL sector matrix, triple top breakout, 1.8% yield
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $113.58 108 - 115 143 95 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, 2% yield

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
JOYY JOYY Inc. Internet $60.94 mid-to-hi 50s 88 48 Removed for earnings. Earn. 11/25

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

AFL AFLAC Incorporated R ($114.94) - Insurance - AFL is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top half of the insurance sector matrix and has been on peer and market RS buy signals since 2022. On its default chart, AFL completed a second consecutive buy signal last week when it broke a spread triple top at $114, taking out resistance that had been in place since April. Long exposure may be added in the $108 - $115 range and we will set our initial stop at $95, which would take out multiple levels of support on AFL's chart and violate its trend line. We will use the bullish price objective, $143, as our target price. AFL also carries a 2% yield.

 
    24                         25                            
114.00                       A   X                       X     114.00
112.00                       9 O X O     4           A   B     112.00
110.00                       X O X O     3 O     X   9 O X     110.00
108.00                       X O X C X   X O     X O X O X   Mid 108.00
106.00                       X O X O X O X O     X O X O       106.00
104.00                   X   X B   O X O X O X   X 5 X         104.00
102.00                   X O X     O X 2   O X O X O X         102.00
100.00                   X O X     1       O X O X 7 X         100.00
99.00                   X O X             O X O X O X         99.00
98.00                   X O X             O   O   8 X     Bot 98.00
97.00                   8 O X                     O         97.00
96.00                   X O                                 96.00
95.00                   X                                   95.00
94.00                   X                                   94.00
93.00                   X                                   93.00
92.00                   X                                   92.00
91.00               X   X                                   91.00
90.00               6 O X                                   90.00
89.00               X O X                                   89.00
88.00               X 7                                     88.00
87.00               X                                       87.00
86.00   X   X       X                                       86.00
85.00   X O X O 5   X                                       85.00
84.00   X O X O X O X                                       84.00
83.00 O 1 2 X 4 X O X                                       83.00
82.00 O X O 3 O X O X                                       82.00
81.00 O X O X O X O                                         81.00
80.00 O   O X O                                             80.00
79.00     O X                                               79.00
78.00     O X                                               78.00
77.00     O X                                               77.00
76.00     O                                                 76.00
    24                         25                            

 

 

AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. ($165.43) - Oil - AMR fell to a sell signal and a negative trend on Tuesday when it broke a double bottom at $158, where it now sits against support. The negative trend change will drop AMR to a still acceptable 3 for 5'er and the stock ranks in the top quintile of the oil sector matrix.
COP ConocoPhillips ($90.69) - Oil - COP returned to a buy signal Tuesday when it broke a double top at $91. The outlook for the stock remains negative, however, as COP is a 0 for 5'er that ranks in the bottom third of the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of resistance is COP's bearish resistance line at $96.
CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. Class A ($88.84) - Computers - CRWV fell Tuesday to break a double bottom at $100 before falling to $89 intraday. This also moved the stock into a negative trend, demoting it to a 0 for 5 TA rating. This stock has shown sharp weakness over the past few weeks and saw weekly momentum recently flip negative, suggesting the potential for further weakness. Avoid long exposure. Further support may be seen at $85, with overhead resistance seen initially at $110.
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (Brazil) ADR ($13.45) - Oil - PBR returned to a buy signal and a positive trend Tuesday when it broke a double top at $13.50. The positive trend change will promote the stock to a still weak 1 for 5'er; PBR also ranks in the bottom half of the oil sector matrix. From here, the next level of resistance sits at $14.50. Meanwhile, support can be found at $11.50.
RACE FERRARI NV ($421.94) - Autos and Parts - RACE broke a double top at $416 to return to a buy signal. This action follows RACE holding support in the $370 range and placing a higher bottom at $388. The stock is a 3 for 5'er that has maintained a positive trend since Ocotober 2022 along with positive long-term market and peer relative strength buy signal. Okay to consider here on the breakout. Note the stock's all-time highs in the lower $500 range. Initial support lies at $388, while additional can be found in the $370 range with the bullish support line at $372.
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. ($585.50) - Healthcare - TMO inched higher to complete a double top break at $584, marking its third consecutive buy signal. The 4 for 5'er moved up from a 3 last month after moving back into a column of Xs against the market. Additionally, the stock ranks in the top quartile of the healthcare sector matrix. The weekly OBOS indicates that the stock is in overbought territory, so wait for the 10-week trading band to normalize before considering. Initial support is at $552, with additional support at $520.
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc. ($300.19) - Healthcare - VEEV inched higher to complete a triple top break at $300. The 5 for 5'er ranks in the top third of the healthcare sector matrix. Long exposure can be made here given the weight of the technical evidence. Initial strong support can be seen between $280-$284, with additional support at $264. Earnings are expected on 11/20.

 

Daily Option Ideas for November 11, 2025

Calls
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Monster Beverage Corp. - $71.85 O: 26A70.00D16 Buy the January 70.00 calls at 4.60 65.00
Follow Ups
Name Option Action
No Follow Ups
Puts
New Recommendations
Name Option Symbol Action Stop Loss
Eastman Chemical Company - $60.99 O: 26O60.00D20 Buy the March 60.00 puts at 6.20 65.00
Follow Up
Name Option Action
Colgate-Palmolive Company ( CL) Nov. 90.00 Puts Stopped at 9.90 (CP: 9.80)
HP Inc ( HPQ) Dec. 28.00 Puts Raise the option stop loss to 1.35 (CP: 3.35)
Lockheed Martin Corporation ( LMT) Dec. 485.00 Puts Stopped at 33.30 (CP: 29.70)
NIKE, Inc. ( NKE) Jan. 70.00 Puts Stopped at 8.65 (CP: 8.55)
Covered Writes
New Recommendations
Name Option Sym. Call to Sell Call Price Investment for 500 Shares Annual Called Rtn. Annual Static Rtn. Downside Protection
Gilead Sciences, Inc. $ 118.15 O: 26A125.00D16 Jan. 125.00 6.25 $ 58,566.75 20.50% 15.32% 4.07%
Still Recommended
Name Action
MARA Holdings Inc. ( MARA) - 15.58 Sell the December 18.00 Calls.
Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A ( PLTR) - 193.61 Sell the January 185.00 Calls.
Shopify Inc ( SHOP) - 158.88 Sell the January 165.00 Calls.
Sunrun Inc ( RUN) - 18.35 Sell the January 21.00 Calls.
Tesla Inc. ( TSLA) - 445.23 Sell the February 450.00 Calls.
Citigroup, Inc. ( C) - 101.49 Sell the March 105.00 Calls.
SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI) - 30.54 Sell the February 30.00 Calls.
Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A ( HOOD) - 135.88 Sell the February 150.00 Calls.
Intel Corporation ( INTC) - 38.45 Sell the December 38.00 Calls.
Palo Alto Networks Inc ( PANW) - 216.54 Sell the February 220.00 Calls.
Ford Motor Company ( F) - 13.16 Sell the March 14.00 Calls.
The Following Covered Write are no longer recommended
Name Covered Write
Best Buy Co., Inc. ( BBY - 78.15 ) January 82.50 covered write.
CVS Health Corp. ( CVS - 77.54 ) February 80.00 covered write.

 

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