Daily Summary
Technology's Impact on Recent DALI Changes
Last week capped off with negative action from U.S. and international equity indices, causing notable changes to asset and sub-asset class rankings within the NDW Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) tool. Though it may not appear at first glance, the notable theme prevalent within the ranking’s changes, both within domestic and international equities, has been technology’s weakness.
Morning Pulse
NDW Morning Pulse - November 10, 2026
- US equity futures are mixed this morning the Dow is up ~30 bps while the S&P is roughly flat and the Nasdaq is down ~40 bps.
- US indices were up across the board yesterday posting their best day in months as they rebounded from last week’s sell off.
- The Nasdaq-100 ([NDX]) led the market higher gaining 3.4% while the S&P 500 ([SPX]) gained 2.35% and the Dow ([.DJIA]) gained 2.15%.
- Small caps also had a strong day as the Russell 2000 ([RUT]) gained 3.15%.
- Semiconductors, which were hard-hit in last week’s drawdown, were among the best performing subsectors, as the iShares Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX]) gained 7.5%.
- It was also a good day for international equities as the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF ([EFA]) and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF ([EEM]) were both up around 3%.
- Prospects for a peace deal in Iran helped lift stocks but were a major headwind for crude oil ([CL/]) which was down more than 4% on the day. Crude gave a second consecutive sell signal when it broke a spread triple bottom at $86.
- The 10 Week for the NYSE ([^TWNYSE]) which measures the percent of stocks on the NYSE trading above their 10-week (50-day) moving average reversed up into Xs yesterday, indicating some improvement in breadth. The 10 Week for Optionable Stocks ([^TWOPTI]) also reversed up.
- Yesterday’s research discussed recent changes in NDW’s Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) tool. The focus of the piece was the decline of technology, which fell into the bottom half of the rankings last week. The weakness in technology has also driven some weakness in other areas – like emerging markets – as technology accounts for roughly 37.5% of the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF ([EEM]).
- October CPI is due out this morning with the market expecting month-over-month headline inflation of 0.3% and core inflation of 0.2%, this will be the last CPI reading ahead of the Fed meeting next month. The market is currently pricing in about a 99% chance of a 25 bps rate increase at that meeting.
Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 11/09/2026. Access the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page.
- U.S. indices were mixed during Friday’s (11/6) trading, with the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) leading the way to the upside, gaining 1.35%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJIA) fell 46 basis points. The Dow was the notable chart with action on 11/6, with a reversal down into Os to 51,000, placing a lower top on the chart for the first time since April and forming a double bottom. While most indices, like the S&P 500 (SPX), fell to give a sell signal in the back-half of last week, the Dow continues to maintain a buy signal at the moment.
- Crude oil (CL/) rallied 34 basis points, pushing the chart back into a column of Xs to $92 after holding support at $87. Meanwhile, gold (GC/) fell 93 basis points and reversed into Os after seeing the chart return to a buy signal early last week.
- Trending indicators like the 30- and 40-weeks followed the 10-week indicators moving lower, highlighting more stocks moving below their 150- and 200-day moving average. The 40-week for the S&P 500 (^40SPX) reversed into Os to 56%, suggesting a slight dip in large cap stocks trading above their 200-day moving average and that still more than half maintain above the long-term MA. While most bullish percents continue to maintain a column of Xs, the BP for the S&P Small Cap 600 (^BPSPSML) reversed lower to 48%, highlighting a decrease in stocks maintaining buy signals and now less than half of the small cap universe maintains a buy signal.
- Last week’s trading brought a number of changes to the NDW DALI Sector Rankings, but the notable highlight was the drop in technology. On the Asset Class Group Scores page, which measures the average score for all ETFs and mutual funds within an asset group, technology has fallen down to near the 2-score threshold (out of 6), marking the lowest level since April 2025. While the broader sector and semis have witnessed notable technical deterioration, software continues to maintain some strength compared to its peers within the broader sector.
- Earnings this week takes a slight reprieve compared to the prior two, but two notables are highlighted below.
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) – Reports 11/9 – OXY has been a 4 for 5’er since August this year after seeing the stock shift back into a positive trend and show near-term positive market relative strength. After returning to a buy signal in late October at $64, the stocks has fallen back into Os on its chart and its testing support in the mid $50s. The bullish support line sits at $55, while the July 2026 chart low sits at $48.
