Most of the investment landscape was negative over the last trading day (9/14) as questions to a slowdown in AI investment sent many assets tumbling. EEM led the way to the downside, sliding nearly 3% by close. Only a handful of names found themselves in positive territory, crude oil the standout as it gained over 1%
The real elephant in the room has been a continued decline in participation. [^PTNYSE], which measures the percentage of NYSE listed stocks trading in a positive trend, moved back to 50% with yesterday’s action. Historically speaking, most of the upside action for markets comes when this reading is above 50%, highlighting the importance of finding some participation footing as we wrap up Q3
Emerging markets ([EEM]) reversed lower, although the technical picture is still defendable for now. Crude pushed as high as $104 before backing off. Trips to the high $100’s would not be out of the question. On pullbacks, old resistance around the mid-$90’s looks important.
Gold continues to flag as a false breakout as it now sits well off $4,700. A second consecutive sell signal at $4,280 could signal further downside as the precious metal looks to hold its positive trend off 2026 lows.
On the idea that AI spending might have to decrease, cybersecurity names also perked up. High attribute options like [CRWD] or [PANW] picked up as much as 15% for the day. Despite the quick move, both remain in largely actionable territory. [NVDA] returned to a sell signal but remains technically defendable, although the series of lower highs for semiconductor representative [SMH] is worth monitoring heading into Q4.