There are no model changes this week

The tariff picture has improved slightly over the past week. Although the Ministry of Commerce refuted the idea that Chinese officials were negotiating with the United States, the group’s press conference did mention that the governing was “conducting an assessment” (chinalastnight). According to China Last Night, it was the Trump administration that reached out first after initially imposing the tariffs against China. (chinalastnight). Regardless of which party reached out first, progress on the trade front is encouraging.

Despite no changes over the course of the last week, Chinese equities saw notable improvement across the board. The KraneShares Tactical Emerging Markets Model TR Model (KRANETACTEM.TR) was up 3.88% over the course of the previous seven days. Notable performers include the KraneShares Hang Seng TECH Index ETF (KTEC), although it faced technical deterioration in April amid tariff uncertainty. KTEC has reversed off of a support of $13 which ultimately allowed the fund to break a double top at $15.50 in late April. From here, KTEC faces no overhead resistance until $18.50. KTEC has a strong fund score of 4.99 and is up over 19% year-to-date as of Monday’s close (5/5/25) and over 5% over the past seven days. Initial support can be seen at $14.25 with additional support at $13. 

The table below is a review of important technical data on a select group of KraneShares ETFs. Significant changes within the past week are highlighted in Green if positive or Red if negative. This portfolio is designed to be used as a "radar" screen to bring your attention to potentially important technical changes that may require your attention and potential action. When evaluating the Fund Score, the strongest issues have scores of 4 or higher while those ETFs with scores below a 3 are no longer considered solid citizens.

The distribution curve places each ETF on a bell curve according to their respective degrees of overbought or oversold status using a 10-week distribution. ETFs that are statistically oversold will appear on the left-hand side of the bell curve, while those that have become statistically overbought will appear on the right-hand side of the bell curve. Perhaps the most useful attribute of this feature is that it displays the entire universe on the curve at one time to give us a general picture of whether the KraneShares ETF universe is generally overbought on a near-term basis, or generally oversold. Our best opportunities are to buy strong relative strength ETFs that have regressed back toward mean conditions based on market weakness, or have become oversold based upon extreme market weakness. Weekly Distribution is a short-term gauge that is most helpful in timing entry and exit points, while the longer-term information of trend and relative strength is a more controlling factor in the decision of whether to buy or sell.

Legend:

• UPPERCASE indicates that the RS chart is on a buy signal.
• lowercase indicates that the RS chart is in a sell signal.
• GREEN lettering indicates the ETFs trend chart is on a buy signal.
• RED lettering indicates the ETF is on a sell signal.
• Box Color indicates the Sector Status Rating. Green = Favored, Yellow = Average, and Red = Unfavored.

The KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation Model is designed to identify major themes in the Chinese marketplace through the use of the Point & Figure relative strength tools. For more information on the portfolio construction and back testing, see the model info file on the models page.  (Note: The KraneShares ETF Models will be updated Tuesday mornings by 9:30 am EST) 

Weekly Changes: 

* - Dates prior to 10/15/2019, which is when the KraneShares Dynamic China Rotation Model became available on the NDW Research Platform, are representative of when the position was added to the backtested model.