- Cisco Systems (CSCO) – Reports 11/12 – CSCO fell to a 3 for 5’er in late October after reversing down into Os on its on the market RS chart. While still maintaining a positive trend, CSCO has been on a sell signal since September, and last week’s trading brought about a third sell signal at $102 as it fell to $94, marking its lowest level since early May. The bullish support line sits at $92, while additional can be found at $91 and $86.
Last week capped off with negative action from U.S. and international equity indices, causing notable changes to asset and sub-asset class rankings within the NDW Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) tool. Though it may not appear at first glance, the notable theme prevalent within the ranking’s changes, both within domestic and international equities, has been technology’s weakness.
Under the hood of domestic equities in the sector rankings, the dip within technology on 11/5 brought the sector down from 3rd to 6th to mark its lowest ranking and first drop out of the top half of the DALI sector rankings since May – April 2025. Prior to this most recent occurrence, technology has fallen out of the top half of the sector rankings nine times in DALI’s history. Forward returns following these occurrences are mixed with notable periods like April 2000, January 2008, and March 2022 seeing additional downside after falling into the bottom half of the rankings (6th or below), while times like June 2006, August 2011, July 2012, and April 2025 marked near-term bottoms.
Though we don’t have the ability to know whether this may be a near-term bottom for technology or a sign of additional downside, it is worth noting all the impacts recent technology weakness have had on global equities and the NDW DALI rankings. Among the notable impacts of technology weakness permeating through the rankings is growth groups dropping within the DALI Size and Style rankings. Large cap growth yielded the top spot within the size and style ranks following action on 11/5 for the first time since October 2023 – marking an end to a three-year run that saw the large growth group reach the highest tally signal count in history for any size and style group in the DALI rankings. Additionally, mid cap growth fell out of the top half of the rankings in recent weeks and has now fallen to its lowest level since July 2023. Though small cap growth has moved into the top half of the rankings during the summer months, recent trading has brought the group down to 8th within DALI.

On the top, asset class level of the NDW DALI rankings, domestic equities continue to rank number one with other sectors outside of technology helping sustain the asset class’s ranking. It is worth noting that ETFs and funds related to the Nasdaq-100 like the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) have fallen to give RS sell signals. Along with giving a market RS sell signal against the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (SPXEWI), the QQQs moved to an RS sell signal against the NDW Money Market (MNYMKT) proxy on 11/5. Prior to the recent signal switch, QQQ had maintained a market RS buy signal since October 2023 and RS buy against the NDW Money Market index since July 2025. Recent trading has also brought the RS chart comparing the QQQs against the iShares U.S. Core Bond ETF (AGG) to within one box of an RS signal change after having maintained an RS buy signal May 2023. Though other sectors and areas of the domestic equity space are sustaining the asset class currently, monitoring equity proxies against other asset class proxies from fixed income and cash could be beneficial, especially if there are additional signs of weakness from the domestic space.

While the impact of the recent dip within technology hasn’t drawn domestic equities down in the DALI asset class rankings, international equities, specifically emerging markets, have taken the brunt of negative deterioration. Countries like South Korea and Taiwan were among the worst performing within the international equity space last week with the iShares representatives (EWY) and (EWT) falling -13% and -11% on 11/5. In many cases, broader emerging market funds, like the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), have seen allocations heavily weight the likes of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Samsung, and SK Hynix (SKHY), leading to notable influence on the technical picture for the broader international space. Along with EEM’s relative strength chart against the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (SPXEWI) returning to an RS sell signal, the RS chart comparing EEM to the NDW Money Market (MNYMKT) proxy gave an RS sell signal for the first time in more than 12 months. In addition to weakness against domestic equities and cash, EEM gave an RS sell signal last week against the iShares U.S. Core Bond ETF (AGG) and the Invesco DB U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (UUP). This leaves emerging markets showing negative long-term relative strength against broader asset class proxies, leaving what is left of strength within international equities residing with the developed markets space.

As has likely been observed, defensive assets like cash, fixed income, and currencies have seen increases in strength recently relative to equities, leading to tally signal increases within the DALI Asset Class rankings for those respective groups. It is worth noting, while there has been a multitude of signals changing hands recently, commodities have not seen an increase to their tally signal count since early September. While there is still a risk-on tone to the asset classes ranking at the top of the DALI Asset Class rankings, further gains from risk-off assets in the lower half of the rankings could lead to a shift in portfolio allocations as the calendar moves toward year-end.
Average Level
-24.65
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
| AGG | iShares US Core Bond ETF |
| USO | United States Oil Fund |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
| DVY | iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF |
| DX/Y | NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
| FXE | Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust |
| GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust |
| HYG | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF |
| ICF | iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF |
| IEF | iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF |
| LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF |
| IJH | iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund |
| ONEQ | Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust |
| RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF |
| SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF |
| IJR | iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust |
| TLT | iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF |
| GCC | WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund |
| VOOG | Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF |
| VOOV | Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
| XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF |
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Agilent Technologies, Inc | Healthcare | $174.76 | 170s - 180s | 196 | 154 | 4 for 5'er, top quartile of Healthcare matrix, Pos. LT Peer RS, One Box from Mkt. RS Buy, Earn. 11/23 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | Machinery and Tools | $1055.57 | 1040s - 1100s | 1312 | 896 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of MACH sector matrix LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread triple top, buy on pullback |
| XOM | ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. | Oil | $165.87 | hi150s - hi 160s | 206 | 134 | 5 for 5'er, top 25% of OIL sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, buy on pullback, 2.5% yield |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | Protection Safety Equipment | $110.25 | 100s - low 110s | 147 | 91 | 4 for 5'er, top third of favored PROT sector matrix, LT pos peer RS |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|
Removed Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAT | Brinker International Inc | Restaurants | $206.57 | hi 200s - 210s | 270 | 182 | EAT has fallen to a sell signal. OK to hold here. Maintain $182 stop. |
Follow-Up Comments
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NDW Spotlight Stock
BCO The Brink's Company ($111.51) - Protection Safety Equipment - BCO is a 4 for 5'er that ranks in the top third of the favored protection safety equipment sector matrix and has been on a peer RS buy signal since 2020. After giving three consecutive sell signals, BCO returned to a buy signal and a positive trend when it completed a bearish signal reversal in late October; in last week's trading, the stock completed a second consecutive buy signal when it broke a double top at $116. Long exposure may be added in the $100s to low $110s and we will set our initial stop at $91, which would take out multiple levels of support on BCO's chart. We will use the bullish price objective, $147, as our target price.
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| 136.00 | X | • | 136.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 134.00 | X | O | • | 134.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 132.00 | X | O | • | 132.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 130.00 | X | O | • | Top | 130.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 128.00 | 2 | O | • | 128.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 126.00 | X | O | X | X | • | • | 126.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | • | • | 124.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 122.00 | X | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | • | 122.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 120.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | O | • | X | O | X | O | • | 120.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 118.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | X | O | X | O | • | X | 118.00 | |||||||||||||||
| 116.00 | C | 1 | O | X | O | X | • | X | O | O | X | • | X | O | 116.00 | ||||||||||||||
| 114.00 | X | O | 3 | O | X | O | X | 8 | X | O | • | X | X | O | 114.00 | ||||||||||||||
| 112.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | 112.00 | |||||||||||||
| 110.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | 110.00 | ||||||||||||
| 108.00 | O | O | X | O | X | O | X | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | 108.00 | |||||||||||||
| 106.00 | O | 4 | O | X | O | X | O | X | 9 | X | O | X | O | X | Mid | 106.00 | |||||||||||||
| 104.00 | O | X | 5 | O | X | O | X | O | O | X | O | B | 104.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| 102.00 | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | A | O | X | 102.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 100.00 | O | X | O | 6 | X | O | X | O | X | • | 100.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 99.00 | • | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | • | 99.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 98.00 | • | O | X | O | X | • | O | • | • | 98.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 97.00 | • | O | O | X | • | • | 97.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96.00 | • | O | 7 | • | 96.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95.00 | • | O | X | • | 95.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94.00 | • | O | X | • | 94.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93.00 | • | O | X | • | 93.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92.00 | O | • | 92.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 |
| ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp. ($30.72) - Biomedics/Genetics - ADPT rose Monday to complete a bullish triangle at $30. This 4 for 5'er has been in a positive trend since May and sits in the top quartile of the biomedics/genetics sector RS matrix. The weight of the technical evidence is favorable and improving. Initial support is seen at $25 and $24. |
| ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. ($70.63) - Retailing - ASO broke a double top at $70 for a third buy signal as shares rallied to $71, marking a 52-week high. The stock improved to a 3 for 5'er in September and currently ranks within the top decile of the Retailing sector matrix. Current holders may seek to lock in profits as the stock now stis in overbought territory, above the top of the 10-week trading band. While those considering will look for consolidation within the upper $60s before adding. Initial support llies at $66, while prior resistance in the lower $60s may be seen as additional support. |
| CENX Century Aluminum Co ($36.35) - Metals Non Ferrous - After giving four consecutive sell signals, CENX returned to a buy signal Monday when it broke a double top at $36, where it now sits against resistance. The outlook for the stock remains negative despite Monday's move as CENX is a 1 for 5'er. From here, support can be found at $30, CENX's 2026 low. |
| GE GE Aerospace ($336.52) - Aerospace Airline - GE has returned back to a positive trend today, posting its third constructive buy signal in the process. While still a ways off those highs up above at at $388, the recent upside has confirmed a few levels of key support: first at $316 (the middle of the trading band) & $280 (near 2026 lows). From here, feel free to add to positions within the price target sitting at those highs back up from earlier this summer. Towards the downside, watch for a failed breakout with a decrease in price and return back to a negative tend at $296. |
| MHK Mohawk Industries, Inc. ($158.59) - Building - MHK broke a double top at $156 for a third buy signal since moving back into a positive trend in late Ocotber. The stock is a 3 for 5'er that maintains a positive trend and positive near-term market and peer RS, while ranking 1st (out of 80) within the Building sector matrix. Look for consolidation in the $150 range before considering. Initial support lies at $148, while additional can be found at prior resistance at $140. |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp ($34.58) - Oil - After completing two consecutive buy signals, MUR returned to a sell signal and a negative trend when it broke a double bottom at $35. The negative trend change will drop the stock to a 1 for 5'er. From here, the next level of support sits at $34. |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation ($178.10) - Semiconductors - NVDA was one of the biggest laggards on the day as news of its CEO continues to stir, causing the stock to break a double bottom at $180 for a second consecutive sell signal. The stock had already weakened significantly prior to today, moving into a negative trend while losing market RS, bringing it down to sell territory as a weak 1 for 5'er. That said, the stock is now in heavily oversold territory below the bottom of its ten week trading band, so it could consolidate or reverse higher in the near-term, meaning those with positions could wait a little before selling. Earnings for the stock also come out next week on 11/17, which could serve as a catalyst for even more movement. From here, initial support lies at $166. |
| QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated ($172.09) - Semiconductors - Shares of QCOM broke a double top at $174 on Monday, moving back into a positive trend as well. With the trend change, QCOM is now more of a hold as a 3 for 5'er. The stock would need to regain near-term market relative strength before it enters buy territory. From here, resistance lies ahead at $184 then $188. |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc ($78.18) - Restaurants - SHAK broke a double top at $77 to return to a buy signal as shares rallied to $78, marking the highest chart level since May. The stock improved to a 3 for 5'er in October after seeing the trend shift back to positive and the market RS chart return to a column of Xs. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the lower $70 range. Initial support lies at $68, while the bullish support line sits at $64. |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. ($720.13) - Healthcare - TMO advanced Monday to break a double top at $720, notching a new all-time high. This 5 for 5'er moved to a positive trend in July and sits in the top third of the healthcare sector RS matrix. The technical picture is favorable and improving. Initial support can be seen at $664 and $640. |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings Inc. ($121.73) - Aerospace Airline - UAL broke a double top at $118 for a second buy signal as shares rallied to $122. The move penetrates the bearish resistance line, which will shift the trend back to positive, increasing the UAL up to a 3 for 5'er, and place the market RS chart within one box of reversing back into Xs. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the low $110s. Note resistance in the $130s, while initial support lies at $108 and the bullish support line sits at $99. |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp ($144.31) - Precious Metals - WPM was up almost 6% Monday, giving a second consecutive buy signal and returning to a positive trend when it broke a double top at $138. The positive trend change will promote WPM to a 4 for 5'er. From here, the next level of overhead resistance sits at $154. |
The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.
Call
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) March 19 $69 Call

| Bid/Ask Spread | 41.67% |
| Delta | 58.59 |
| Gamma | 4.25 |
| Implied Volatility | 27.06% |
| Expiry Date | 129 |
| Earnings Date | - |
Put
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) March 19 $37.50 Put

| Additional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 1.32% |
| Delta | -51.12 |
| Gamma | 4.99 |
| Implied Volatility | 37.97% |
| Expiry Date | 129 |
| Earnings Date | 2/9/2027 |
Income
General Motors (GM) Dec 11 $84 Short Put

| Additional Data: | |
| Ann. Static Return | 20.58% |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 52.54% |
| Delta | 24.1 |
| Gamma | -3.14 |
| Implied Volatility | 34.21% |
| Expiry Date | 32 |
| Earnings Date | 1/27/2027 |